Portfolio Manager & Publisher, Linde Equity Report at Linde Equity Report
Member since: Feb '14 · 1225 Opinions
It sold off because it is being punished by short term investors for long term thinking. It is increasing its capex for the next five years which will result in accelerating cash flow in 2030 and 2031. Investors want companies to return capital to shareholders now but not much has been happening with many of them. Tourmaline has strong management so you could step in for the long term. It has been able to grow and return capital to shareholders but it will be less now with the increased capex.
It is at an attractive price now and should be a core holding in any portfolio, perhaps 4 to 6%. It has a great track record of growth and is anticipated to grow by a 17% compound rate over the next 5 years. With carried interest that could be 25%. An investor meeting is coming up this week so we'll see what they say. It has grown by double digits for 25 years.
It has been allowed to keep Chrome so that decision is good for the company. The legal system in the U.S. can't keep up with the fast pace in the market place, especially tech. The anti-trust laws were created over 100 years ago. Google hasn't raised or lowered prices and lots of it is free.
It had a market cap of $400 million before the pandemic and the market cap is still $400 million. Yet it has paid down 1/2 billion in debt and is still trading at its valuation pre-pandemic. As it continues to pay down debt the market will realize its value. He doesn't have insolvency issues with this stock.
He wouldn't buy now because it has shot up so much. It was their largest holding but they have taken some profits recently. It is not priced in to their growth margin. It has a history of volatility so if it drops by 1/4 to 1/3 you could consider taking a position. You should be aware of the effects of tariffs. The products they have in their U.S. stores basically come from overseas. The long term picture is very attractive with lots of runway for growth internationally and the opening of new stores in the U.S.
It has light and heavy oil as well as natural gas and LNG so it can switch around to what's going well and follow the increase in price of the particular commodity. It is the most diversified in Canada so is the one to buy. One of the cheaper at 12X earnings. It is a solid long term performer and has raised its dividend each year for 25 years. On oil in general OPEC has been putting more barrels on the market.