Vice President and Partner at Campbell Lee & Ross
Member since: Jan '12 · 1957 Opinions
What to do as the tariff war starts this morning? 1) Capital preservation. In recent years, easy money was made. Not now. 2) Be ready to buy names that fall and add them to your portfolio. 3) Raise cash so you can do #2. Extra 10% tariffs on China: When Trump imposed tariffs on China in his term, China devalued its currency, and those sanctions didn't work. Now, will China put sanctions on US companies? Wish list: Taking Nvidia for example, wait and watch for a floor before stepping in. If you've made huge gains, there's nothing wrong in taking some profits. Trim winners and raise some cash.
Millennials are not drinking as much as the older generations. Maybe they're not going out as much. This industry performs better in recessions. Though an excellent franchise, the stock hasn't gone anywhere. Chinese sanctions hurt Brown. Also, paying in CAD adds a 40% premium. The LCBO boycott will have an impact.
Generally, big tech are good companies, but have lost ground recently and their valuations have been nosebleeds for a long time. Meta is basically Facebook; he can message his mother in New Zealand cheaply, but fundamentally what will it do for him? Is it a sustainable business model. It's too early to say which of these names is a buy the dip, buy you could trim or take some names off the table.