
Senior Portfolio Manager at Murray Wealth Group
Member since: Mar '21 · 347 Opinions
Alleviating nicely. The market's actually moving more to a discussion about labour. Investors were pricing in additional Fed rate hikes for 2026, with labour markets staying strong and with the state of inflation.
But expectations have shifted meaningfully with the labour numbers that came out yesterday showing some cooling. It was half of what the consensus was expecting, plus April and May job gains were revised down. Labour market's not as robust as we thought up till yesterday.
For the Fed, the focus will always be a combination of both employment and inflation. Inflation is coming off on the oil side, and it seems as though the labour market is more of a driver now.
Super-well positioned to benefit from the super-strong demand for its high-tech optical fibre. These new data centres require up to 10x more fibre than traditionally. Hyperscalers are signing deals with GLW to lock down supply for years to come. Robust plans in the pipeline. Not cheap at ~60x PE.
Also has a solar platform, which is helping to build out the domestic US supply chain.
Was owned in his firm's income growth fund; went up so much, it crossed the firm's rule of a minimum 3% yield. So it got sold. Well positioned as Canada's largest aviation provider into our North and other remote areas. Will benefit from increased defense and infrastructure spending.
Increased dividend 18x over past 20 years. Strong revenue growth this year and next. Slows down through 2027-28, but could go higher as spending increases in the North and backlog increases again. Not cheap at 28x PE. He'd be more interested ~$100.
Trades at only 17x PE, as the street's been concerned that all its capex is not being utilized properly. Starting to sell some excess capacity in the neocloud. Needs to improve ROIC, and stop spending $$ on tangential projects. People are cautious. Monetization is seeing some traction. Likes it at these levels.
(Note the short timeframe.) Turnaround's taking a little longer than expected, but pieces are coming together. New CEO starts in September, board's settled a proxy fight with the founder, added new board members. Investors want proof of successful product refresh, which has been elusive. US needs to start growing again. US same-store sales slightly flat to negative, Europe and China are doing OK.
At 10x PE, stock's baking in no expectations whatsoever.