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Latest Stock Buy or Sell? Make More Informed Decisions!

Today, Michelle Wearing commented about whether SAFE, ERE.UN.TO, MI.UN.TO, ARE, WIR.UN.TO, CRT.UN.TO, CSH.UN.TO, MPCT.UN.TO, MRT.UN.TO, CHP.UN.TO, HPP, AMH, GRT.UN.TO, BPY.UN.TO, SIA.TO, DIR.UN.TO, CRR.UN.TO are stocks to buy or sell.

COMMENT
Stock selection, which she forecast for 2020, has borne out. Low interest rates and dividend cuts will drive investors to real estate. We face headwinds: US-China tensions, high number of COVID cases in the U.S. and the U.S. vote. Low rates and low growth with ongoing fiscal stimulus means strong equity returns but--with global bonds yielding near-zero, will spur a lot of capital to chase yield. Some REITs are trimming dividends, like H&R and Cominar. Stock selection is crucial. In REITs, she owns industrial, apartment, data centres and towers, and nothing in retail (too much supply) or seniors housing (too risky and oversupply and increased costs due to COVID) or hotels. She likes apartment REITs, because apartments are very undersupplied in places like Toronto until cities provide more affordable housing.
DON'T BUY

It holds mostly retail that contains Sobeys and is 40% in the east coast. Empire owns 40% of this. Last week's Q2 results were below expectations due to high debt. Rent collection was 93% in July, which is positive. New buildings will be mixed-use, which is positive but COVID has delayed and made the costs higher. They have a good pipeline and Empire's backing are pluses, but she sees better opportunities in other sectors. She likes this REIT, though, and sees it as a steady eddy.

DON'T BUY
She likes the industrial REITs. They just started acquiring in Europe, but the industrial market is competitive globally. Occupancy has hit a 3-year low at 93% though. They collect rent well and have raised capital recently. This will continue to struggle and they are paying out a lot to maintain its dividend.
DON'T BUY
She is very cautious seniors housing. Sienna is 44% retirement living and 56% long-term care. They've had very negative press, with a few homes needing army help. They face lawsuits. They're paying elevated costs to manage COVID, like hiring new advisors to fix their problems and conduct an internal review. They've suffered occupancy declines. A lot of noise in this stock. Sienna stock is cheap now, but it's too early to enter it. Sienna will not escape blame from the current government review.
BUY

She doesn't own direct retail, but BPY holds the best-in-class assets run by the smartest managers. It's also trading at a ridiculous discount. It yields over a 11% dividend yield. BAM'A is the majority owner and is buying back a big chunk of shares in the next three months. BPY has strongly underperformed since Brookfield took this public five years ago. Problems: holds core office assets and leverage is high, which is how Brookfield runs real estate. Also, its LP structure is a barrier to many large U.S. funds. She likes BPY.UN. If the stock price doesn't perform, the Brookfield parent will buy it entirely. Cutting the dividend won't help the stock, and the dividend is safe. It's a great company to hold this and you get paid 11-12% to wait.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 22/19, Up 29%) She's added to her position, likes it. It's a global industrial landlord in North America and Europe. It benefits from quality industrial space. They collected 99% of rents in Q2. They acquired 5 million sq.ft. They report Q2 tomorrow. Happy to own it.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 22/19, Up 14%) Added to this. It's a major single-family rental company. They have a solid balance sheet. They benefit from existing low single-family home supply and starts, plus pent-up demand. They collected 96.5% of Q2 rents. Solid cash flow.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 22/19, Down 26%) Sold in March. They own high-quality office on the west coast from LA to Vancouver. She sold in March anticipating the damage from COVID. She is cautious about this REIT and type of REIT until a vaccine emerges, likely next year. No, the office isn't dead and she expects most people to return to the office, but this could take years. Cash flow has held up well.
DON'T BUY
This was spin out of Loblaw in 2018. It has a large development pipeline in mixed use in great areas that will take 10-20 years to complete. So, there's long growth. Debt is too high for her tastes and expects them to come to market for capital. Choice has held in fairly well, benefitting from strong demand for grocery stores. Recently their report indicate high debt outside the grocers. There are better opportunities in industrials and apartments.
DON'T BUY
It's a holding company that holds various investments. Be long-term here and patient. Some of those investments need time to recover, like secondary malls and office towers, mostly in Alberta. Those are headwinds. It'll pay off, but not until the long term. Things will recover. Caveat: This is thinly traded with low volume.
BUY

It's managed by Dream Unlimited. They own a lot of condos and mixed-use properties in Toronto. It trades far below NAV and pays nearly an 8% dividend which is safe. It's incredibly cheap now compared to the quality of the assets. Management keeps buying back a lot of shares in the open market. If things don't work out, they could privatize this REIT. But she's confident about it.

DON'T BUY
She once owned it. The retirement sector was weak even before COVID due to oversupply of seniors' housing in Canada. (CSH has only 15% exposed to long-term care.) She expects ongoing occupancy decline, and with COVID expenses will impact their 2020 revenues. This stock is on hold, though the seniors housing sector is attractive long-term. The stock will stay cheap until COVID is resolved and the oversupply ends.
DON'T BUY
Spun-out from Canadian Tire, and 92% of their income comes from Canadian Tire. They reported strong results last week; they collected an impressive 98.5% of rent in July. They surprisingly raised their Q2 dividend by 2%, indicating confident cash flows. Won't be much growth, because the leases are 9 years on average, but will be safe and steady steady. Canadian Tire owns this, which is a tailwind, but there's better growth elsewhere.
COMMENT

They collected 99.5% of rents in July, a great number. Leverage is high. They pay out 100% of their AFFO, so they won't raise their dividend. She likes this, but prefers Granite REIT.

TOP PICK
The only REIT in health sciences, and is benefiting from demand to treat and cure COVID-19 and other diseases. Though considered an office REIT, she notes that many of its tenants cannot work from home. Rent collection is impressive at 99%, because life sciences are deemed essential. It leased 1 million sq. feet in Q2, consistent with prior quarters with rents 15% higher. Likes its assets, and it's a niche way to play this sector. (Analysts’ price target is $181.56)

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