Today, Steve Carlin commented about whether GEI.TO, TD.TO, CPG.TO, IMN.TO, FCR.UN.TO, TECK.B.TO, RCI.B.TO, T.TO, CNR.TO, COS.TO, BNS.TO, BB.TO, G.TO, FNV.TO, PPL.TO, LLL.TO, DOL.TO, MG.TO, BMO.TO, ARX.TO, D.UN.TO, CVE.TO, RON.TO, WTE.TO, BBD.B.TO, LIF.TO, LIM.TO, KEY.TO, CNQ.TO, POT.TO, AGU.TO are stocks to buy or sell.
US Markets. Have concerns about the 2nd half of the year. Volumes have been very low this summer and the recent rally was a low grade one. His worry is on the “fiscal cliff” concern on a variety of different initiatives that will automatically get implemented in the US. Could potentially shave as much as 4% off of GDP out of the equation if politicians don’t get their act together. Doesn’t think it will play out as well as the headlines. Currently he is going to sit aside because he feels there will be better opportunity between now and the end of the year to look at some of the US names. Currently market has gone up because of expectations of a QE 3 by the Fed that he feels they will push out for at least a few more months.
Canadian Market. Being an export-based economy we have to be very careful about some of the industries such as energy and materials. Feels the economic environment in Canada is fine. 2% growth is not great but better than other global regions. Continues to see earnings growth into 2013. Market doesn’t look cheap but doesn’t look really expensive. Still feels there is upside in the market from here.
A hedge fund is currently trying to get them to surface some value out of their retail division. Doesn’t think this is a smart move for the company. Management can probably get a little bit better in inventory management and improving some of the margins of their retail division. Expect there is some potential for some upside surprises in earnings.
Before buying, he would wait for some downside. Have given further guidance that they are going to cut some production. Basically trying to manage inventory because demand is weak. Expecting potential downside from volumes this year and into 2013. 52-week low was $38.31 and he would try to buy at that price.
This is his favourite in the integrated space. Built for growth as far out as 2017. Likes its diversified nature. Its refining assets help to offset some of the volatility. Have been delivering on their promises. Bringing cash costs and volumes in lower-than-expected. Possible dividend increases. Expecting a 15% upside in 12 months.
Probably one of the best positioned REITs in Canada. Have done a marvellous job in transforming themselves into higher-quality assets. Recently announced they are going to spin off an industrial portfolio. Management has a clear track record and vision as to where they want to go. 5.6% yield. Still sees upside.