XEG widely diverges from the price of oil. Why? The large caps take more time to come back. There's mass selling in Suncor, rumoured to be the Saudis, but this should be over. He expects SU to rally. Divestments and general confusion about peak demand impacts fund flows into large caps. It's faster to make the small-caps rally because they need less money. It's very difficult to find mass supply of shares of small caps.
XEG widely diverges from the price of oil. Why? The large caps take more time to come back. There's mass selling in Suncor, rumoured to be the Saudis, but this should be over. He expects SU to rally. Divestments and general confusion about peak demand impacts fund flows into large caps. It's faster to make the small-caps rally because they need less money. It's very difficult to find mass supply of shares of small caps.
He prefers Suncor, rumoured to be held back by massive selling by the Saudis. He expects SU to outperform CNQ. CNQ outperformed last year. Its valuation is better than SU, but he expects SU to outperform.
Safe dividend? It's safe. We'll see what mark on the dividend the new CEO will do. They just added acreage in the U.S. Valuation is 10x, a discount to Prairie Sky. Sees 40-50% upside based on $60 oil, however, he's looking for 100% upside after this harsh oil bear market. The yield will likely rise by 50%.
Safe dividend? It's safe. We'll see what mark on the dividend the new CEO will do. They just added acreage in the U.S. Valuation is 10x, a discount to Prairie Sky. Sees 40-50% upside based on $60 oil, however, he's looking for 100% upside after this harsh oil bear market. The yield will likely rise by 50%.
Natural gas names are on fire during this deep winter freeze. BR is a higher beta and small cap name vs. peers, like Tourmaline (he owns). BIR will likely trade at 4x PE. He sees 64% upside and a $4.30 price targets, but wants 100% in oil stocks.
Natural gas names are on fire during this deep winter freeze. BR is a higher beta and small cap name vs. peers, like Tourmaline (he owns). BIR will likely trade at 4x PE. He sees 64% upside and a $4.30 price targets, but wants 100% in oil stocks.
This is one of two oil large-caps he owns. CVE reported an inline quarter today, including taking a charge on the Keystone XL. At $60 oil, CVE is targeted at 19% free cash flow yield. They diluted some upside when they bought Husky Energy, but there are likely some assets in Husky to delever CVE. Large caps like this have really lagged the rise in oil prices but will bounce back. Doesn't know why it's getting pressured today, but he isn't worried. The merger with Husky means CVE is committed to paying down that debt, which he expects to reach a market average for debt by end of 2021.
This is one of two oil large-caps he owns. CVE reported an inline quarter today, including taking a charge on the Keystone XL. At $60 oil, CVE is targeted at 19% free cash flow yield. They diluted some upside when they bought Husky Energy, but there are likely some assets in Husky to delever CVE. Large caps like this have really lagged the rise in oil prices but will bounce back. Doesn't know why it's getting pressured today, but he isn't worried. The merger with Husky means CVE is committed to paying down that debt, which he expects to reach a market average for debt by end of 2021.