Stock Opinions by Brendan Caldwell - Stockchase Experts
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Brendan Caldwell @

On Stockchase since : Oct 2000

President at Caldwell Securities

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Stock Opinions by Brendan Caldwell - Stockchase Experts

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General Market Comment 

November 13, 2017

Market.  He likes stocks that don’t need the markets to go higher in order to provided returns.  There is a lot of opportunity to make money in Canada.  We have seen a lot of good things happen in the markets.  We are piggy backing a little on the things going on in the US markets.  We have seen energy markets bounce here in Canada.  There are positive signs here in Canada but also things to be concerned about.  The US congress and the president may not get a tax deal done.  Whether or not there is a hike in rates that will make more difference.

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Market.  He likes stocks that don’t need the markets to go higher in order to provided returns.  There is a lot of opportunity to make money in Canada.  We have seen a lot of good things happen in the markets.  We are piggy backing a little on the things going on in the US markets.  We have seen energy markets bounce here in Canada.  There are positive signs here in Canada but also things to be concerned about.  The US congress and the president may not get a tax deal done.  Whether or not there is a hike in rates that will make more difference.

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Brendan Caldwel

President, Caldwell Securities...

Price Price
$0.020
Owned Owned
_N/A

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DON'T BUY

It has been a position of his for some time.  But margins are under pressure.  They have been increasing their adverting budget.  He thinks there will be pressure on margins for some time.  He recently sold it.  It was a darling for such a long time and it made a high and then made a lower high.  There are better opportunities in the Canadian market.

household goods
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It has been a position of his for some time.  But margins are under pressure.  They have been increasing their adverting budget.  He thinks there will be pressure on margins for some time.  He recently sold it.  It was a darling for such a long time and it made a high and then made a lower high.  There are better opportunities in the Canadian market.

household goods
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Brendan Caldwel

President, Caldwell Securities...

Price Price
$32.470
Owned Owned
Unknown

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DON'T BUY
Stelco Holdings Inc.(STLC-T) 

November 13, 2017

They have totally different management.  A good decade ino the past until it was up and trading.  There were a lot of industrial companies in Canada in the late ‘90s and early 2000s.  You are seeing a resurgence in the industrials.  China has been the big importer of industrial steel and they just held a big party conference.  It might be that you will see a slowdown in industrial products.  There may be pressure from decreasing Chinese orders coming down.

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They have totally different management.  A good decade ino the past until it was up and trading.  There were a lot of industrial companies in Canada in the late ‘90s and early 2000s.  You are seeing a resurgence in the industrials.  China has been the big importer of industrial steel and they just held a big party conference.  It might be that you will see a slowdown in industrial products.  There may be pressure from decreasing Chinese orders coming down.

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Brendan Caldwel

President, Caldwell Securities...

Price Price
$19.440
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT

A big international mining company.  You have to assume electric cars going forward are all they are hyped up to be.  You also have to assume S-T is going to be a major beneficiary.  There has been and continues to be stronger demand for base metals that they dig out of the ground all over the world, which provides diversification and they could also be subject to political risk.

integrated mines
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A big international mining company.  You have to assume electric cars going forward are all they are hyped up to be.  You also have to assume S-T is going to be a major beneficiary.  There has been and continues to be stronger demand for base metals that they dig out of the ground all over the world, which provides diversification and they could also be subject to political risk.

integrated mines
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Brendan Caldwel

President, Caldwell Securities...

Price Price
$1.470
Owned Owned
Unknown

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WEAK BUY
Toronto Dominion(TD-T) 

November 13, 2017

They did extraordinarily well coming out of the financial crisis.  So much of their direct lending was leveraged to the energy space but now prices are up to $55 for energy so they will not see the large defaults people were afraid of.  His preference would be BNS-T.  TD-T is probably the best to play the US.  They took on a competitive US environment and did very well.  No one in the US thinks of it as a Canadian Bank.  You are betting on the strength of the US banking system doing well.  He prefers BNS-T because of the international exposure.

banks
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They did extraordinarily well coming out of the financial crisis.  So much of their direct lending was leveraged to the energy space but now prices are up to $55 for energy so they will not see the large defaults people were afraid of.  His preference would be BNS-T.  TD-T is probably the best to play the US.  They took on a competitive US environment and did very well.  No one in the US thinks of it as a Canadian Bank.  You are betting on the strength of the US banking system doing well.  He prefers BNS-T because of the international exposure.

banks
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Brendan Caldwel

President, Caldwell Securities...

Price Price
$72.810
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
Magna Int'l. (A)(MG-T) 

November 13, 2017

He does not follow it specially but has owned a number of related companies.  MG-T is probably Canada’s best known Auto parts supplier.  He thinks it will be as strong if interest rates stay as low as they have been.  They are highly leveraged to strength in the stock market. 

Automotive
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He does not follow it specially but has owned a number of related companies.  MG-T is probably Canada’s best known Auto parts supplier.  He thinks it will be as strong if interest rates stay as low as they have been.  They are highly leveraged to strength in the stock market. 

Automotive
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Brendan Caldwel

President, Caldwell Securities...

Price Price
$67.530
Owned Owned
No

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COMMENT
CRH Medical Corp.(CRH-T) 

November 13, 2017

They are in the US mainly and partner with anesthesiologists, for gut surgeries.  There is a whole system in the US as to who can treat whom and what they will pay.  These guys have been hit because of lack of organic growth and the concern is whether the reduced amount the Medicaid is willing to pay will impact margins going forward.  He thinks it is overdone.

biotechnology/pharmaceutical
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They are in the US mainly and partner with anesthesiologists, for gut surgeries.  There is a whole system in the US as to who can treat whom and what they will pay.  These guys have been hit because of lack of organic growth and the concern is whether the reduced amount the Medicaid is willing to pay will impact margins going forward.  He thinks it is overdone.

biotechnology/pharmaceutical
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Brendan Caldwel

President, Caldwell Securities...

Price Price
$2.080
Owned Owned
Unknown

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SELL
Celestica Inc(CLS-T) 

November 13, 2017

It one of Canada’s largest suppliers of electronic components and they took a hit, so he sold it in wake of the earnings call.  He did well on it but nothing lasts forever.  It will be a few quarters turning around.

electrical/electronic
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It one of Canada’s largest suppliers of electronic components and they took a hit, so he sold it in wake of the earnings call.  He did well on it but nothing lasts forever.  It will be a few quarters turning around.

electrical/electronic
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Brendan Caldwel

President, Caldwell Securities...

Price Price
$13.550
Owned Owned
No

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WEAK BUY
Hudson Bay Co.(HBC-T) 

November 13, 2017

Retail has not done well.  Eaton’s used to be the largest retailer on the face of the earth.  Retail then was very different than the way it is done now.  You have to look at AMZN-Q.  He thinks, however, HBC-T will do relatively well this season.

department stores
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Retail has not done well.  Eaton’s used to be the largest retailer on the face of the earth.  Retail then was very different than the way it is done now.  You have to look at AMZN-Q.  He thinks, however, HBC-T will do relatively well this season.

department stores
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Brendan Caldwel

President, Caldwell Securities...

Price Price
$11.750
Owned Owned
No

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WEAK BUY
AGT Food & Ingredients(AGT-T) 

November 13, 2017

GE-N cut its dividend today.  So is any dividend safe? – only the Canadian banks.  He used o own AGT-T and it was an important part of his value momentum strategy but he sold out.  Management is not doing a bad job but these things go in cycles. 

agriculture
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GE-N cut its dividend today.  So is any dividend safe? – only the Canadian banks.  He used o own AGT-T and it was an important part of his value momentum strategy but he sold out.  Management is not doing a bad job but these things go in cycles. 

agriculture
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Brendan Caldwel

President, Caldwell Securities...

Price Price
$18.475
Owned Owned
No

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DON'T BUY

Their Chili is possibly the best anywhere in the free world.  When you look at growth here, there are places where you can’t go 40 meters without coming across a Tim Horton’s, so there is very little growth here.  It remains to be seen if the US growth will drive them.  He prefers IRG-T.

food services
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Their Chili is possibly the best anywhere in the free world.  When you look at growth here, there are places where you can’t go 40 meters without coming across a Tim Horton’s, so there is very little growth here.  It remains to be seen if the US growth will drive them.  He prefers IRG-T.

food services
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Brendan Caldwel

President, Caldwell Securities...

Price Price
$83.050
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY

It is a very Canadian story.  They are a drug manufacturer that were hit in a wave that took down others.  He does not follow it closely, but a number of these stories have the ability to reconstitute themselves.  They can find a way to make money at it or find someone to take them over.

Pharma & Healthcare
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It is a very Canadian story.  They are a drug manufacturer that were hit in a wave that took down others.  He does not follow it closely, but a number of these stories have the ability to reconstitute themselves.  They can find a way to make money at it or find someone to take them over.

Pharma & Healthcare
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Brendan Caldwel

President, Caldwell Securities...

Price Price
$0.680
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
Aurora Cannabis(ACB-T) 

November 13, 2017

There are risks in getting from here to there in getting it legalized in North America.  It is the second mouse that gets the cheeze.  This is as good a company as any to do well in this industry.

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There are risks in getting from here to there in getting it legalized in North America.  It is the second mouse that gets the cheeze.  This is as good a company as any to do well in this industry.

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Brendan Caldwel

President, Caldwell Securities...

Price Price
$5.970
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
Calian Group Ltd(CGY-T) 

November 13, 2017

See Past Picks today.  This one is fairly diversified.  It was a top pick previously and he still owns it and is still enthusiastic about it. 

consulting
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See Past Picks today.  This one is fairly diversified.  It was a top pick previously and he still owns it and is still enthusiastic about it. 

consulting
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Brendan Caldwel

President, Caldwell Securities...

Price Price
$32.250
Owned Owned
Yes

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WEAK BUY
Sunopta Inc.(STKL-Q) 

November 13, 2017

When a stock takes a hit you have to look at it to whether it will be a onetime hit.  This one has the habit of doing this, as do a lot of fruit stocks.  There is an incredible demand and he is positive on the continued growth of it.

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When a stock takes a hit you have to look at it to whether it will be a onetime hit.  This one has the habit of doing this, as do a lot of fruit stocks.  There is an incredible demand and he is positive on the continued growth of it.

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Brendan Caldwel

President, Caldwell Securities...

Price Price
$7.000
Owned Owned
Yes

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