Capital PowerCPX.TOWEAK BUYMay 07, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 02, 2026. Market Open.
Likes the business. Yield is pretty good. One issue management sees is that Alberta government has to get its act together for data centre projects to come to fruition. (He curls with an AI consultant who said that everyone's going to Texas: land, nat gas, minimal regulations.)
Has projects in US. Power demand will skyrocket no matter where AI is situated.
Has done well because demand for power has shot through the roof, so its assets have been revalued significantly higher. Very well managed. Surplus of power, and chances are low this year that that excess will be released. Has opportunities in US to transition from coal to nat gas.
If you're focused on Canada, he'd be a buyer today as a derivative AI play. But his preference to play AI would be MSFT with a little bit of ORCL.
Dividend growth is expected at 2% to 4%. These numbers are OK, but we think investors are disappointed that dividend growth is not set higher. CPX is taking a 'growth' route and this may be at the expense of dividend growth and this has disappointed some.
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No real concerns. Probably good long-term hold. Predominantly nat gas with a bit of renewable energy. Half its business now in the dynamically growing, data-centre focused US.
Trades ~27x PE, premium to historical norms. Compound return over last 10 years is an impressive 21%. Chart looks good, management is pretty good. Yield is ~4%, with good cadence of dividend growth.
He prefers another name.