TSE:TOU

Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU.TO)

62.31
-0.08 (0.13%)
as of Jul 17, 2026, 2:49:02 pm Market Open.
836 watching
0
Investor Insights
star iconJul 17, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 64 opinions in the last 12 months.

Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU) is recognized as Canada's largest natural gas producer, with strong management and a significant market position in the Montney region. While the stock has been somewhat range-bound recently, oscillating between $58 and $70, many analysts express optimism about its future potential, primarily driven by the ramp-up of LNG Canada and infrastructural investments that are expected to bolster cash flow in the long run. Experts highlight the company's good dividend yield and its ongoing efforts to enhance operational efficiency. Though some have noted the volatility in the energy market, particularly due to geopolitical factors like the US-Iran conflict, the consensus seems to favor TOU as a solid long-term investment given its strategic initiatives and assets. Concerns about short-term profitability and capex versus shareholder returns remain, but the outlook for natural gas demand and pricing appears constructive over the next few years.

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Consensus
Positive
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Valuation
Undervalued
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TOP PICK

Best in terms of management, balance sheet, and returning capital to shareholders. Management is best in class. Recently increased dividend, plus special dividends. Low-cost provider gives them the best balance sheet, profits are fantastic. He's positive on oil and gas. Bonavista acquisition will do great things for the company. Will increase production by further acquisitions at fair prices. Yield is 1.43%.

(Analysts’ price target is $84.16)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 22/23, Up 13%)

A dominant nat gas company that's well-run. They move gas from Canada to California. Because there are no processing plants for LNG in Canada right now, TOU has been sending their gas to the US to refine then ship to Asia, but receive a much better price. Volumes aren't large yet, but Asian demand is strong.

TOP PICK
Commodities

His favourite is natural gas. Solar is at the mercy of the sun, and suffers on cloudy days. Nat gas you can turn on and off at will. The more solar and wind power, there will be more nat gas demand with nat gas as a back-up. He read a book that says that modern civilization depends on 4 cornerstones which all rely on fossil fuels: fertilizer-driven agriculture, cement, steel and plastics. Even if every car was an EV, we'd still need fossil fuels. TOU has tremendous reserves and pays a good yield.

(Analysts’ price target is $81.00)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 19/22, Up 3%)

NA gas is trading sideways, and will probably stay that way for a while. A cold winter could easily cause gas price to spike. Low-cost gas producer. Trades at 6x price to cashflow, one of the best-run oil/gas companies in the world.

BUY

Energy prices should remain firm. Oil usage at all-time high, have to build US reserves again. In the sector, he prefers CNQ and TOU for growth, though dividends are not as high as some other companies.

TOP PICK

Canada's top natural gas producer. Nat gas price was temporarily depressed, so this presents an opportunity. Hitting its 50-day MA, so technically not a bad entry point. Value score is 10/10, fundamental 9/10. Street consensus is Outperform. In a position to improve financial resilience and boost shareholder returns. Yield is 1.54%.

(Analysts’ price target is $80.56)
WAIT

One of the best management teams, massive insider ownership. 75-year-deep, diversified inventory. But it's still 77% natural gas, and he's bullish on oil. For next year, he sees a 7.6% yield by including special dividends. Solid name.

BUY

In oil, buy at home, but Canadians, because they're much cheaper and are more likely to hike dividends like CNQ, Suncor or TOU-T. Great cash flows and buying back shares. Even if oil is above $70, these stocks remain cheap.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 15/23, Up 14.4%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with TOU is progressing well.  To remain disciplined, we recommend trailing up the stop (from $55) to $64 at this time.

TOP PICK

Best in class for management, assets, and balance sheet. Recently increased dividend, often declares special dividend. Very little debt. Opportunities in LNG. Wildfires have hampered a bit, but not substantially. He's holding, and would add on weakness. Yield is 1.47%.

(Analysts’ price target is $80.00)
HOLD

Best of the natural gas stocks in Canada. Nat gas pipelines are full with lots being found. Need to wait for pipelines to get built. Low-cost producer, great land, well managed. Hold for now, perhaps buy if nat gas moves up to $1.50 or so.

BUY

He's bullish natural gas in western Canada. LNG Canada is coming online in 2025, a game changer for nat gas demand in Canada. Also, there have been two recent FIDs (final investment decisions) in the US, where LNG production is set to increase. All this means, more nat gas production and higher, more stable pricing. Likes TOU a lot, but owns the similar Arc Resources.

HOLD

Not bullish on energy, but TOU very strong pick.
Natural Gas focus will be a good long term bet (less cyclical aspects).
Excellent management team. 
Very good M&A operators.
Founder led company.
Must own energy name.

TOP PICK

Fantastically well run. Nat gas prices are very low, but won't stay low for long. Nat gas is cheap in NA, but very expensive in Asia. Ships nat gas as LNG through the Gulf of Mexico, really good margins by doing this. When the Kitimat LNG station opens, they can ship direct. 75 years worth of drilling locations, without doing acquisitions or exploration. A legacy holding to pass down. Yield is 1.74%.

(Analysts’ price target is $79.79)
HOLD

He doesn't know where oil prices are going to go, but he's confident that oil demand will be pretty strong over the next 5-10 years. Fantastic fundamentals. Own this instead of utilities, pipelines, or banks. 

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