
NASDAQ:AMZN
Growth will be in the cloud computing division and advertising. E-commerce is under-penetrated in overall society, still under 20%. He views this as a logistics business, and it's the best. Prime is awesome, and they've won that game.
Over time, will eke out more profitability. One of his favourite Mag 7 stocks.
Have to compete with shipping to the closest store. Unionization threat. E-commerce has pretty slim margins. AWS cloud computing growth isn't what it once was 5-10 years ago -- law of diminishing returns. He likes companies that take care of their staff and customers, and this isn't one of them. Dividend not great. Tariffs will bring lots of volatility to the Mag 7. More of a trade. Not for retirees.
He owns MSFT.
No matter what happens with tariffs, when you think about retail there are no companies more dominant than AMZN, COST and WMT. AMZN is by far at the biggest discount to peers. Also, leading cloud computing in AWS with stable and expanding margins. Best diversification of cashflow.
Whatever the retail environment looks like, they'll win. No dividend.
The consumer-related companies are taking it on the chin, so AMZN's retail side is taking a hit. Cloud business is great. Imports all its goods, and can more easily switch to importing from countries other than China. He's not buying much of anything now, but if he were, he'd probably pick this one.
Loves the name longer term, but sold a month back. Disappointing when you pick a stock that's the belle of the ball until the Trump wrecking ball comes along. Growing ~19%, trading at 23x. Not expensive. Analysts are assuming clarity; if we don't get it, estimates will fall.
Be careful. Never forget that lots of people have made stunning amounts of money for a long period of time. These stocks don't owe you anything. If you're going to buy, do it incrementally.
This quarter should be OK. Last quarter saw growth by double digits in retail, cloud, and advertising. Increased same-day delivery by 60%, pretty incredible. Great business. Tariffs on goods from China can be passed on to customers. In a bad economic environment, consumers love the cheaper prices.
It's the next quarter where we might see some volatility around the stock price.
Large-cap tech names have seen big pullbacks. This name is off by close to 30%, valuation now more attractive. She owns it in a US-equity, growth-focused fund. AWS is the leader in cloud, helps offset lower retail margins.
Capex increasing to build out data centres; worries that overspending will not earn great returns in the near term. Concern that tariffs and a slower economy may impact retail spending. Have to wait and see the tariff story over the next 90 days.
Is -28% from February's high. The fear is that tariffs will crush their core e-commerce business; most of their goods are made overseas which will get a lot more expensive. But they've become more of a consumer staples business like Walmart, and they have the scale to force the suppliers to eat the tariffs. They also have a sticky Prime business and AWS has enough to growth offset weakness in retail. Trades at 25x PE, half its historical average.
At the time it was cheap on PEG basis, AI play with AWS, growing into all its capital expenditures, economy was looking good. Then tariffs. Now there are headwinds, and it put out softer guidance. Still sees 19% growth, trades at 23x PE. PEG is really not bad for one of the world's best companies. Can probably get it ~$190. Still a winner, more to go.