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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

As consumer spending steadies, analysts expect GAP to benefit thru its many well recognized brands.  Meanwhile it has been quietly accumulating cash, while buying back shares.  It trades at 9x earnings, 2.3x book and supports a robust 29% ROE.  Its dividend is backed by a payout ratio under 1/3 of cash flow.  We recommend setting a stop-loss at $14, looking to achieve $27 -- upside potential of 28%.  Yield 3.0%

(Analysts’ price target is $27.07)
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

GL is exactly the kind of investment Warren Buffet likes -- a steady cash producer, established in a necessary industry, collecting premiums that won't be paid out until decades later.  We like that it trades at 10x earnings, under 2x book, and supports a 20% ROE.  Its dividend grows annually by over 5%.  We recommend setting a stop-loss at $95, looking to achieve $147 -- upside potential of 23%.  Yield 0.8%

(Analysts’ price target is $147.08)
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

HCI is a property and casualty insurance company based in Florida.  Its recent earnings showed a 17% beat in a EPS of analyst expectations and a 23% growth in margins over the year.  It trades at 14x earnings, under 3x book and supports a 28% ROE.  Cash reserves are growing, while debt is retired and shares bought back.  We recommend setting a stop-loss at $120, looking to achieve $180 -- upside potential of 28%.  Yield 1.1%

(Analysts’ price target is $202.50)
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 17/25, Up 18.8%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with NVDA has achieved its target at $172.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering half the position at this time and trailing up the stop (from $127) to $140.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 29/25, Up 27.3%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with TA has achieved its target at $16.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering half the position at this time and trailing up the stop (from $11) to $13.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 03/25, Down 12.1%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with UPWK has triggered its stop at $13.  To remain disciplined we recommend covering the position at this time.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 27/25, Down 17.1%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with BBAR has triggered its stop at $15.  To remain disciplined we recommend covering the position at this time.

COMMENT

The US economy is in fairly good shape. Labour looks good, though there's lingering inflation with the tariff impact yet to hit. Longer term, he's construction. AI will be deflationary in the long run, and the tariffs will be temporary. Valuations: markets are fully valued, though could rise on organic growth or greater expectations of future growth. He expected volatility this year, though not as deep as last April. Last quarter, the market didn't hold CEOs' feet to the fire when they said that they don't know what's happening because of tariffs, so they pulled guidance; normally, that hurts stock prices, but not last quarter. This time, investors want to know guidance. Last quarter was good, and he hopes this will be.

DON'T BUY

Has owned it in the past. When he held this at $180, the market was ignoring IBM's AI business and saw low growth. So, he bought it. IBM teamed up with Meta to enhance their Watson franchise. He made good money. Then, he started to see the PE rising into the 20s, and Accenture and other peers reported weak results. So, he exited and wouldn't re-enter.

RISKY

Has few very large customers, big telcos and cable companies. They are laying fibre optics across North America to get rural America wired (most of America has poor connectivity). Enjoys a sales backlog, but the risk lies in a company deferring sales, say, out of poor weather.

BUY

Is not effected by tariffs, unless tariffs impact the broader economy strongly. BAC reports tomorrow and he expects good numbers. (Bank earnings today sees improving net interest income, which bodes well for BAC.)

DON'T BUY

Shares have been flat the last four year vs. the S&P up 65% and GM 68%. I positioned on tariffs better than their peers, because their production is in the US, but the problem is their production is expensive. That's why there was gloabalization--to reduce input costs.

STRONG BUY

Is very mispriced. The market feels that if Tesla succeeds in self-driving cars, it will put Uber out of business. No, won't happen. Nearly 20% of Uber's fleeting is autonomous now. Uber is outgrowing their valuation (the PE is dropping). They recently joined the S&P. They have a fantastic future.

BUY

The fear about them was that AI will eat into GOOG's search market share. Yes, AI will, but the overall search market will likely grow. So, GOOG's market share could shrink, but it's search business could still grow. He's bullish. Also, GOOG has a partnership with Uber in self-driving cars, an exciting, growing business. Third, GOOG owns YouTube which dominates the streaming market by far, bigger than Netflix.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 16/24, Up 16%)

AWS is growing again, AI is taking share and their e-commerce is humming along. Firing on all cylinders. Like Uber, they are growing into their numbers (PE) after investing in their future.