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TSE:TOU
This summary was created by AI, based on 63 opinions in the last 12 months.
Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU) has garnered mixed reviews from various experts, reflecting a blend of optimism and caution in the energy sector, particularly in natural gas. Many express a bullish long-term outlook, citing the company's robust management, significant natural gas reserves, and low-cost operations. Analysts highlight the potential for revenue growth from LNG exports, as the company is well-positioned to tap into higher-priced markets. However, the experts also warn about the impact of weak natural gas prices due to oversupply and the current geopolitical landscape, particularly the Iran conflict. There is a consensus on the importance of a strong balance sheet and ongoing capital investments for future growth, with calls for investors to adopt a long-term perspective rather than react to short-term market fluctuations.
Prefers this to VET. Likes natural gas in Canada, but don't hold a lot of these stocks, because things can change suddenly with these commodities. Remember 2014 when things change dramatically? Pays a good dividend that grows. He owns 10% in raw oil and gas producers, while 20-25% is too high. TOU is good, but he own Arc Resources.
He met with management last week in Toronto. They have 75 years of inventory which is not all booked yet. It is Canada's largest natural gas producer and fourth largest conventional liquid producer and owns most of its infrastructure. He anticipates special dividends of maybe 5% which could bring the total yield to around 9%. It is $20 below where it should be. Natural gas has a better outlook especially in 2025. Investors have switched from gas to oil but they will come back. Buy 14 Hold 0 Sell 0
(Analysts’ price target is $84.36)The oil and gas companies were the best performers in 2022 and are now the worst performers. Tourmaline is the fifth largest natural gas producer in North America and probably the largest in Canada, with some of the best assets. It has a superstar CEO who has built other companies successfully and is buying stock in the company. The question is can a company grow production per share and can it keep the cost of production low. Tourmaline can do both. Has a great balance sheet and is at a good valuation.
He got nervous on nat gas stocks last year, so he took profits. Stocks have now checked back. He's more likely to add at this point. One of the greatest operators out there. Great acquisitions plus internal growth. Be a bit worried about a pure nat gas player, as there's no shortage of nat gas in NA. If he were to add right now, they'd be more purely oil-levered plays.
Canada's top natural gas producer and is performing better than nat gas. Also is the largest processor of nat gas. Good geographic exposure--from the Montney, Deep River and Peace River. Earnings are growing at double-digits despite nat gas prices falling sharply. Are good at getting nat gas to market at good prices. Trades at 4x cash flow. Pullback in shares is good to buy.
(Analysts’ price target is $92.00)
TOU reported free cash flow of $2.7 billion in 2022 and it is expected to produce another $2.0 billion this year. It trades at 1.5x book and supports a 35% ROE. The company has reduced debt to its targeted levels and has announced at least 50% of surplus cash flow will be distributed to shareholders thru special dividends. 80% of its revenues come from natural gas prices, which have no where to go but higher as the year progresses. The company just announced a 5 year partnership to be involved in the the commissioning of 20 compressed natural gas stations in Western Canada. We recommend placing a stop loss at $53, looking to achieve $84 -- upside potential of 35%. Yield 1.4%
(Analysts’ price target is $84.14)