
NASDAQ:AMZN
The question was on adding to these companies. He likes them both. Amazon is a hybrid with its e-commerce side and web services. AWS controls about 30% of the world cloud services. Its valuation is reasonable with a low 30's P/E. Google has about 10% of the world cloud services and is trading at a mid 20's multiple. Had a good earnings report. There is lots of upside in both.
Not just about AWS, which proved this quarter that it's losing market share -- but who cares when the market's growing so fast? AWS is well positioned and it's the largest, adding tons of power and tons of chips.
Stock's up today because of a deal with OpenAI. Will distribute AI to the masses in a cost-effective way with good margins. On e-commerce, by far the best distributor of products in NA and is growing in other parts of the world -- margins have significantly expanded. Trades more cheaply than WMT, COST, and ORCL. No dividend.
They were derided for not spending enough on web services. Then, Amazon reported a strong quarter with web services growing from 17.5% to 20% off a much larger base than Microsoft, and a top and bottom line beat. Today, OpenAI signed a $38 billion deal with AWS to start using Nvidia GPU'S now. Shares jumped 11.9% the past week, including 4% today.
Company expects to lay off a lot more people in future. Not necessarily a sign that the company isn't doing well, just mean they're becoming more efficient. Some companies are able to use AI efficiently at this point, and AMZN is one of them. You want to invest in those participants.
Overall it's lagged, which is a bit of a concern. Discretionary side of the market has lagged as well. Chart shows it's broken upward trend, and you want to see it break above $240 or so (on rising volume, would be a strong sign). Expects a bit more weakness, so he'd wait. Weaker consumer demand, especially in bottom 4/5 of income earners, but economy is still strong.
S&P is at new highs, but not this name. Chart shows what could be a double top (you have 2 peaks where a push higher failed). Old point of resistance ~$180 becomes support, and that's the neckline. If it pulls back and bounces off, then it's probably a consolidation. But if it breaks, look out below.
He did a recent video on how the Mag 7's are starting to not perform as breadth broadens out.
AWS amounts to only 20% of revenues, but 60% of profits. Amazing retail sale. Is a major holding of his. They spend insane amounts on AI, but have to Is up 1.44% this year.