TSE:TOU

Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU.TO)

63.73
-1.69 (2.58%)
as of Jun 5, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
831 watching
0
Investor Insights
star iconJun 6, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 58 opinions in the last 12 months.

Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU) is recognized as Canada’s largest natural gas producer, reflecting strong management and significant capital discipline. Experts express optimism regarding TOU’s strategic positioning, particularly as it expands access to Asian markets through LNG exports. However, there is consensus that the stock has been performing sideways amid heavy capital expenditures and fluctuating natural gas prices. While some analysts believe its long-term fundamentals remain sound, many suggest a cautious approach, with price targets hovering around $70-$76. Overall, the sentiment is mixed, with an inclination toward potential growth once natural gas demand tightens and infrastructure projects bear fruit.

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Consensus
Hold
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Valuation
Undervalued
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Agnc
TOP PICK

Best in class for management, assets, and balance sheet. Recently increased dividend, often declares special dividend. Very little debt. Opportunities in LNG. Wildfires have hampered a bit, but not substantially. He's holding, and would add on weakness. Yield is 1.47%.

(Analysts’ price target is $80.00)
HOLD

Best of the natural gas stocks in Canada. Nat gas pipelines are full with lots being found. Need to wait for pipelines to get built. Low-cost producer, great land, well managed. Hold for now, perhaps buy if nat gas moves up to $1.50 or so.

BUY

He's bullish natural gas in western Canada. LNG Canada is coming online in 2025, a game changer for nat gas demand in Canada. Also, there have been two recent FIDs (final investment decisions) in the US, where LNG production is set to increase. All this means, more nat gas production and higher, more stable pricing. Likes TOU a lot, but owns the similar Arc Resources.

HOLD

Not bullish on energy, but TOU very strong pick.
Natural Gas focus will be a good long term bet (less cyclical aspects).
Excellent management team. 
Very good M&A operators.
Founder led company.
Must own energy name.

TOP PICK

Fantastically well run. Nat gas prices are very low, but won't stay low for long. Nat gas is cheap in NA, but very expensive in Asia. Ships nat gas as LNG through the Gulf of Mexico, really good margins by doing this. When the Kitimat LNG station opens, they can ship direct. 75 years worth of drilling locations, without doing acquisitions or exploration. A legacy holding to pass down. Yield is 1.74%.

(Analysts’ price target is $79.79)
HOLD

He doesn't know where oil prices are going to go, but he's confident that oil demand will be pretty strong over the next 5-10 years. Fantastic fundamentals. Own this instead of utilities, pipelines, or banks. 

BUY

It moves with the natural gas prices. It is very well managed, is a leader in its field in Canada, and is the best pick for a natural gas company. It is the first to lock in natural gas prices in Asia and can sell directly to U.S. customers. There has been very strong insider buying of $9 million, with $8 million coming from the CEO and 600 000 from the CFO. Only $350 000 worth of stock has been sold.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

We reiterate Canada's largest natural gas producer as a TOP PICK.  Alberta production is back online following an 11,000 bpd shut in due to wildfires.  It trades at 1.6x book and supports a ROE of 32%.  We recommend trailing up the stop (from $53) to $55, looking to achieve $80 -- upside potential of 30%.  Yield 1.5%

(Analysts’ price target is $80.00)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 23/22, Down 11%)

Balance sheet and management are still exceptional. Over 2022, returned a lot to shareholders in terms of dividends, about a 10% yield including the special dividends. Great assets and discipline. He's positive on oil and nat gas. Best pick in the nat gas space.

WAIT

Don't buy now if you're looking for capital appreciation. It's discounting nat gas price meaningfully higher than current price, as it should because current price is not sustainable. Nat gas inventories are high and supply will grow this year. LNG capacity buildout is a catalyst for 2024/25, not for now. 

Incredibly well run, great assets. He'd take a look around $45.

BUY
TOU vs. NTR for capital appreciation.

Apples and oranges comparison, fertilizer vs. natural gas. All NTR's commodities have rolled over, earnings disappointed, he sold. NTR is a good company, valuation not good, not the time to own.

Likes and owns TOU. Gushing cashflow. Special dividends on top of regular ones. Dividend increase. Biggest and best nat gas producer in Canada. Commodity producers are slaves to the one thing they can't control, but TOU breaks the mold based on strategic contracts. Inexpensive 9x earnings, financially very strong. He's a buyer here.

TRADE

Natural gas performs well from March to June.
Not seeing performance this year.
Would own shares for the short term.
Very strong company.

BUY

Largest natural gas producer in the country. Key to the story is the management team. Fortuitously sold assets before pandemic to stockpile cash and acquire cheap assets. Shares down 30% from highs, in sympathy with price of gas. Profitable at $1.50 gas. High quality. Special dividends. Strong operating group. Buy for the long term.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

TOU reported free cash flow of $2.7 billion in 2022 and it is expected to produce another $2.0 billion this year.  It trades at 1.5x book and supports a 35% ROE.  The company has reduced debt to its targeted levels and has announced at least 50% of surplus cash flow will be distributed to shareholders thru special dividends.  80% of its revenues come from natural gas prices, which have no where to go but higher as the year progresses.   The company just announced a 5 year partnership to be involved in the the commissioning of 20 compressed natural gas stations in Western Canada.  We recommend placing a stop loss at $53, looking to achieve $84 -- upside potential of 35%.  Yield 1.4%  

(Analysts’ price target is $84.14)
PARTIAL BUY

Prefers this to VET. Likes natural gas in Canada, but don't hold a lot of these stocks, because things can change suddenly with these commodities. Remember 2014 when things change dramatically? Pays a good dividend that grows. He owns 10% in raw oil and gas producers, while 20-25% is too high. TOU is good, but he own Arc Resources.

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