Today, Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA and Stephen Takacsy, B. Eng, MBA commented about whether TS.B.TO, CJR.B.TO, GUD.TO, CGX.TO, KEG.UN.TO, NPI.TO, PLC.TO, NLN.TO, ECN.TO, TCL.A.TO, RSI.TO, PUR.TO, FOOD.TO, VLN.TO, LGT.B.TO, DBO.TO, KBL.TO, CGY.TO, SIS.TO, EQB.TO, AQN.TO, SHOP.TO, TPK.TO, DOL.TO, ZPW.TO, ZWH.TO, CBO.TO, XOM, IMO.TO are stocks to buy or sell.
IMO-T vs. XOM-N. Oil is not going to take off in a big way but he has been buying oil on weakness over the last while. However he is now thinking of reducing his weight in oil. Now is not the time to step in. He would tend to stick with Canadian because of currency risk. They are getting over bought.
IMO-T vs. XOM-N. Oil is not going to take off in a big way but he has been buying oil on weakness over the last while. However he is now thinking of reducing his weight in oil. Now is not the time to step in. He would tend to stick with Canadian because of currency risk. They are getting over bought.
A laddered bond portfolio. He likes it. Each ETF provider’s version has had bad performance over the last few months because short term yields are seen as rising. The risk is if the BOC is more aggressively tightening. You want to wait until after the next announcement when there may be another pull back and then perhaps get in.
Educational Segment. (weekly series) What Investor Personality Are You?: 3. The Follower. Typically are interested in markets but don’t know a lot and are most interested in looking for a ‘tip’. Their portfolios don’t have a lot of construction or diversification. They suffer from regret aversion and hindsight bias. They won’t make a lot of their own decisions. The FANG stocks have a lot of these.
Markets. The BOC may have blown it by increasing rates so abruptly. The CAD$ just blasted off and that is never a good thing when it moves too far too fast. They need to telegraph the message better next time. It will be harder on exports in the next few quarters. He feels the proposed tax reforms are regressive, attacking small businesses. It is extremely negative for the economy. American stocks are very stretched in terms of valuations. There are better opportunities in Canada. He likes small to mid-sized companies that have leadership roles and are doing business in the US also.
Markets. Trump was not focused on North Korea over the weekend in Tweets. But North Korea is suggesting that previous tweets were a declaration of war. Markets have dropped slightly. At some point the market wakes up. In Germany, Merkel was re-elected but with fewer votes. The Euro has dropped. Governing in Germany is going to me more difficult. Eventually the European project starts to break apart. The risk factor is there. Unwinding of countries’ balance sheets is another market risk present. Caution should prevail in the markets right now.