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Markets. Trump was not focused on North Korea over the weekend in Tweets. But North Korea is suggesting that previous tweets were a declaration of war. Markets have dropped slightly. At some point the market wakes up. In Germany, Merkel was re-elected but with fewer votes. The Euro has dropped. Governing in Germany is going to me more difficult. Eventually the European project starts to break apart. The risk factor is there. Unwinding of countries’ balance sheets is another market risk present. Caution should prevail in the markets right now.

WATCH

IMO-T vs. XOM-N. Oil is not going to take off in a big way but he has been buying oil on weakness over the last while. However he is now thinking of reducing his weight in oil. Now is not the time to step in. He would tend to stick with Canadian because of currency risk. They are getting over bought.

DON'T BUY

IMO-T vs. XOM-N. Oil is not going to take off in a big way but he has been buying oil on weakness over the last while. However he is now thinking of reducing his weight in oil. Now is not the time to step in. He would tend to stick with Canadian because of currency risk. They are getting over bought.

WATCH

A laddered bond portfolio. He likes it. Each ETF provider’s version has had bad performance over the last few months because short term yields are seen as rising. The risk is if the BOC is more aggressively tightening. You want to wait until after the next announcement when there may be another pull back and then perhaps get in.

WATCH

Lithium ETF Recommendation. LIT-N has had a great run up and is tremendously over bought. He would wait for a pull back into the low $30s before buying.

BUY

Fang Stocks ETF Recommendation. FNG-N. See his educational segment today. When we go into ‘Risk Off’ you will see a lot of profit taking happening.

HOLD

The decline over the summer was all currency. If North Korea escalates, the US$ could shoot up and then you would get an increase in the ETF.

BUY

Sleep At Night Portfolio. He nick-named the portfolios he began running for BMO-T about 4 years ago. He still believes in these very much.

WATCH

ETF in AI Category. BOTZ-N and ROBO-N. They have had a phenomenal run up and are probably over done a bit at this point. Japan has a significant weight. It will be an investment theme for decades to come.

BUY

Writes put options across many sectors. The decline over the summer was all currency. You might want to go to ZPH-T if the dollar gets down to a $0.80 dollar. It has not had the down move of ZPW-T.

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Educational Segment. (weekly series) What Investor Personality Are You?: 3. The Follower. Typically are interested in markets but don’t know a lot and are most interested in looking for a ‘tip’. Their portfolios don’t have a lot of construction or diversification. They suffer from regret aversion and hindsight bias. They won’t make a lot of their own decisions. The FANG stocks have a lot of these.

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Markets. The BOC may have blown it by increasing rates so abruptly. The CAD$ just blasted off and that is never a good thing when it moves too far too fast. They need to telegraph the message better next time. It will be harder on exports in the next few quarters. He feels the proposed tax reforms are regressive, attacking small businesses. It is extremely negative for the economy. American stocks are very stretched in terms of valuations. There are better opportunities in Canada. He likes small to mid-sized companies that have leadership roles and are doing business in the US also.

BUY

One of the only retailers that is AMZN-Q proof. It is a tough one for a value investor to buy. You have to be careful if they ever did disappoint. You have to keep your eye on it. The valuations are way too high for his style of investing.

BUY

A great little company. Volumes have been growing steadily for the last few years. Huge barriers to entry. Great margins and cash flow. They are building a new plant because of expected further huge growth in volumes.

SELL

Another extremely expensive, high growth stock. They are migrating up the food chain to larger companies. It is priced for perfection. Another company could complete with them. If you have made nice money he would take the money and run.

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