Opinions

Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA iShares Natural Gas Commodity ETF GAS-T DON'T BUY Oct 22, 2012

GAS-T is an ETF holding the forward future. Not a good long term hold. ZJN-T or FCG-N are better for a longer-term hold.

Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA

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COMMENT

Physical natural gas contracts in Canada.

BUY

Likes natural gas. The further up that oil goes the better chance for natural gas to go up. Typical of supply and demand and there is a lot more supply than demand. You could bet on the commodity through this and longer term do quite well.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick June 1/10. Down 26.03%.) Natural gas ETF. Still a Hold.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick June 1/10. Down 20.41%.) Tracks physical gas. Sold his holdings after probably a few months. Not a buy.

DON'T BUY

Natural Gas Commodity ETF. This trades an awful lot like a commodity because it’s based on Canadian gas contract. He doesn't like it because he just doesn't know what it's going to do.

DON'T BUY

whenever he buys this he loses. No upside.

BUY

Does not have the liquidity that many would like. Going to the US for such an ETF may not be much better.

BUY

There is a huge amount of natural gas coming out of fracking in the US. It may be worth looking at now. It is possible that the US could be self sufficient for energy within a decade. It may be time to be looking at Nat. Gas.

DON'T BUY

Has futures contracts underlying it. There is net asset erosion over time because of rolling over contracts. He does not think any of these are really great for long term hold. Prefers companies who explore like FCG-N and ZJN-T.

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Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA iShares Natural Gas Commodity ETF GAS-T DON'T BUY Oct 22, 2012

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