Market Outlook He thinks the market sell off is a little over done. The economy is decent and he does not believe that a recession is coming soon. The recent jobs report was supportive. He feels the Fed will work well to mitigate any negative moves. Today some excellent stocks are priced 20-30% cheaper than a couple of months ago. Will we go into recession? Not anytime soon. Only the UAE market was up in 2018. 93% of all assets classes lost money -- only TBills and cash had positive returns. There was no place to hide. This means the future should bring positive returns in 2019, he believes.
They have insurance and investment groups with assets into Europe as well. He likes their yield over 6%. He is interested in this again. With the recent pullback, there is now less risk.
It is really a business of trading and asset management. They have over $2.5 trillion under management. He sees this as being less volatile than competitors as a result. He likes it.
One of his very few energy holdings. He was buying back in December. About half the assets are overseas, yet it still got hit as hard as those with no international assets. The yield is near 9%. He likes the fact it derives a large portion of its revenues off Brent oil prices. He thinks the dividend can be sustained if oil prices can be sustained.
He likes the global exposure compared to its competitors. The recent tariff and trade rhetoric with China, it took a hit. It should do well going forward, trading under 10 times earnings. It is well run and diversified.
He likes their business, but does not own BAM.A-T at this time. It has been very successful over the years, which is why he does not own it -- it has historically been too expensive.
Equities vs. Bonds. An 8% earnings yield is implied in today's 12 PE ratio of the market -- the inversion of the PE ratio. The dividend can grow as well. While bonds are yielding 2-3%. He sees no contest, favoring equities going forward.
(A Top Pick Sep 06/18, Down 13%) He thinks it has gotten better with a recent announcement on a project in Australia. They run medical office buildings in Canada, Germany, Brazil and other locations. He likes the global exposure and sees lots of growth going forward.
(A Top Pick Sep 06/18, Down 10%) They did an acquisition that has not worked out well, which has created headwinds. They own "Sharpie Pens" and other well known brands and they are divesting of some of these to pay down debt. They are in the midst of a turnaround and he continues to see lots of upside still. It should be worth double what it is today in the future.
He is trying to figure out how the George Weston REIT is working out alongside this asset. Loblaw's is very stable, and he is investigating it. Not quite ready to pull the trigger yet. Yield is less than 2%.
BMO or BNS? He slightly favours BNS. But BMO is still a good company. All the top 5 Canadian banks are solid. BMO may lag behind is some areas. At these prices, both are good value.
BMO or BNS? He slightly favours BNS. But BMO is still a good company. All the top 5 Canadian banks are solid. BMO may lag behind is some areas. At these prices, both are good value.
BAC or JPM? He owns JP Morgan, but likes BAC as well. Overall, JP Morgan has been a premium bank in the US since the recession. The US banks are trading extremely cheap -- he likes both.