Latest Stock Buy or Sell? Make More Informed Decisions!

Today, Gerard Ferguson commented about whether TH.TO, WIR.UN.TO, AC.TO, CTC.A.TO, CNQ.TO, CCL.B.TO, DOL.TO, ATRL.TO, CHR.TO, TECK.B.TO, SHOP.TO, NFI.TO, PIF.TO, BYD.TO, SPE.TO, ACB.TO, NXE.TO, TSL.TO, HBC.TO are stocks to buy or sell.

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Markets. With uncertain economic data and what Trump will do, there is a lot of uncertainty. He is becoming more defensive. He has reduced some long positions and increased some short positions. There are long opportunities, but you have to be a stock picker. It is not about sectors, but stocks. Canada is very cyclical. There are more opportunities in the US, but you will find a greater rate of return in Canada. He has about 20% in cash. He has a lot more put protection in the market now. It is very hard to use hard stops on core positions. 10-20% of his portfolio is normally shorts. He also does pairs trades.

DON'T BUY

The retail space is a very difficult space. The core of their business is retailing, but the story is about retail and acquisition. As a real estate company they are getting near the bottom. but as a retailer there is really very little value. He does not like any retailers.

BUY

The largest product is nails so it is a play on the recovery in the US and in their housing market. He thinks we are early in that recovery. He likes the housing recovery story.

BUY

Uranium. It has been an enticing sector for 15 years, but they have chronically disappointed. You can get surprises in the exploring space. This one is one of them. They are well capitalized. This project will take a couple more years. but it will be a world class mine. There may be players interested in taking them out.

WEAK BUY

They are moving to the big board. It is probably the third Marijuana company to be listed on the TSX. He thinks this won’t attract more investors internationally. This is a step along the maturation phase for this company and for the industry. This company also has a lot of convertible debt.

HOLD

A strong management team and their being acquisition focused, he would stick with it. It has been impacted by low commodity prices.

PAST TOP PICK

(Top Pick Apr 4/17, Up 12.67%) There are typically more accidents in some weather conditions and this benefits the stock. They are a consistent performer year after year. Self driving cars are seen as a long term risk to this business, but that is 10-15 years out. Shorter term there is currency risk. From an operations point of view they have done an excellent job. He expects double digit rates of return as they continue to acquire and increase store locations.

PAST TOP PICK

(Top Pick Apr 4/17, Up 17.84%) They reported a strong quarter. They had gone through a restructuring and now they are focusing on operating as expected. They are going to expand the current project and then move onto new ones.

PAST TOP PICK

(Top Pick Apr 4/17, Up 12.29%) It is a play on transportation. They made some big acquisitions in the past and are integrating them so that you see the impact on margins.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

They had a great move, but it is not cheap. It is really a Canadian success story and there is room to grow. It is a name that people sell when they rotate out of the space. There is a floor around their recently equity issue. It is his largest position in the fund. They have shown their ability to deliver.

DON'T BUY

A very late cycle type of stock. We saw a very big move in the name so he would be very hesitant to move back into it. The balance sheet risk has been taken out of this story.

HOLD

He looks at it as a sustainable dividend name. It is a slow growth type of company.

WATCH

They had a troubled few years. They have not completely emerged from this. They have not settled and so a lot of investors cannot own the name. He would revisit it on a pull back. It is a name that people want to own going forward.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

One of Canada’s greatest success stories. It is common to sell too early in this name. They have impressed in terms of their store roll out and have outperformed their US peers. He thinks they will continue to deliver. Stocks don’t go up forever and will eventually pull back so you can get it again. He thinks it will split, but this won’t increase value for the investor, however.

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The expectation for increases in interest rates has caused a pull back in interest sensitive stocks. He thinks rates won’t go up much and it will be low for longer.