
TSE:CNQ
This summary was created by AI, based on 93 opinions in the last 12 months.
Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ) is widely regarded as one of the best-managed companies in the Canadian oil and gas sector, characterized by its stability and strong management practices. While experts acknowledge the cyclical nature of the oil and gas industry, many emphasize CNQ's robust cash flow generation and strategic focus on debt reduction and share buybacks, which bolster shareholder returns. The company's diversification into natural gas production adds to its appeal, as well as its consistent history of increasing dividends for over 25 years. Despite some experts expressing caution about short-term oil price fluctuations and macroeconomic conditions, the overall sentiment reflects confidence in CNQ’s long-term potential for growth and returns, framing it as a solid investment for both income-oriented and long-term investors.
What is really important to look at in oil companies is Cost per Barrel. (He had this information in a Globe column 2 weeks ago.) This is the key number. With oil at around $74-$75, this is a time you have to be picking away at these types of things. On the other hand, maybe you should wait a month or so when oil moves up from $74, and then start picking away. There is some value here right now.
You have to be very disciplined on the producers. Buy them low and Sell them high and you shouldn't be greedy. You are never going to get it right at the bottom, but he thinks it is not in a bad range now so try to get it around $40 or below, which is a pretty good Buy on this company. Extremely well-run.
This stock was definitely oversold. The dominant name in Western Canada with additional operations in the North sea and Africa. Extremely well managed. Solid property and good acquisitions. Low cost of production. Cash flow is the key for this company. He would own this for the long-term. 2.7% dividend that will grow.
For the 1st time in decades, the US is in a net energy surplus, they are producing more energy than they are using. He doesn’t believe this is a game changer for the oil sands. This oil will get produced and will find its way to market. Whether that market is in Asia or the US, he doesn’t know. Every year this company gets more efficient in their production, and as they ramp and scale up, the cost per barrel of the refining process goes down and down. Because they are on an inexhaustible reserve with no exploration costs, they have a real advantage over traditional production/exploration companies. He is a believer in this.
Thinks the market is really ignoring that this company gets a lot of their effective pricing from Western Canada Select, which really hasn’t changed much. Differentials have narrowed, so the “spread under” has gone up. Thinks that on this next quarter, as long as oil doesn’t drop another $10, this should be a nice little earnings release. Ultimately they expect to have $5.5-$6.5 billion of free cash flow by 2018.
Excellent at how the management has consistently delivered on what they are trying to do. They brought an oil sands mine on stream on time and on budget. Very few can do this. Still produce a tremendous amount of free cash flow. Amazingly diverse group of assets. It is compelling. Over time it should re-rate itself.