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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert)


Stock Opinions by Rebecca Teltscher

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COMMENT

The market faces many risks. First, the situation in the US-Iran changes day to day, often based on a tweet. Secondly, the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz will not happen quickly or cleanly. Thirdly, there's a disconnect between the bond and stock markets; the former is pricing in higher inflation. Canadian inflation is below American, given weak rents, but we have food and gasoline inflation. Fourth, central banks are in a tough spot, given weak employment projections and rising inflation--will banks raise or cut? She doesn't know why investors are looking past the inflation risk; she is being cautious to preserve capitals, and she won't speculate. Also, there's concentration risk in U.S. tech, nearly half the S&P being tech, specifically chips.

WEAK BUY

It's outperformed BCE and Telus which she owns for the dividend (Telus has the most turnaround potential). The street expects Rogers to spin off their sports division. You can't go wrong with any telcos, which aren't getting any love now. They are undercutting each other are prices. She likes it for defence and yields, though is not high-growth

BUY

She owns it for the dividend, and Telus has the most turnaround potential among the Canadian telcos. You can't go wrong with any telcos, which aren't getting any love now. They are undercutting each other are prices. She likes telcos for defence and yields, though is not high-growth.

HOLD

She doesn't like gold now. She bought this is in the $60-70s. Its mines are in low-risk areas, like Canada and the US. Gold used to be a safe haven, but this has recently reversed with gold now trading as a risk-on stock. The space got crowded and became speculative.  Tread carefully. She is not adding her holding. AEM is the best gold stock,.

HOLD

She owned it before last year's dividend cut which was unnecessary, a long-term decision to fix a short-term problem (an off-shore wind project in Taiwan). She didn't like what they said on investor day. They have risky assets in Spain and Colombia. They have to monetize some of their long-term contracts at some point. Lots of issues. The new CEO is doing the best she can (the problems were under the old CEO). She held onto it past $20 because it's now at $24. They just reported a good quarter. Their Taiwan and Poland projects are on schedule, which is good. New managers need to prove themselves. Not sure if she will hold onto this long-term. Wait and see.

SELL

She will sell before the deal is done to avoid the foreign exchange. She prefers other energy names. The deal is 75% Shell stock and 25% cash, but this is a moving target, depending on the price of Shell stock.

WAIT

She's been wrong about the Canadian banks the past year, that they're expensive. They were up 30% last year + 20% this year. These stocks are priced for perfection and trading well above historical averages in PE. Wait. Last year, they released provisions for loan losses into earnings, which was a temporary boost. Their only growth aspect this year is how many branches a bank can close, which is a weak growth driver. She hasn't bought any banks this year.

WAIT

She's been wrong about the Canadian banks the past year, that they're expensive. They were up 30% last year + 20% this year. These stocks are priced for perfection and trading well above historical averages in PE. Wait. Last year, they released provisions for loan losses into earnings, which was a temporary boost. Their only growth aspect this year is how many branches a bank can close, which is a weak growth driver. She hasn't bought any banks this year.

WEAK BUY

Is defensive. Is a turnaround story with margin improvement. Good. But it has come off along with all staples. MFI pays a 2.5% dividend, which is not bad in this market. MFI is fine overall.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

She owns it for the long-term, and owned it at $70. Buy dips, say if Trump reaches peace with Iran and shares drop 8%. Is volatile because it is a commodity. However, their dividend is covered by their stable retail business. The Strait of Hormuz is blocking fertilizer traffic.

WATCH

She doesn't own REITs. Valuations were too high, and there was better growth elsewhere, like pipelines. REITs do pay dividends and REI is not bad. It's flat over 5 years, but high occupancy rates, a 5% dividend and 60% payout ratio, and a high renewal rates by tenants. Will do more research first, though. REITs are a rare place to pay 5% dividends with little risk.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 15/25, Up 62%)

She will own this for the next 30 years. Very bullish. She likes CNQ at $60 oil, so $100 oil today is a bonus. Management is discipline, their Oil Sands are long-life with low decline, and have a strong dividend records. They make money even at low $50 oil. She added more shares recently.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 15/25, Up 18%)

A boring, but recurring, defensive business. They do laundry for hotels and hospitals, the latter of which is growing. They bought a UK company that was great. More synergy is coming. Has more upside.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 15/25, Up 34%)

Is bullish in gas with LNG exports, which PPL is exposed to. PPL's contracts are long-term which pays the stable, growing dividend.

DON'T BUY

All rails are suffering a recession, but is it over? Rails are cyclical to the Canadian economy. She feels were getting closer to a recession. She prefers CN to CP because of PE and dividend. CP's valuation reflects the Kansas City merger and its synergies, so higher. She owns no rails. She would buy CN on a dip.

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