Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)

Not just about AWS, which proved this quarter that it's losing market share -- but who cares when the market's growing so fast? AWS is well positioned and it's the largest, adding tons of power and tons of chips. 

Stock's up today because of a deal with OpenAI. Will distribute AI to the masses in a cost-effective way with good margins. On e-commerce, by far the best distributor of products in NA and is growing in other parts of the world -- margins have significantly expanded. Trades more cheaply than WMT, COST, and ORCL. No dividend.

They were derided for not spending enough on web services. Then, Amazon reported a strong quarter with web services growing from 17.5% to 20% off a much larger base than Microsoft, and a top and bottom line beat. Today, OpenAI signed a $38 billion deal with AWS to start using Nvidia GPU'S now. Shares jumped 11.9% the past week, including 4% today.

Company expects to lay off a lot more people in future. Not necessarily a sign that the company isn't doing well, just mean they're becoming more efficient. Some companies are able to use AI efficiently at this point, and AMZN is one of them. You want to invest in those participants.

Overall it's lagged, which is a bit of a concern. Discretionary side of the market has lagged as well. Chart shows it's broken upward trend, and you want to see it break above $240 or so (on rising volume, would be a strong sign). Expects a bit more weakness, so he'd wait. Weaker consumer demand, especially in bottom 4/5 of income earners, but economy is still strong.

Transitioning into the world of robotics. It doesn't make much money selling stuff these days, and this move would help cut costs. Robotics and AI automation will be a big part of taking the head count out of the business.

S&P is at new highs, but not this name. Chart shows what could be a double top (you have 2 peaks where a push higher failed). Old point of resistance ~$180 becomes support, and that's the neckline. If it pulls back and bounces off, then it's probably a consolidation. But if it breaks, look out below.

He did a recent video on how the Mag 7's are starting to not perform as breadth broadens out.

Has had weakening relative strength since January 2025. Just hovering above 200-day MA. That's a pretty good indicator of the health of the consumer.

Scores 9 for fundamentals. She added during April's pullback. They can reinvented across sectors, including logistics (more efficient than ever), AWS is picking up again at 18% growth, and ads grew 23% last quarter.

The question was on his opinion of these two companies. They're different sizes and in different spaces. What will the business models look like. Both should continue to do well. He owns Amazon which is among the AI leaders. Interest rates will continue to drive the markets.

The e-commerce business is the largest part but you should focus on the second largest business which is web services and growing faster than e-commerce. Also focus on the third largest business which is advertising. It is much more profitable than e-commerce and grew at at 23% in the last quarter. Earnings and profits in this division are growing faster than the top line. It is starting to deliver same day fresh groceries in the U.S. to 2300 towns and cities and 4000 for one day delivery. 40% of all retail consumer sales is consumer packaging and groceries.
Buy 76  Hold 6  Sell 0

Global leadership in e-commerce. Cloud infrastructure AWS is #1 in the world. Margin expansion of ads helping earnings growth. Capex in AI will assist productivity, increase earnings, and reinforce cloud leadership. Recent earnings and revenue beat expectations. Retail margins are improving. 

Paying 33x forward PE for 17% growth. Premium valuation, but there's no other AMZN out there. On the verge of a technical breakout, which should lead to higher prices. No dividend.

Is the greatest retail business in the world. Also, AWS is strong. Is trading at a reasonable PE, unlike the past. The earnings have caught up. Will hit $300-400 within 18 months. 

She likes it and is adding to her position. It scores 9 out of 10 fundamentally and is re-writing the rules of AI in automation in the retail space. It is looking at optimization - robots can do 40% more in packaging. Amazon's general AI business is growing in the triple digits. Revenue is up 22%. She is watching the supply side which is little bit lagging. Same day delivery is expanding and it is doing well in cottage country.

He believes in it. Was surprised by the quarter, namely AWS, the cloud. Ultimately, he likes their business model a lot, a hybrid of the consumer business and AWS. Trades at 30x forward PE, which some say is expensive. It would be a lot lower if they stopped their capex spending (on AI). There's no catalyst in immediate sight. If shares fall further, he will add.

It was coming into resistance and having a tough time leading to the report. Even if they had a great report, shares would have struggled around $206. MSFT had a monster report which raised the bar for cloud, so that's why Amazon is getting hit. He owns enough shares now, and won't add, but for someone entering, wait a few days for shares to settle.

Likes the whole AI play, it'll change the world. Biggest player in outsource infrastructure for computers; for example, SLF uses AMZN for its back office. Cheaper than the rest of the Mag 7. Buying opportunity and will catch up. AWS and advertising have much higher margins than the retail segment and are growing at a faster rate. No dividend.