Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

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Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU.TO)

62.34

+0.09 (0.14%)

as of Aug 27, 2026, 5:03:52 pm Market Open.

834 watching

Investor Insights

Aug 27, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 63 opinions in the last 12 months.

Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU) has garnered mixed reviews from various experts, reflecting a blend of optimism and caution in the energy sector, particularly in natural gas. Many express a bullish long-term outlook, citing the company's robust management, significant natural gas reserves, and low-cost operations. Analysts highlight the potential for revenue growth from LNG exports, as the company is well-positioned to tap into higher-priced markets. However, the experts also warn about the impact of weak natural gas prices due to oversupply and the current geopolitical landscape, particularly the Iran conflict. There is a consensus on the importance of a strong balance sheet and ongoing capital investments for future growth, with calls for investors to adopt a long-term perspective rather than react to short-term market fluctuations.

Consensus

Mixed

Valuation

Fair Value

Similar

CNQ

BUY

Excellent company with long reserve life. High special dividends that provide excellent returns. CEO has over $1 Billion is personal investment Expecting a 17% dividend yield next year.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Sep 22/21, Up 123%) At 2.7x, still cheap relative to peers. Being added to TSX 60, a catalyst. Will benefit from global natural gas exposure. Can go higher.

BUY

Loves it. Fantastic management, which owns a lot of shares. Scores at the top on momentum. 29% ROE, 8x earnings. Paying down debt, buying back shares. Small yield, but small payout ratio.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Excellently managed. Very well positioned. He's been watching it closely. Anticipates starting a position over the next few months, especially if there's a pullback. Trades at a premium, but you always pay more for quality. Good long term.

BUY

Buy for long-term growth for the next couple of years, unless you want the dividend that TPZ provides. Both should do well. He owns CNQ and WCP instead.

HOLD

Great operator. Spinning off a lot of cash. Always a good balance sheet. Levered to nat gas. Most Canadian companies can't benefit from the price increase in Europe, as we can't get to market. No long-term fundamental shortage of gas in Canada, and this is problematic.

TOP PICK

Best oil & gas environment has seen in decades. Not concerned that stock is over bought. Quality company that will continue to preform. Free cash flow & earnings continue to grow. Expecting continued growth in energy prices (oil & natural gas). One of largest holdings in portfolio. Trading at 5x cash flow with double digit cash flow growth. Base dividend yield + dividend yield = ~10% yield.

WEAK BUY

TOU vs. ARX Both terrific. Nat gas is a great place to be. LNG is a real thing, the world needs our energy. ARX has 20% cashflow per share growth, 8% production growth, very clean balance sheet, a bit cheaper relative to peers, 50-80% free cashflow. TOU is a pure play. If oil and nat gas prices can hold, both names are compelling. Use the charts to buy them. ARX is a bit more attractive right now.

BUY

They want to get their stock price up. The group has been really cheap, following the direction of the commodity rather than the fundamentals. 3.6x, in line with peers, but 1/3 of where it was at the top in 2013-14. Excellent balance sheet. 17% cashflow per share growth. $106 price target. Special dividend and a lot more to come.

TOP PICK

Price of natural gas is providing excellent source of cash flow. Could rise higher given conflict in Ukraine. Believes company is extremely well managed. Run the business like owners with skin in the game. Special dividends and regular dividend sums up to ~5%. Very positive outlook for the company.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Apr 08/22, Up 8%) Best nat gas name in Canada. Production will grow about 10% this year. Net cash on balance sheet. Huge amount of cashflow at these prices. Special dividends, buybacks. Core holding. Run very well. Good medium- to long-term investment.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Mar 15/22, Up 42.6%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with TOU triggered its stop at $69.50. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment gain of 58%, when combined with previous buy recommendations.

SELL

Selling shares as believes it is a good time to take money off the energy table. Worried that we are at the top of the energy bull market. Natural gas prices are not sustainable. No shortage of natural gas(short term squeeze).

Premium content

Unlock this Panic-proof Portfolio opinion with Stockchase Premium

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Mar 15/22, Up 61%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with TOU is progressing well. To remain disciplined, we recommend trailing up the stop (from $61.50) to $69.50.

DON'T BUY

Believes it is a good time to sell energy and de-risk portfolio (if already own it). Not sure there is any upside left for the company. Stock price must come back to Earth.

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Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU.TO)