CEO at Gilman Hill Asset Management
Member since: Sep '21 · 228 Opinions
Doesn't own it, because there's a forecast of a 25% drop in 2026 in single search engine queries. In contrasts, Meta has 90% margins in their single search engine queries. Even if GOOG does well in AI and cloud, those are not as profitable as the main search business. Decent earnings growth ahead, but their earnings are more at risk. Instead of Google, she uses chatGPT and other methods to search.
Is buying more. She bought this 12 years ago. Trimmed it last February at $230 when it was priced for perfection. It reported today and is down 16%, but is trading at a lower 12x PE. They reduced sales guidance to 10% but from 10-12% and affirmed earnings guidance at 15-17%. All their businesses have huge growth, and a 7% free cash flow yield overall. They delivered double-digit earnings growth for 40 straight years. A permanent compounder.
It's like owning a bond with an 11% yield. Tune out the political noise and focus on the steadiness of the earnings and dividends.