Stock Opinions by Bryn Talkington

STRONG BUY
Microsoft Corp

Their recent report just crushed it in tone and delivery as they use open AI inside the company. Copilot AI will be huge.

computer software / processing
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Apple Inc

It trades at a premium, because they have durable earnings. It just broke below its 200-day moving average, and she expects weakness going into next Thursday's report. But she would buy on weakness after this report.

electrical / electronic
WATCH
Roblox Corporation

Upgraded today. If rates settle, this can hit $37. Don't add until Nov. 8 earnings, but bookings and daily active users are growing 25% YOY. A great long-term platform. May add share after earnings.

Technology
BUY

A defensive way to own the world's best companies. They sell covered calls on the QQQs with an 11% call premium.

E.T.F.'s
BUY
Tesla Inc

They report after today's bell. The options market points to a +6% or -6% move higher. Will they be at a trough in margins? What are they doing in AI? She owns it long-term. Tesla is not just a car company.

Consumer Products
DON'T BUY
NVIDIA Corporation
Price targets were cut by some analysts today, down 9% the past week

The 200-day moving average is down to $340. Many bought this stock AFTER it moved up. The stock needs to hold here (it's held before). It's had a great year, but many who bought after the rally will sell, she suspects.

computer software / processing
HOLD
Apple Inc
It's facing weak iPhone 15 demand

The chart looks terrible and it can easily go to $165. It's had a good return this year vs. its megatech peers, but she wants to see topline growth. You can't ignore the technical weakness though.

electrical / electronic
SELL
Goldman Sachs

She owned this for a long time, just sold it. What catalyst is there to drive this higher? She sees headwinds instead. She doesn't like the financials, late cycle. IPOs won't be meaningful to their earnings.

investment companies / funds
DON'T BUY

Airlines are destroyers of wealth. Rent, but don't own an airline sock. Going back to 2006, UAL's total return is 8%, and down over 50% in the last 5 years. Same with their peers. 

Transportation
DON'T BUY
Roblox Corporation

Is down 30% this year.  But last quarter, revenue was up 15%, bookings 15%, and average daily user use 25%. But this won't perform until they increase earnings, which she doesn't expect.

Technology
HOLD
Devon Energy Corp

The CEO will turn things around, but the free cash flow yield last year was 9% and below 3% this year. They need to fix that to attract share-buyers.

oil / gas
BUY

Has a free cash flow yield around 9.5%.

E.T.F.'s
BUY
NVIDIA Corporation

The CEO has delivered in execution and performance. Also likes AMD and LAM Research, but not the SMH ETF, because there's such a dispersion with this sector.

computer software / processing
DON'T BUY

Likes Nividia, AMD and LAM Research, but not the SMH ETF, because there's such a dispersion with this sector.

E.T.F.'s
BUY
AbbVie Inc.

Great cash flow yield. A great performer in 2022, but has been recently weak with most of healthcare. Beyond healthcare, healthcare has the highest free cash flow, good to hold as we enter an uncertain economy.

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