
Partner & Senior Portfolio Manager at Ninepoint Partners
Member since: Mar '10 · 2764 Opinions
Thinks we'll be fine from an oil perspective, and we'll skate by with refined products. But we'll pay for it. If the Iran situation is not fixed certainly by Christmas, you may want to reevaluate any travel plans.
The cost of everything is going to go up -- feedstocks, transportation, gasoline, jet fuel. The inflationary shock coming will be absolutely massive.
He's excited that oil/energy stocks are discounting the oil price at roughly $65-70. His team thinks the floor price for next year is about $80 (actual price will be meaningfully higher).
Oil at $65 is an extremely ignorant view, and offers a wildly compelling entry point on energy stocks.
Depends on why the oil price is going up. Typically, geopolitical events cause a spike, get resolved, and then the price drops. That thesis is a misunderstanding this time around.
Don't buy an energy stock today on the basis that Nuttall on BNN said oil was going to $200. The investment thesis is for "the day after", when things eventually normalize. What does the world look like then? It'll take 3-4 years for inventories to restock.
He's deploying client capital today with the expectation to gain 50% in 1-2 years.