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TSE:CNQ
Covered Call. This company is a choppier oil company in the energy sector and has very high premiums. The stock was $34 today. You write the $34 Call and you pick up over $3 for January. A seven-month return is about 8.86%, not counting dividends. If it rises, you are not going to get the upside, but you are going to get the 8.86% over 7 months. If it declines, you have production all the way down to $31 a share, and he would simply write another Call in January.
Sold his holdings in the fall. Great company. A mixture of oil and gas, some Gulf of Mexico, a little bit of Africa, some Middle East, US and Canada. His problem right now is the stock price. It is barely down from where he sold his holdings, and at that time oil was $80-$85 on its way down. Oil is currently at $59 and the stock has held up quite well. If it went down $2-$3, he would probably buy it back.
This is what he would call a punt. You could put a little bit, such as 1% allocation to see if it would work. The low points in October, December, January and March flushed out a lot of the sellers and the upside target moved substantially higher. It doesn’t mean it is going to happen, but it laid the groundwork. It is going to rely much more on what is going to happen with oil. Recent earnings were really good. If it started to break above the $43 high in November he would probably add that next little chunk. The downside from here would be about 5%, so the odds are in your favour.
Seasonality is from around the end of January right through until usually May of each year. This year it started off very nicely and has had a breakout in the last few days. Above its 20 day moving average and outperforming the TSE Composite. It looks very good, probably until around the end of May of this year.
(A Top Pick Oct 23/14. Down 21.76%.) Had just bought a half position at that time, and has now bought the balance. If the market got another thumping, this is the one he would add to.