TSE:TOU

Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU.TO)

60.16
+0.14 (0.23%)
as of Jun 26, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
833 watching
0
Investor Insights
star iconJun 26, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 60 opinions in the last 12 months.

Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU-T) is recognized as Canada's largest natural gas producer, positioned strategically to benefit from growing LNG markets and rising energy demand. Analysts generally highlight strong management and commend the company's approach to capital allocation, focusing on infrastructure and future growth. Although the stock has experienced a range-bound performance, most experts believe that it holds significant upside potential with the improvement of natural gas prices anticipated in the coming years. The company provides a respectable dividend and special dividends, which reinforces its attractiveness as a long-term investment. Concerns around current nat gas prices and market volatility are present, but many experts advocate holding or accumulating shares, viewing the long-term prospects favorably.

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Consensus
Positive
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Valuation
Undervalued
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ARX,ARX
TOP PICK

Canada's top natural gas producer. CEO was voted top CEO of the year by the Financial Post and owns so many shares and doesn't take a salary. A great time to own this. Shares have been weak in recent months. He expects special dividends ahead and 15-17% total return even at current nat gas prices.

(Analysts’ price target is $77.88)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 09/23, Down 8%)

Overall, excellent company with very strong leadership. Canada's #1 natural gas producer. Weak natural gas prices difficult, but overall a great business. Excellent assets that are best in class. LNG agreements will also allow more selling points (higher income). Recent Bonavista deal  very strong. Tax pools and hedging strategy also add to bottom line. Debt levels less than 1x cash flow (very good level). Dividends steady, and also pays a special dividend (~11%). Will continue to own shares. 

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 04/23, Down 8%)

The whole natural gas sector will get frothy from buyouts and valuations. TOU is an undervalued stock in an undervalued sector. Could be volatility around their March 6 report, but this is a buying opportunity. Wait till March 6. Targets 60% upside from here.

COMMENT

If he ran an energy fund, he'd definitely buy it, but shares move around alot because it's tied to natural gas prices which are not doing well and face more downside.

TOP PICK

Canada's largest natural gas producer, nearly 15% of Canada's NG. Also, they produce 100,000 barrels daily of oil. TOU is a lean, low-cost operator. Warm weather is keeping nat gas prices low this winter, though. They struck a deal with Cheniere to ship their nat gas to the Gulf of Mexico and is shipped to Asia to fetch higher prices (10x higher). Including special dividends, their yield totals 12%. Also, LNG Canada will open next summer on the west coast which should boost demand for Canadian nat gas.

(Analysts’ price target is $78.96)
Unspecified

It has a special dividend policy on top of its base dividend. Has a great management team along with great assets. She prefers ARC which has more exposure to liquid rich gas. Gas will still  be needed along with nuclear partly due to coal coming off line and the demand for power. Renewables are good but we don't have the technology for battery storage.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Big fan of ownership/leadership of company (Mike Rose). Concern is that company is not under valued compared to peers in sector. Concern is that natural gas is over supplied. Overall a high quality company. Very strong marketing team also helps (strong pricing for natural gas). 

BUY

Well-run and a major oil producer. Very levered to natural gas, which is under a little pressure now. But they enjoy low costs. Nat gas prices may sell off a little more, but TOU looks compelling now.

BUY

Has been buying recently given weakness in share price. Commodity price unpredictable, but good overall business. Strong management team and natural gas a good bridge fuel. Would recommend buying. 

HOLD

Keep it, despite the drop. Valuation is fantastic. He took only a 1/2 position, down 15% on that, but comfortable. Could get more volatility, but in 2-3 years you'll be pretty happy. Big money interest. Make sure it's a reasonable size in your portfolio.

PARTIAL BUY

Commodity price downturn has been pretty abrupt, but still nice levels for Canadian producers. $70 crude converted to CAD is still a pretty nice number. On the gas side, transformational event will be LNG Canada egress coming on late 2024 and early 2025. It will make capital budgets more dependable. Can deploy capital here, but keep powder dry in case of economic or commodity weakness.

See his Top Picks.

BUY

Has owned this a long time. The chart has done very well. Every time shares gap higher, he trims to reduce his weighting. TOU is set up very well for the long-time; Canada LNG is in the sweet spot. Happy to hold this for a long time.

BUY

Best company to own natural gas in Canada. Excellent management team. Very good growth. Excellent marketing team that secures good pricing. Pipeline expansion in Canada will benefit company. Con to the business is that natural gas is commodity under pressure. Overall, a strong business. Would recommend buying. 

BUY

High exposure to natural gas. Strong support around $2mcf. Believes gas has upside which is good for Tourmaline. Would recommend buying.

WAIT

Editor's Note - The question was more related to the oil and gas sector in general. The sector is down and not growing much so wait for a pullback before buying stock in these companies. There has been less capital spending in the industry than before so there could be supply chain constraints going forward. Companies have been paying cash flow back to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks. He doesn't own Tourmaline but it is a great company.

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