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Latest Stock Buy or Sell? Make More Informed Decisions!

Today, Ryan Bushell commented about whether CNQ.TO, T.TO, ARE.TO, AQN.TO, FTS.TO, ENB.TO, RUS.TO, BEP.UN.TO, TIH.TO, CM.TO, ARX.TO, IPL.TO, SU.TO, PPL.TO, ALA.TO, EMA.TO, QSR.TO, MTY.TO, WEF.TO are stocks to buy or sell.

COMMENT
News today: Chrystia Freeland is reported to replace Bill Morneau as finance minister: This is not a good thing to happen in a crazy, unprecedented time. This change shows a rift in the federal government and is not a happy day to be a Canadian. But this news doesn't seem to be effecting our stock market. Also, Mark Carney is in the background, which should offer some comfort, and Freeland has been a good voice for Canada, but she has a big job ahead of her. The CAD is holding in today....Many wonder how the stock market can be doing so well during this economy. Interest rates are near zero for a long while to come which raises equity markets. He feels we need to be in equity markets and not sit in cash. He buys renewable infrastructure, which he expects to be an area where pension funds will flow into, yet this setor pays a good dividend.
COMMENT
He sold it in May. He was worried about WEF's viability. This was the wrong decision. WEF products demand has rebounded strongly that he didn't expect. WEF cut the dividend to zero. The long strike they had then the pandemic coloured his decision to sell.
DON'T BUY
Some companies rely on a COVID vaccine like this. He's concerned about demand in downtown cores, and the future looks uncertain, so there are investing opportunities in this area, including MTY which operates food courts. MTY has been on an acquisition streak, a strategy that works when times are good, but not when times are bad like now, leading to too much debt. Doesn't see dividend growth here.
DON'T BUY

Dividend growth. He prefers looking at the leaders in this space and in America, like McDonald's. Consumer habits will have lasting effects--people will continue to cook for themselves. He doesn't see tremendous growth in fast food.

BUY
Sell Emera to buy an American utility? There's growth for Emera and all utilities that supply energy to the U.S., because their electricity grid will change, as seen in California's blackouts and the aims of a Democratic presidency. Democrats will order a tax hike across industries, but this will actually benefit utilities, because they can pass that hike on and increase their returns. Also, EMA is Canadian but boosted its American presence by buying Tampa Electric. He prefers Canadian utilities over American in order to benefit from the Canadian tax credit. So, don't sell a Canadian utility to buy an American one. Besides, many Canadian ones have significant American holdings. Stick with Emera, but he prefers another Canadian utility (see top picks).
BUY

The effect of the U.S. exchange rate? One of his biggest holdings. Currencies are in a race to the bottom in this era. He expects the CAD to decline vs. USD, so ALA will benefit. ALA is his largest position. The ALA stock price didn't deserve to be cut more than in half during the lockdown because 70% of their business are regulated American utilities. ALA projects 10% growth in the next 5 years on their WGL business, a regulated utility, and has reduced debt. He expects the dividend to rise in 2021. Their midstream business in BC is doing great; their propane terminal is exporting record amounts. CNQ buying Painted Pony is a plus, because PP was a big customer of ALA's. Many things are going well for ALA. They pays a 5% yield. Low risk and good reward.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

It had a lot of growth ahead, then the pandemic threw that into question. It's waiting on the future demand for energy and pipelines. The monthly dividend is safe as long as contracted players continue to pay, but the risk is in those contracts voiding and defaulting. This applies to peers like Keyera. PPL is more diversified and bigger vs. its peers. He's picking away at it, but this is a volatile space. Oil stocks are grinding higher, though, as the WTI price keeps rising and shale oil is not coming back and Canadian production is flatlining. Buy at low-$30/high-$20s. Hold at mid-$30s and hope things will normalize.

WAIT

SU cut their dividend. It is a bellwether energy stock. Refining margins are tough which hurts SU. He owns CNQ instead; it didn't cut its dividend. SU stock is okay now with oil prices in the low-$40s, but could weaked in the fall. He's not adding his energy exposure. The bigger picture is: how much oil do you want in your portfolio. He owns CNQ and recommends that in the mid-$20s. Oil offers decent risk/reward given base demand, but wait till the fall to see if demand declines due to a COVID uptick. Oil depends on whether shale oil receives capital support and shale decline has been the game-changer in the last few months. Overall, SU is fine, but if you're switching into CNQ, now's the time to do it.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 16/19, Down 32%) They're completing their Heartland Petrochemical Project, still doing well, though the budget rose. The pandemic hit them at a bad time when their financing was overextended and some questioned their base business, but that business is actually performing better than expects. Their oil sands pipeline is just fine while their storage business in Europe is at all-time highs. There are a lot of catalysts here going forward though they cut their dividend. He continues to hold it and gently averages into it and would buy more if he retraces to past lows.
PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jul 16/19, Up 12%) Despite a dividend cut, this is doing okay. He expects part of that dividend to come back. Natural gas has turned very positive for Canadian producers. Two big deals in the Montney involving CNQ and Conoco Phillips buying assets as gas prices rising on dropping US oil and gas production. He still likes Arc. Arc has a real ESG focus that will attract capital. We'll still need natural gas.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 16/19, Up 1%) It's the best performer of the big 5 banks and pays the second-highest dividend that'll make up most of returns. Don't expect share appreciation in banks, but still a solid business with banks getting a piece of the equity management business. But the lending spread will be challenged for some time for banks. He has reduced his bank exposure overall, seeing challenges in banks for a while to come.
COMMENT
A very well run company with a pristine track record. It pays a low yield, and he looks for higher ones. He needs a sustained income. If the company pays a low yield, you expect the company to somehow raise its share price. Tailwinds for TIH are rising infrastructure spends in Quebec and Ontario plus a mining boom especially in gold. He has never found the right entry point for TIH, but he won't object if you buy it.
BUY ON WEAKNESS

He sold some banks to buy renewables like this in June. BEP pays over 4% dividend yield. It's risen $10 since he bought it in June. He expects market volatility in the fall, which is the time to enter this. Brookfield has built an unrivalled global franchise, yet is Canadian-domiciled so you enjoy the tax advantages. He also owns BIP, and both Brookfield stocks are core positions.

WATCH
He took profits when this hit $30. Russel supplies shale drillers in the States, an industry that's been decimated. Now, they're supplying manufacturers, but this industry is uncertain. The dividend is solid ad are the managers, so he continues to watch it and would like to return to it. He's waiting.
WEAK BUY
They're trying to complete the Line 3 pipeline, but are awaiting a court decision in Minnesota and face a US election. Line 3 should be approved. The base company is still a necessity, supplying oil and gas to Ontario. You might get stock appreciation to the $50s, but don't count on it. The 7% dividend is solid however.

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