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Founder and managing partner at Short Hills Capital Partners
Member since: Sep '21 · 462 Opinions
The market doesn't care about its high valuation, but only the dream going forward. Musk is a genius who's made people continue to believe in the extremely high Tesla valuation, despite declining fundamentals. He'll buy it. This is a bet pure and simple on Elon Musk. It's a speculative trading stock, not a hold.
Based on previous cycles where momentum can turn on a dime, Micron is especially vulnerable to this. Chips are acting like a commodity. That said, he doesn't see their share price or earning declining. A caveat is adding capacity, which has always killed the chips cycle. The difference is that now it takes longer given supply chain issues to add this capacity. Maybe one or two years out, MU will turn, doesn't know.
He added to it today. It's navigated inflation well. It's also cheap. It has a monopoly in sporting goods.