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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert)


Stock Opinions by Mike Philbrick

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COMMENT
Market strength due to the AI story?

Yes, a lot of it is that. The first AI phase rewarded the semiconductor and software stocks. The next phase may increasingly reward electricity infrastructure and real assets. The capex spend is broad and has support from many governments around the world.

It's not just software anymore; it's now colliding with the physical economy. AI can't run on enthusiasm alone. Data centres need electricity, transformers, cooling, copper, transmission infrastructure, and so on. Sees the impact broadening out to the physical economy.

We'll have to make investments in mines, plants, and refining to be able to build out the physical infrastructure to provide the electricity for the AI wave that's coming. It'll probably mean structurally stickier inflation. It'll consume a lot of real-world inputs like energy, labour, materials, and infrastructure.

All that will cause market leadership to broaden to mid-caps, cyclicals, industrials, utilities, and so on.

COMMENT
Sector focus.

Investors want to make sure they have some exposure to the areas that are a bit more physical. In Canada, our index tends to skew that way. We have lots of rocks and trees and oil and gas that build our economy.

In the US, the S&P 500 is dominated by technology stocks. Oil & gas represents only about 4% of that index. So the big growth engine in the US is complemented by Canada's resource infrastructure.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Gold equities, which remain quite supported though volatility, likely to stay more elevated. In the options market right now, puts are far more expensive than calls (indicates a desire to hedge downside). For him, he expects a bit more unexpected upside.

Will benefit from strong bullion price, improving cashflows, and investor interest. Since interest rates are far from a sure thing, gold potentially has the opportunity to rise. A good diversifier.

Good time to start accumulating. Gold remains quite supported over the long term.

Also look at ZGD.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Equal weight, and it gets you away from the concentration on the large-cap globals of XGD. Good time to start accumulating. Gold remains quite supported over the long term.

STRONG BUY

Broad exposure to the Canadian equity market -- financials, energy, materials, industrials. Large-, mid-, and small-cap companies. Really likes it. Low cost. Canada stands to benefit from the next wave in the AI boom, especially as the next bottleneck is power.

TRADE

Don't forget that it has 2x leverage on the downside. With leveraged ETFs, they're more a trading vehicle than a long-term hold. A 10% loss requires an 11% gain just to get even.

News from Strait of Hormuz is that things are being worked out. Despite 20% of oil being blocked, we couldn't get oil to $150 -- seems there's a lot of oil sloshing around the system. A reopened Strait could see oil normalize substantially lower. A geopolitical bet on what might happen in political negotiations, and that's hard to take a position on.

If you think oil's going lower, this is a way to play it. Rebalance your profits as you go.

WEAK BUY

Actively managed income-oriented portfolio that combines multiple asset classes -- equities, fixed income, covered calls. Goal is to provide higher monthly income while staying diversified across global markets.

Helps smooth portfolio volatility. Tradeoff is that you're capping upside exposure in a strong bull market. For example, it's underperformed by ~2% over the last year compared to VGRO or XGRO.

Overall, not a bad play.

BUY
For a grandchild, broad exposure to the entire US economy (and not just the Mag 7).

Actually more globally diversified than just US, and that's how you get away from concentration in the Mag 7. Remember that the US economy is now 65-70% of the global market.

A 60/40 mix, so bonds help with downside protection. Rebalancing happens on your behalf. There's 1-2% in bitcoin and alternatives like that.

RISKY

Writes puts and calls on treasury bonds, not equities. They can still have some volatility. If inflation is stickier and rates rise, that won't help bonds. And that's the challenge/risk. NAV would be eroded in a true market correction. Yield is ~7%.

RISKY

Writes options on bonds, but still risk from inflation. No free lunch. Watch carefully. OK in a slightly falling market. In a true market correction, NAV would be eroded.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 29/25, Up 82%)

Still benefits from industrial demand and asset scarcity. Acts as ballast during persistent fiscal deficits and inflation uncertainty. Rebalance after runs and on drawdowns.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 29/25, Down 58%)

Rebalance on the drawdown. Agentic AI will be quite constructive for digital assets such as this.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 29/25, Up 22%)

Cyclical breadth is improving as AI enhancements trickle down to smaller companies. Small caps should have a position in your portfolio as long as economy avoids a hard landing and capital spending continues.

BUY

Financials have been doing well, especially Canadian banks. Very strong trend, and "the trend is your friend". Can add, but don't double or triple your position.

STRONG BUY

Great for long-term, patient money with an all-equity mix beyond just Canada. MER is 20 bps. Consider pairing with FEQT.

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