Today, Andy Nasr commented about whether IFC.TO, BBD.B.TO, BPO.TO, BOX.UN.TO, CUS.TO, IIP.UN.TO, D.UN.TO, PMZ.UN.TO, TN.UN.TO, GRT.UN.TO, NWH.UN.TO, HR.UN.TO, CAR.UN.TO, MEQ.TO, EXE.TO, AGF.B.TO, JE.TO, SLF.TO, CM.TO are stocks to buy or sell.
Has tended to be a little more cautious on insurance companies. They fund liabilities through their investments, equity investments and debt investments. Haven’t made much money through the low interest-rate environment. Because of that they have had to hold back more cash to meet capital requirement ratios, which has limited their ability to grow. If you want to own an insurance company, he would rather you had Manulife (MFC-T).
His biggest concern with this is regulatory risks. Feels the 10.2% dividend is sustainable based on today’s regulatory reimbursement rates, but is uncertain about what they are going to look like next year. A couple of years ago there was a 12% cut. Saw a low single-digit increase this year. There could be a decrease or increase next year. He is particularly concerned with what is going on in the US regarding a fiscal cliff. US has some budget issues.
Thinks there is a possibility of a dividend, but it will be relatively small. Very similar to Boardwalk (BEI.UN-T). They own apartments in Western Canada. CEO has really focused on developing properties so they tend to take a lot of the cash flow they generate, plow it back into the company and unlock a lot of value. NAV is north of $35 so feels there could be some potential upside.
Dividend will go up and will go up even more by the end of next year. Trades at a discount to NAV. Weighted average this term is over 10 years and the weighted average term of their debt is over 10 years. A lot of visibility in terms of their ability to grow. High-quality tenants and buildings both in Canada and US. 5.2% yield.
Thinks you will see dividend growth out of the banks in general. He is underweight financial services sector as he is concerned about the health of the Canadian consumer. There were some interesting stats last week relating to household debt and personal disposable income which will affect the banking sector. In the last few years, banks have made a lot of money through personal loan growth. Although this could be offset by an increase in commercial loan growth, in the meantime it is a headwind that they are going to have to combat going into 2013. This has one of the highest consumer concentrations in Canada so is one of his least favourites. Dividend of 4.8%