Shane Obata
Member since: Sep '19
Portfolio Manager at
Middlefield Capital
Middlefield Capital
64 Opinions
Latest Top Picks
(A Top Pick Sep 27/19, Down 26%) One of the best old-school infrastructure companies. Great assets including a stake in the 407 -- the crown jewel in concession assets. They are divesting their more volatile assets. He still likes the long term outlook.
(A Top Pick Sep 27/19, Up 31%) He still likes it. They thought back then was their deep library would provide a long viewing runway at a very reasonable price. They will remain one of the core streaming services in the long run, he thinks. It is very wide-appealing.
(A Top Pick Sep 27/19, Down 9%) Still a Top Pick for him. He likes these types of networks that keeps consumers in their "eco-system". It is another way to play AI as well.
With all the uncertainty in the market, he is a little concerned that advertising revenues may fall for the next while. That said, it is a major driver still in online advertising. Regulatory risk seems to have gone out the window near term. It is hard to punish them right now with all the utility they are bringing to consumers at the moment. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $1570.18)
They are benefiting from being a leader in image sensors that is a highly profitable business segment for them. They have exposure to gaming and music as well, which captures value through a subscription business. Yield 0.66% (Analysts’ price target is $81.83)
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COMMENT
COMMENT
March 20, 2020
Market Outlook He is not looking to buy back in all the way yet. The speed of the draw down is impacting other markets like commodities (oil down another 10%). There is no where to hide, except in cash. They are watching how different countries are reacting to COVID-19. South Korea took the course to do as much testing as possible, finding people who could have spread the virus, but were able to be contained. Very challenging times.
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Market Outlook He is not looking to buy back in all the way yet. The speed of the draw down is impacting other markets like commodities (oil down another 10%). There is no where to hide, except in cash. They are watching how different countries are reacting to COVID-19. South Korea took the course to do as much testing as possible, finding people who could have spread the virus, but were able to be contained. Very challenging times.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
March 20, 2020
His conclusion is that it is too hard to draw a conclusion on. They have over 160,000 employees. He feels there is 0% chance the US government would allow them go under, but he is not aware what form a package would take. The outlook is too cloudy to step into.
Show full opinionHide full opinionHis conclusion is that it is too hard to draw a conclusion on. They have over 160,000 employees. He feels there is 0% chance the US government would allow them go under, but he is not aware what form a package would take. The outlook is too cloudy to step into.
Transportation
COMMENT
COMMENT
March 20, 2020
Holding cash, now what? It is difficult not knowing what the investor's needs are. You really should partner with a professional. Consider taking a wider portfolio approach. Longer term, he likes FB and GOOG. A sector that will benefit over the next decade.
COMMENT
COMMENT
March 20, 2020
Holding cash, now what? It is difficult not knowing what the investor's needs are. You really should partner with a professional. Consider taking a wider portfolio approach. Longer term, he likes FB and GOOG. A sector that will benefit over the next decade.
COMMENT
COMMENT
March 20, 2020
Holding cash, now what? It is difficult not knowing what the investor's needs are. You really should partner with a professional. Consider taking a wider portfolio approach. Longer term, he likes FB and GOOG. A sector that will benefit over the next decade.
Business Services
COMMENT
COMMENT
March 20, 2020
Gaming stocks? In the "stay at home" bucket -- what people are going to do when isolated at home. Activision is their most favored stock that they hold in this space now.
Show full opinionHide full opinionGaming stocks? In the "stay at home" bucket -- what people are going to do when isolated at home. Activision is their most favored stock that they hold in this space now.
COMMENT
COMMENT
March 20, 2020
Gaming stocks? In the "stay at home" bucket -- what people are going to do when isolated at home. Activision is their most favored stock that they hold in this space now.
Show full opinionHide full opinionGaming stocks? In the "stay at home" bucket -- what people are going to do when isolated at home. Activision is their most favored stock that they hold in this space now.
computer software/processing
HOLD
HOLD
March 20, 2020
He likes DIS as a long term hold. They are integrated with all their intellectual property (streaming, parks, products, etc.). They have generations of fans. In the near term it will be rocky roads, due to the parks and cruises that they will have to deal with. He is unsure though if it is time to back up the truck -- maybe buy 1/3 or 1/2 of your position. Yield 2% (Analysts’ price target is $148.00)
Show full opinionHide full opinionHe likes DIS as a long term hold. They are integrated with all their intellectual property (streaming, parks, products, etc.). They have generations of fans. In the near term it will be rocky roads, due to the parks and cruises that they will have to deal with. He is unsure though if it is time to back up the truck -- maybe buy 1/3 or 1/2 of your position. Yield 2% (Analysts’ price target is $148.00)
entertainment services
COMMENT
COMMENT
March 20, 2020
AI advacements? He likes DELL products. The stock does not have the greatest balance sheet however. He likes AI, but there are other device manufacturers that are better situated like NVDA, who is also well placed for gaming.
AI advacements? He likes DELL products. The stock does not have the greatest balance sheet however. He likes AI, but there are other device manufacturers that are better situated like NVDA, who is also well placed for gaming.
electrical/electronic
COMMENT
COMMENT
March 20, 2020
AI advacements? He likes DELL products. The stock does not have the greatest balance sheet however. He likes AI, but there are other device manufacturers that are better situated like NVDA, who is also well placed for gaming.
AI advacements? He likes DELL products. The stock does not have the greatest balance sheet however. He likes AI, but there are other device manufacturers that are better situated like NVDA, who is also well placed for gaming.
computer software/processing
HOLD
HOLD
March 20, 2020
Big 6 banks in Canada? Yielding 5.8% collectively. The Canadian banks weathered the last crisis better than their US counterparts. He thinks the Canadian banks will survive this. They are not impervious to COVID-19 and the interest rate curve is not helping either. He does not call for negative rates in North America, but where the curve ha fallen, it is impacting profitably. Your are safe holding in the long run.
Show full opinionHide full opinionBig 6 banks in Canada? Yielding 5.8% collectively. The Canadian banks weathered the last crisis better than their US counterparts. He thinks the Canadian banks will survive this. They are not impervious to COVID-19 and the interest rate curve is not helping either. He does not call for negative rates in North America, but where the curve ha fallen, it is impacting profitably. Your are safe holding in the long run.
COMMENT
COMMENT
March 20, 2020
US Healthcare? Healthcare generally under-preforms in election years. A safer pick would be GILD, for their COVID-19 research and HIV drugs.
Show full opinionHide full opinionUS Healthcare? Healthcare generally under-preforms in election years. A safer pick would be GILD, for their COVID-19 research and HIV drugs.
COMMENT
COMMENT
March 20, 2020
US Healthcare? Healthcare generally under-preforms in election years. A safer pick would be GILD, for their COVID-19 research and HIV drugs.
Show full opinionHide full opinionUS Healthcare? Healthcare generally under-preforms in election years. A safer pick would be GILD, for their COVID-19 research and HIV drugs.
biotechnology/pharmaceutical
COMMENT
COMMENT
March 20, 2020
US Healthcare? Healthcare generally under-preforms in election years. A safer pick would be GILD, for their COVID-19 research and HIV drugs.
Show full opinionHide full opinionUS Healthcare? Healthcare generally under-preforms in election years. A safer pick would be GILD, for their COVID-19 research and HIV drugs.
COMMENT
COMMENT
March 20, 2020
US Healthcare? Healthcare generally under-preforms in election years. A safer pick would be GILD, for their COVID-19 research and HIV drugs.
Show full opinionHide full opinionUS Healthcare? Healthcare generally under-preforms in election years. A safer pick would be GILD, for their COVID-19 research and HIV drugs.
biotechnology/pharmaceutical
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