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TSE:TOU

Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU.TO)

62.25
+0.64 (1.04%)
as of Aug 26, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
834 watching
0
Investor Insights
star iconAug 26, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 64 opinions in the last 12 months.

Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU) is recognized as Canada's largest natural gas producer and is often highlighted for its strong management and well-structured operations. The company faces challenges due to weak commodity prices and significant competition, notably from increased natural gas drilling in the U.S. The experts express a mix of sentiments, with some advising to buy at current levels given its long-term growth prospects and potential for LNG expansion, while others caution about the stock's volatile nature and short-term fluctuations in prices. Analysts are optimistic about the company's fundamentals, with many expecting a recovery in natural gas prices driven by future LNG contracts and structural demand increases. The sentiment reflects a belief that despite current market pressures, there are significant long-term tailwinds that could benefit Tourmaline.

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Consensus
Hold
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Valuation
Undervalued
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CNQ, CNRL
BUY

Really good for a long-term hold. Solid Q3, beat on fund flow and free cashflow. Lower capex costs. Nice dividends. Nat gas has been challenged for a while, but it's part of the bridge to green energy. Exports are coming, which will really help. 

Trades in line with peers, good balance sheet. Production growth of 8%, and 10% cashflow per share growth. Probably the highest quality of the gas names.

TRADE

Last summer, he was adding under $60. Recently trimming above $65. That's the approach he's thinking of for the next few years.

He likes natural gas as a transitionary vehicle as we move off carbon in the decades ahead. There's a lot of it around, so doesn't see this being a growth stock. Buy when weaker, sell when more expensive. That's how he's thinking about a lot of the energy stocks. See today's Educational Segment.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 05/23, Up 6%)

Chose it because it has its greatest percentage of revenues to nat gas. Nat gas will be solid going forward with increased demand for electricity. A long-term nat gas play that will continue to do well going forward.

WATCH

Tricky. Natural gas stocks have been on a tear the last few days, super hot, on fire. Extension of the Trump presidency. Certain investors are feeling FOMO if they don't own energy. Valuations are still compelling.

Thematically, he's bullish gas. Still exposed to weather, and though it's been warm up till now, there's a cold forecast. Gas can be volatile, so these names can be more volatile than oil. This name has lagged, and that could unwind. Doesn't love the variable dividend; instead, should be buying back stock. Good company, lots of inventory. But tactical timing is tricky.

COMMENT

It is natural gas focused and the price of nat gas is in the doldrums. It is the best nat gas company in Canada with very good management. It pays a nice dividend as well as special dividends regularly and has a great balance sheet along with making great acquisitions. However it is hard to predict the sector and hard to make money if the gas price is not going anywhere.

BUY

You get your dividend. A great company that's well-managed. Prefers ARC a little more. Natural gas looks great in Canada and abroad, to be driven by strong demand and the LNG terminal that will open. 

BUY

Recent quarterly report very strong. Best natural gas company in Canada. Very strong management. Excellent dividend. Priced very well. Balance sheet excellent. 

HOLD

Well-run and solid. Have deep inventory and they distribute to different markets and are profitable. The commodity price can weaken, but the stock can hang on, but its production growth rate is slowing down.

BUY

He sold it last year, but bought it back recently under $60. Likes their assets--they have light oil as well as great natural gas assets. Nat gas has been under pressure, though.  TOU is not as cheap as oil stock, but more diversified with better growth potential.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 09/23, Down 10%)

Nat gas prices still under pressure. Management and structure are set up for success, even in this environment. Minimal debt, special dividends. Management owns lots of shares. CREW acquisition cashflow-positive right away. Long-term thinkers.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Nat gas is a transitional energy source from carbon to renewable. You need to hold some. He holds a small position of TOU. But the Canadian government doesn't support the nat gas indsutry, and isn't the best country to invest in at nat gas. He likes TOU.

BUY

Natural gas stocks are down a lot - the commodity price keeps this stock low. They just bought CREW which is a very complimentary asset. They also just boosted their dividend. With natural gas starting to get offshore by 2026, the commodity should do much better. It is the best in class in North America with a good balance sheet.

BUY

Top company in the sector. Even with low natural gas prices, company will be ok. Fixed plus variable dividend very safe and sustainable. Great for income oriented investors. 

BUY

Majority of its plays are in nat gas, and he's especially bullish on that. Natural gas feeds into power demand going forward from data centres, crypto, etc. Going to see increased transition to nat gas both outside and inside NA.

BUY
TOU vs. Arc as natural gas companies

Both are the gold standard in nat gas. TOU slightly underperforms. Valuations of both are stretched. ARC has done well with some projects that were brought onstream. Owns TOU now, and Arc in the past. Both are good to buy and will perform.  The price of nat gas is low, so this will benefit will the price rises. 

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