Founder and managing partner at Short Hills Capital Partners
Member since: Sep '21 · 349 Opinions
He added more last week. Is puzzled by a downgrade today. Trades at 1x book and run by a great CEO. Capital markets will open up and benefit them.
They reported a miss. Weight-loss drugs have now swamped the market, thus shrinking margins. They trade at 80x PE vs. pharma's 12-14x. Why own this? Their PE is higher than even NVDA's. Their earlier super growth in GLP drugs is not sustainable.
They went into the quarter at 80x trailing PE, nearly a third higher than Nvdia's, but lack the same growth rate. This isn't the CEO's fault, but it was asinine to own AMD based on these metrics and still makes no sense.
They report today, but the bar is very high. He's cautious. The fundamentals remain strong: Reels and Instagram. Overall, he's optimistic. Even if Meta misses this quarter, they will recover.
They report today. They trade at a 50% premium to the market, so MSFT must put out the same quarter as Google did last night, beating all metrics. They can do it. AWS cut a $10 billion deal with MSFT to use their AI tools. He's optimistic.
It beat top and bottom line. Sentiment was so negative heading into the report last night, so the set-up was good. Youtube--great quarter. AI has helped GOOG. Don't count them out, their top position in internet search--we'll see. The call was also good. The stock still has legs. They didn't just clear a low bar, but they beat on every line.
There's risk, but short term, and is fine long term. Now, the company is in the sweet spot--it can't meet customer demand. The CEO is smart and will deliver on the quarter.
They directly benefit from Nvidia's momentum. Shares have doubled in the past year, and strong performance will continue. At 23-26x forward PE, this translates into doubled revenues and earnings. Not as impressive as Nvidia, but more sustainable.
It's overvalued, yes, but it will continue to perform along with the market. The real issue is China, their key market, where Huawei is making good strides. As Apple moves operations to India, he expects repercussions from China.
They reported great bookings. To play AI, invest in data centres.
He just re-bought it. Shares are rallying today because analysts raised earnings expectations. He continues to expect at the end of this year and into next increasing orders for their EUV, a large $250 device that can cram as many advanced features on a chip as possible. Also, the valuation of ASML has fallen to an attractive though not cheap level at 25x PE, no longer 40x.
They report tomorrow. Earnings are often predictable, though you don't know what he trading and investment activity will be for GS. He expects earnings to be robust and the messaging positive. For GS he also wants to hear about their foray into retail, though this is absorbed in the stock price. BAC's retail operation has been successful, and he wants to hear about credit delinquencies given that consumer debt is at all-time highs. He expects more of the same from these two banks.
They report tomorrow. Earnings are often predictable, though you don't know what he trading and investment activity will be for GS. He expects earnings to be robust and the messaging positive. For GS he also wants to hear about their foray into retail, though this is absorbed in the stock price. BAC's retail operation has been successful, and he wants to hear about credit delinquencies given that consumer debt is at all-time highs. He expects more of the same from these two banks.
They report a great quarter yesterday. They have a lot more to do and have a lot of room to run.