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Stock Opinions by Stephen Weiss, Founder, Short Hills Capital Partners

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BUY

He added to it today. It's navigated inflation well. It's also cheap. It has a monopoly in sporting goods.

DON'T BUY

Is unsure what their AI strategy is and the risk to their subscription base.

PARTIAL BUY

Meta has an uncanny ability to come out with new products. But the one problem with Meta--the UK just banned social media for children under 16. If this ban expands--and he thinks it will--it will hurt their ad revenue. Overall, Meta is spending on AI which maintains their lead over their peers.

BUY

The market doesn't care about its high valuation, but only the dream going forward. Musk is a genius who's made people continue to believe in the extremely high Tesla valuation, despite declining fundamentals. He'll buy it. This is a bet pure and simple on Elon Musk. It's a speculative trading stock, not a hold.

DON'T BUY

It's 90x EBITDA or revenue--either is lunacy. Where does it go from here? He can't buy it at these levels.

COMMENT

It remains a bifurcated market. Most consumers will still dig themselves out of a hole, living paycheque to paycheque. The other consumers are driving the market and spending.

DON'T BUY

He sold it. It will stay at current levels. The big issue is the government is after all these consulting companies to lower their costs. Also, they have a big healthcare contract with the veteran hospitals, which is an overhang. Management is good, though.

BUY

Analysts when they made their estimates didn't count on GS winning the SpaceX and openAI IPOs.

BUY

He likes the moat around the cybersecurity incumbents. Fears that Anthropic and AI would break cyber companies were overblown.

BUY

He added more after they reported a good quarter. They did have margin issues at Foot Locker, but this will sort itself out. Valuable is reasonable, not expensive, and has a moat. They continue to improve store format to entire customers. 

PARTIAL SELL

He trimmed it. Trading at a 32x forward PE, but typically in the mid-teens. As long as data centres are being built, this will participate, but it doesn't hurt to take some money off the table.

COMMENT

Based on previous cycles where momentum can turn on a dime, Micron is especially vulnerable to this. Chips are acting like a commodity. That said, he doesn't see their share price or earning declining. A caveat is adding capacity, which has always killed the chips cycle. The difference is that now it takes longer given supply chain issues to add this capacity. Maybe one or two years out, MU will turn, doesn't know.

COMMENT

Is not concerned with rising costs. Dell has much-higher earnings backed by strong demand. They can pass on costs to their customers.

BUY

Critics say they're overspending on AI, like Meta, and not seeing a return, but cloud growth was 38% and cloud is their engine. The story is well intact. It's his way of playing AI in China.

PARTIAL SELL

He's taken some shares off the table. Is trading at 7x PE, but historically it's 6x. They have contracts through 2028. At some point, this will reset, but it's too early for it.

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