
TSE:CNQ
Excellent at how the management has consistently delivered on what they are trying to do. They brought an oil sands mine on stream on time and on budget. Very few can do this. Still produce a tremendous amount of free cash flow. Amazingly diverse group of assets. It is compelling. Over time it should re-rate itself.
What is really important to look at in oil companies is Cost per Barrel. (He had this information in a Globe column 2 weeks ago.) This is the key number. With oil at around $74-$75, this is a time you have to be picking away at these types of things. On the other hand, maybe you should wait a month or so when oil moves up from $74, and then start picking away. There is some value here right now.
You have to be very disciplined on the producers. Buy them low and Sell them high and you shouldn't be greedy. You are never going to get it right at the bottom, but he thinks it is not in a bad range now so try to get it around $40 or below, which is a pretty good Buy on this company. Extremely well-run.
This stock was definitely oversold. The dominant name in Western Canada with additional operations in the North sea and Africa. Extremely well managed. Solid property and good acquisitions. Low cost of production. Cash flow is the key for this company. He would own this for the long-term. 2.7% dividend that will grow.