
Portfolio Manager at Lightwater Partners
Member since: Apr '13 · 679 Opinions
Last Friday's US Supreme Court decision cancelling Trump's tariffs reiterates that Trump will continue playing the tariff game. So, he's leery of any sectors that can be hit, like manufacturing. We had a great 2025, but not February-early April which was terrible and could come back. Leery of oil and gas, because Trump wants to get the gas price down ahead of midterm elections. The market is looking beyond that as oil stocks rise, which he thinks will continue. Inflation seems to be cooling, so the chances of a US rate cut are increasing, but he doesn't focus that much on the macro. He trades only midcaps which have been left behind by the markets and trade at lower valuations than large caps.
Not a fan of the telcos; doesn't like the oligopoly. All the telcos have declined from lower immigration to Canada. Valuation trades in line with peers. He's not excited by the space, but it's a decent place to hide your capital, paying a reasonable yield though there is a chance it could be reduced.
Has never owned the parent company, Constellation Software, or these. All software stocks face negative sentiment from AI fears. These keep going lower. It all comes down to sentiment, but valuations have fallen and are ridiculously cheap. He agrees with other investors that these have been oversold. The fundamentals are still there. AI will not replace software, but when we hit a bottom, you're guess is as good as mine.
Has never owned the parent company, Constellation Software, or these. All software stocks face negative sentiment from AI fears. These keep going lower. It all comes down to sentiment, but valuations have fallen and are ridiculously cheap. He agrees with other investors that these have been oversold. The fundamentals are still there. AI will not replace software, but when we hit a bottom, you're guess is as good as mine.
Remains a large holding. Low immigration has hurt the apartment REITs, but MEQ hadn't seen a decrease in rents. They're focused on affordable rentals; they're average Toronto rents are nearly half the norm. Rents have risen 2.5%. They have $800 million cash to invest in rundown apartments, which they fix it, then rent again which is far cheaper than building entirely new apartments (which is what the government is doing). Growth looks good.