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TSE:TOU

Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU.TO)

62.25
+0.64 (1.04%)
as of Aug 26, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
834 watching
0
Investor Insights
star iconAug 26, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 64 opinions in the last 12 months.

Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU) is recognized as Canada's largest natural gas producer and is often highlighted for its strong management and well-structured operations. The company faces challenges due to weak commodity prices and significant competition, notably from increased natural gas drilling in the U.S. The experts express a mix of sentiments, with some advising to buy at current levels given its long-term growth prospects and potential for LNG expansion, while others caution about the stock's volatile nature and short-term fluctuations in prices. Analysts are optimistic about the company's fundamentals, with many expecting a recovery in natural gas prices driven by future LNG contracts and structural demand increases. The sentiment reflects a belief that despite current market pressures, there are significant long-term tailwinds that could benefit Tourmaline.

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Consensus
Hold
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Valuation
Undervalued
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Similar
CNQ, CNRL
TOP PICK

It is a very high quality company and a household name. A top priority is returning cash to its shareholders. It is the largest Canadian company in its field and the fifth largest in North America. Its recent earnings were fantastic. It is mostly natural gas and there will some price movement with the changing price of energy.      Buy 15  Hold 1  Sell 0

(Analysts’ price target is $84.83)
TOP PICK

Offers growth and share buybacks. Reported great Q3 earnings. Expects long-term growth in natural gas, because it will allow the transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy. The transition won't be sudden.

(Analysts’ price target is $84.83)
HOLD

"The CNQ of natural gas." Great management team, assets, balance sheet. Not excited by its trading at 5.5x. 6x multiple is reasonable with 8% upside. Amazing optionality with LNG, but until then he'd rather buy other names for capital appreciation of 100% or more. Yield is 7%, plus writing calls.

BUY

OPEC meetings are reactive, not pro-active. With all their data, for instance, they cut production if that data foretells weak demand. So, a cut is not a good thing. That said, he would buy quality oil stocks like Parex and Tourmaline.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 01/23, Up 27%)

Happy to add to it. Has performed well. The best natural gas producer in Canada. They've amassed great drilling locations, cheap production costs, so growth will happen for years. Good history of paying dividends, both regular and special.

BUY
Upside, plus good dividend, for recent retiree?

Oil is the safest of all the resource categories. Here are 2 names that will let you sleep at night.

Big fan of CNQ: best in class in execution, quality assets, aristocrat in dividend growth. 

TOU doesn't give the upfront, regular dividend, but has been generous with special dividends. Capable of delivering in high single-digit range in terms of total yield.

BUY

Sentiment toward security of fuel has changed, brought on by the Russian invasion of Ukraine. His estimates show that Canadian nat gas production will have to increase 30-50% by 2030 to satisfy LNG demand.

Unique, as they have access to the Gulf Coast, good egress in California. His favourite stock, but still frustrating. A staple in the energy space.

COMMENT

The caller asked about his preference between Tourmaline and CNQ. Both are the highest quality oil and gas companies in Canada. Tourmaline is superbly run but is natural gas weighted and moves around a lot along with the price of natural gas. CNQ is more diversified and therefore its stock price is steadier.

TOP PICK

Best in terms of management, balance sheet, and returning capital to shareholders. Management is best in class. Recently increased dividend, plus special dividends. Low-cost provider gives them the best balance sheet, profits are fantastic. He's positive on oil and gas. Bonavista acquisition will do great things for the company. Will increase production by further acquisitions at fair prices. Yield is 1.43%.

(Analysts’ price target is $84.16)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 22/23, Up 13%)

A dominant nat gas company that's well-run. They move gas from Canada to California. Because there are no processing plants for LNG in Canada right now, TOU has been sending their gas to the US to refine then ship to Asia, but receive a much better price. Volumes aren't large yet, but Asian demand is strong.

TOP PICK
Commodities

His favourite is natural gas. Solar is at the mercy of the sun, and suffers on cloudy days. Nat gas you can turn on and off at will. The more solar and wind power, there will be more nat gas demand with nat gas as a back-up. He read a book that says that modern civilization depends on 4 cornerstones which all rely on fossil fuels: fertilizer-driven agriculture, cement, steel and plastics. Even if every car was an EV, we'd still need fossil fuels. TOU has tremendous reserves and pays a good yield.

(Analysts’ price target is $81.00)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 19/22, Up 3%)

NA gas is trading sideways, and will probably stay that way for a while. A cold winter could easily cause gas price to spike. Low-cost gas producer. Trades at 6x price to cashflow, one of the best-run oil/gas companies in the world.

BUY

Energy prices should remain firm. Oil usage at all-time high, have to build US reserves again. In the sector, he prefers CNQ and TOU for growth, though dividends are not as high as some other companies.

TOP PICK

Canada's top natural gas producer. Nat gas price was temporarily depressed, so this presents an opportunity. Hitting its 50-day MA, so technically not a bad entry point. Value score is 10/10, fundamental 9/10. Street consensus is Outperform. In a position to improve financial resilience and boost shareholder returns. Yield is 1.54%.

(Analysts’ price target is $80.56)
WAIT

One of the best management teams, massive insider ownership. 75-year-deep, diversified inventory. But it's still 77% natural gas, and he's bullish on oil. For next year, he sees a 7.6% yield by including special dividends. Solid name.

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