Today, Bruce Campbell (1) commented about whether CSX, BNS.TO, CNR.TO, JE.TO, HBM.TO, HSE.TO, TET.TO, RPL.V, ATH.TO, CNQ.TO, IAE.TO, BBD.B.TO, MRG.UN.TO, GWO.TO, CPG.TO, POT.TO, BTE.TO, BMO.TO, TNT.UN.TO, AR.TO, RLC.TO, CVE.TO, IMG.TO, AGU.TO are stocks to buy or sell.
Heavy oil and a high yielder. This one gets hit when there is a worry about heavy oil/light oil differentials. His problem is that if you put together the dividend and the CapX, it comes out to 140%. He prefers this to be not over 100%. They need to grow into what they are paying. 140% is not a number you can sustain forever. (See Top Picks.)
(A Top Pick March 30/12. Up 18.01%.) Made a property acquisition in the US which he really likes. They rent those properties out. Did stock for it and it has been weak after the issue but he now likes it better than before. A little bit better growth profile going forward. Nice yield of about 6%. One-year target of $12.50.
Thinks there is an expectation of the company “needing” the Chinese deal. As it gets delayed, the stock is weak. Although they are profitable, they are expensive because in the next couple of years there is growth. The market with their view on energy is not willing to pay in advance. Thinks this will continue until there is actually a deal.
Have been a few of these companies where they have switched from a growth model over to a dividend model. They reported and the numbers themselves where fine but the debt was a bit high so the market is worried a little that they don’t have as much room as they used to have. Even with their elevated debt, they are somewhere around 98%-100% so it looks the cheapest of all of these models and has been way oversold. Yield is 14%.
Reported their 1st quarter as a public company last week. Stock has been fairly weak lately. Will probably grow by acquisition. 7% dividend is a nice yield while you’re waiting. Pretty safe business.