
TSE:CNQ
This summary was created by AI, based on 97 opinions in the last 12 months.
Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ) is regarded as one of the best-managed companies in the Canadian energy sector, known for its disciplined management, diverse asset base, and consistent returns to shareholders through dividends and buybacks. Many analysts highlight its strong cash flow generation capability, allowing it to be profitable even when oil prices dip to as low as $40-$50 per barrel. While the overall sentiment about the long-term price of oil remains bearish, with predictions suggesting lower prices in the coming years, experts agree that CNQ's operational efficiencies and low-cost production give it a competitive edge. Despite short-term price volatility linked to fluctuating oil prices, the consensus is that CNQ remains a solid investment for long-term holders, albeit with caution regarding entry points. The stock is well-positioned to weather market cycles, but timing purchases based on oil price movements is recommended.
Covered Call. This company is a choppier oil company in the energy sector and has very high premiums. The stock was $34 today. You write the $34 Call and you pick up over $3 for January. A seven-month return is about 8.86%, not counting dividends. If it rises, you are not going to get the upside, but you are going to get the 8.86% over 7 months. If it declines, you have production all the way down to $31 a share, and he would simply write another Call in January.
Sold his holdings in the fall. Great company. A mixture of oil and gas, some Gulf of Mexico, a little bit of Africa, some Middle East, US and Canada. His problem right now is the stock price. It is barely down from where he sold his holdings, and at that time oil was $80-$85 on its way down. Oil is currently at $59 and the stock has held up quite well. If it went down $2-$3, he would probably buy it back.
This is what he would call a punt. You could put a little bit, such as 1% allocation to see if it would work. The low points in October, December, January and March flushed out a lot of the sellers and the upside target moved substantially higher. It doesn’t mean it is going to happen, but it laid the groundwork. It is going to rely much more on what is going to happen with oil. Recent earnings were really good. If it started to break above the $43 high in November he would probably add that next little chunk. The downside from here would be about 5%, so the odds are in your favour.
Seasonality is from around the end of January right through until usually May of each year. This year it started off very nicely and has had a breakout in the last few days. Above its 20 day moving average and outperforming the TSE Composite. It looks very good, probably until around the end of May of this year.
(A Top Pick Oct 23/14. Down 21.76%.) Had just bought a half position at that time, and has now bought the balance. If the market got another thumping, this is the one he would add to.