Today, Paul Gardner, CFA commented about whether KMP.UN.TO, REI.UN.TO, SU.TO, S.TO, TD.TO, BAC, MEQ.TO, TF.TO, LNF.TO, AX.UN.TO, RUF.U.V, FCR.UN.TO, G.TO, DIR.UN.TO, BBD.B.TO, MSFT, BAM.A.TO, CNQ.TO, TCN.TO are stocks to buy or sell.
Management is solid. It is a western story. It is about 20% in the US. They had a hiccup related to a lease termination there. Their occupancy rate went down from 96 to 94% and it affected their AFFO. It is just a matter of timing and they will lease it back up. The payout is not too heavy. Thinks it will continue to grind higher, but it is late stages.
(Top Pick Feb 11/14, Down 2.76%) Their earnings came out light so it didn’t pop. This is the best company in a bad industry. Thinks we see earnings released in the next week. You are finally going to see the integration with The Brick and you will see the cost savings start. They also have a bunch of real estate that some day they might sell off. He still likes.
2018 & 2020 Bonds. They missed earnings and cut jobs. He has held the bonds for a long time. He exited about a year ago because they sold off their Saskatchewan coal assets. You would have always had the ability to grab the Saskatchewan assets if things went wrong so he sold the bonds since they sold the Canadian assets. He exited the stock as well.
The largest cap REIT out there. Has done a good job of extracting value out of their properties. The problem is in these late stages of this real estate cycle, if the economy ever deteriorated then they would get hit hard. They are almost paying out more than they earn. He owns the bonds, not the stock.
In a rising rate environment, real estate will get hit hard. This one will get hit less because of their defensive asset class and they have premier tenants. Great management. He likes their properties. They are conservative, good operators and they will outperform the class. He doesn’t expect much even then, next year.