
Managing Partner at Requisite Capital Management
Member since: Oct '21 · 263 Opinions
Software is coming back. Microsoft's report recently was a game changer, giving a ton of support for software. Ultimately, LLM's become commodities, but businesses need a trusted application layer, meaning software. There will be winners and losers, but IGV is a good way to play software without the risk. IGV will keep making higher lows.
Since reporting last week, they've rallied almost 130 points. MSFT is at the epicenter of the software (SAAS) socks and ultimately is where you'll make money as these models as these models commoditize. MSFT said, this capex spending is here to stay, but software isn't going away. She didn't sell it before earnings (it had been lagging all year), because she firmly believed in the CEO who did a great job of reading the room, of not doing what Google's doing. They said they will have free cash flow and won't go to the debt market (MSFT and JNJ are the only triple-A companies). Cloud revenue beat and guided upward. Still gotta see what they're spending on capex, but they're monetizing cloud. People are looking at this in a new light as it is re-rated.
Down 15% this year though the QQQ is up 15% because the chip stocks have become a bigger weighting. Meta is not executing and pivoting on a daily basis. Meta is burning money, figuring out what to do, but should focus on Instagram, Facebook and WhatsApp and their glasses. Those areas are doing great.
She trusts him. Until NVDA breaches $230-236, it will rangebound from $210-230. But once it breaks that, the stock will go meaningfully higher. Until then, sell calls.