
President at Caldwell Securities
Member since: Oct '00 · 1313 Opinions
Yes, unless it isn't ;) Depends what the post from Truth Social is at 3 am. The most likely scenario is that we're through this particular bizarre phase. Whatever "exogenous shock" is going to hit the market probably won't be Iran, but could be something totally different. There will be a bit of a hangover in the markets, just because after these traumatic events everyone's on a sort of mental high-alert.
Energy prices will probably continue to come down. Neither the US nor the president has any appetite to renew hostilities with Iran, as Trump really is looking down the barrel of the midterm elections. A lot of what happens in US foreign and domestic policy, as well as monetary policy, will be governed by the looming elections in early November. Those could determine whether Trump can continue to run things the way he has been, and he's going to do everything possible to achieve that.
The pullback in the gold sector, for one. He's not asking anyone to catch a falling knife, but thinks the sector will continue to rally. The lack of faith in fiat currencies and government-issued currencies will be here for a while. Other stores of value will continue to be important.
Buying and selling.
If you're not sure whether to buy something or not, buy a little bit. It gives you confidence to buy a bit more, and a bit more, as you ease your way into a position.
Selling works exactly the same way. If it goes down, you're glad you sold some. If it goes up, you still own some.