
TSE:TOU
This summary was created by AI, based on 60 opinions in the last 12 months.
Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU-T) is recognized as Canada's largest natural gas producer, positioned strategically to benefit from growing LNG markets and rising energy demand. Analysts generally highlight strong management and commend the company's approach to capital allocation, focusing on infrastructure and future growth. Although the stock has experienced a range-bound performance, most experts believe that it holds significant upside potential with the improvement of natural gas prices anticipated in the coming years. The company provides a respectable dividend and special dividends, which reinforces its attractiveness as a long-term investment. Concerns around current nat gas prices and market volatility are present, but many experts advocate holding or accumulating shares, viewing the long-term prospects favorably.
The 2024 chart is choppy, but there have been a series of higher lows. In mid-October 2023, we started a new 3-5 cyclical bull market, into the second half of 2025 or first half of 2026, but that's where the extreme danger zone is. As we get deeper into the cycle, the economy is running on all cyclinders which is when energy and materials are bid up. He remains constructive on energy. He's also bullish on natural gas.
Really good for a long-term hold. Solid Q3, beat on fund flow and free cashflow. Lower capex costs. Nice dividends. Nat gas has been challenged for a while, but it's part of the bridge to green energy. Exports are coming, which will really help.
Trades in line with peers, good balance sheet. Production growth of 8%, and 10% cashflow per share growth. Probably the highest quality of the gas names.
Last summer, he was adding under $60. Recently trimming above $65. That's the approach he's thinking of for the next few years.
He likes natural gas as a transitionary vehicle as we move off carbon in the decades ahead. There's a lot of it around, so doesn't see this being a growth stock. Buy when weaker, sell when more expensive. That's how he's thinking about a lot of the energy stocks. See today's Educational Segment.
Tricky. Natural gas stocks have been on a tear the last few days, super hot, on fire. Extension of the Trump presidency. Certain investors are feeling FOMO if they don't own energy. Valuations are still compelling.
Thematically, he's bullish gas. Still exposed to weather, and though it's been warm up till now, there's a cold forecast. Gas can be volatile, so these names can be more volatile than oil. This name has lagged, and that could unwind. Doesn't love the variable dividend; instead, should be buying back stock. Good company, lots of inventory. But tactical timing is tricky.
It is natural gas focused and the price of nat gas is in the doldrums. It is the best nat gas company in Canada with very good management. It pays a nice dividend as well as special dividends regularly and has a great balance sheet along with making great acquisitions. However it is hard to predict the sector and hard to make money if the gas price is not going anywhere.
Natural gas stocks are down a lot - the commodity price keeps this stock low. They just bought CREW which is a very complimentary asset. They also just boosted their dividend. With natural gas starting to get offshore by 2026, the commodity should do much better. It is the best in class in North America with a good balance sheet.
He surmises that Trump's bark is bigger than his bite; there's a lot of cooperation between Canada and the US. The tariffs, if they open, won't last long, because they won't benefit the US (or Canada). He's bullish nat gas for the next 3-4 years. TOU has great management.