
Managing Partner at Requisite Capital Management
Member since: Oct '21 · 241 Opinions
The market has shifted from GPU-intensive to CPUs in the past year. So AMD and Arm are catching up during this CPU move. We're probably entering at time where these stocks get way ahead of themselves, because that's the nature of this market. Unlike 1999, earnings are backing up all these parabolic moves and are actually getting cheap (in PE) due to their strong earnings power.
Earnings are surprisingly strong. Dell is clearly taking share from Super Micro Computer as the data centre build-out takes shape. Their backlog grew, raised guidance, and infrastructure services grew 181% over a year. Also, there's a huge share buyback, but we're still in early days. Earnings and margins will continue to be strong with these data centre names. Revenues have been growing 20% annually consistently. Demand is strong and will endure.
Amid this private credit sell-off, she keeps adding to their tech fund. Private credit fears now are overblown. Over 10 years, the top decile private credit manager earned 12% and the bottom decile did 4%. A year from now, the big earners will come out as big winners and those that don't, don't. She believes in Blue Owl.
It's broken above its 200-day moving average. She thinks the software space will continue going higher.