Today, Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA and Michael Sprung commented about whether SLF.TO, CAE.TO, TLM.TO, WCN.TO, RY.TO, AGT.TO, TD.TO, QSR.TO, JE.TO, TECK.B.TO, CP.TO, TRP.TO, POT.TO, GAS.TO, WPM.TO, OBE.TO, TA.TO, BCE.TO are stocks to buy or sell.
Educational Segment. Inflation. They have changed the way they calculated it. Once in the 80s and again in the 90s. Tires today last longer than they did decades ago so the fact that they went up in price does not indicate an actual inflation rate. Inflation is 5.5% using the pre-1990 method but is 2% using today's method. US GDP would have gone way down using the old way of calculating inflation but using today's method it has gone up.
Markets. We could see stocks go a little lower yet. We had a nice run up in the third quarter of the year and we are seeing a little bit of an adjustment here. Short term there are events in Europe and the US election but long term people could look around for buys. He is probably holding a little more cash than he normally would so if he sees some setback in the market then he is prepared to go in and take advantage of it.
or people who hold it for longer term yield, it is ok. Going forward, the pipeline in the US could get approved. Look at what the dividend increases over time could be and the modest capital appreciation. Could see it pull back 10% or so in a bad environment. He would hold on to it. It is fairly valued.
People are concerned with the yield. It is extremely high and people are wondering if they are going to be able to maintain it. The market is a little bit suspect. Few analysts cover this stock. Over all he thinks they set some growth initiatives and came up a little short over the last few quarters. He would be looking at ECI-T (8%).
Markets. The race is tightening up according to the US election polls. Big political decisions could change the outlook for the markets. Republicans are perceived to be better for the stock market. Thinks US will be downgraded next year by S&P. Sales are dropping for the first time since the recession. IMF saying GDP will be just over 3%. If the fiscal cliff in the US is implemented, that will be a 1 or 1-1/2% recession in the US. Looking at IBM, you have the potential for a major top. Maybe there is one more leg up in the US market.