(A Top Pick Nov 10/06. Down 10% including distributions.) Still likes. Generally avoids transportation, but this company does it well. Well positioned to take advantage of a huge and continued expenditure in Alberta, building out the oil sands assets and infrastructure. Thinks 12% distribution for 08 will remain intact.
(A Top Pick Nov 10/06. Up 24.8% including distributions.) Excellent company. Basically a cash-generating machine. Should be a core holding in any energy portfolio. Still a Buy.
First oil/gas trust that was formed. 13 year reserve life. Recently has not performed as well as some of its competitors. Income will continue to be high. Given the nature of assets, management feels the best use of their cash flow is not to reinvest, but to pay out to its investors. Don't expect huge growth.
Has good capital behind it if it needs to make acquisitions. Distribution is sustainable in 08. Stock has been beaten up and this is a good entry point, giving a 12%/13% yield. Well run.
Has stumbled in the past. Became more negative on it when it bought the refinery in Newfoundland. Refinery business is very difficult to run a lack of sustainability of cash flow. 90% payout ratio so he could see a distribution cut.
Oil: Nothing has changed about basic fundamentals. Total production will be on an undulating plateau but into an irreversible decline. Prices will gradually rise from about $70 to about $95 over the next 10 years or so. Last fall's price was a total aberration caused by a mistake that the Saudis made. Very attractive investment environment for both oil and gas going forward
Natural Gas: Total Production in the US peaked several years ago and is levelling out in Canada. He is anticipating a significant long-term irreversible decline and prices will have to be high enough to cause a decline in consumption. There has been an aberration for the last 2 years, primarily because production has been restrained by developing tight gas through closer and closer drilling as well as new techniques. Prices will rise gradually from $7 to about $11 during the next 7 years. Very attractive investment environment for both oil and gas going forward
Have oil sands assets in Saskatchewan. This is a newer area for oil sands. This company is not bad, but his focus is on some of the newer oil sands areas but through the private arena.
Very well run business. Conservative management team on a relative basis. Well positioned to replace production this year and maintain current distributions.
This REIT has struggled since inception. Payout ratio is over 100%, which is usually a negative. Put itself up for sale unsuccessfully last year. Expect someone will take the business out as it has good assets. Hard to tell if there will be a cut in distributions.