Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

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Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU.TO)

59.56

+0.42 (0.71%)

as of Aug 6, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.

836 watching

Investor Insights

Aug 6, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 61 opinions in the last 12 months.

Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU), Canada's largest natural gas producer, is currently experiencing mixed reviews from analysts. While many highlight its strong management, solid fundamentals, and the strategic advantages from the LNG Canada project, concerns about capex spending and low prices for natural gas in Western Canada remain pertinent. Analysts express a cautious optimism, noting the potential for future price appreciation as LNG capacities ramp up. The stock has shown a consistent trading range, suggesting it may be a suitable buy at lower points within this range, but there is skepticism regarding near-term performance. The general sentiment reflects a waiting game as many investors anticipate stronger natural gas prices and believe that TOU will eventually benefit from long-term structural shifts in the energy market.

Consensus

Hold

Valuation

Fair Value

Similar

CNE, CNE

HOLD

Great operator. Spinning off a lot of cash. Always a good balance sheet. Levered to nat gas. Most Canadian companies can't benefit from the price increase in Europe, as we can't get to market. No long-term fundamental shortage of gas in Canada, and this is problematic.

TOP PICK

Best oil & gas environment has seen in decades. Not concerned that stock is over bought. Quality company that will continue to preform. Free cash flow & earnings continue to grow. Expecting continued growth in energy prices (oil & natural gas). One of largest holdings in portfolio. Trading at 5x cash flow with double digit cash flow growth. Base dividend yield + dividend yield = ~10% yield.

WEAK BUY

TOU vs. ARX Both terrific. Nat gas is a great place to be. LNG is a real thing, the world needs our energy. ARX has 20% cashflow per share growth, 8% production growth, very clean balance sheet, a bit cheaper relative to peers, 50-80% free cashflow. TOU is a pure play. If oil and nat gas prices can hold, both names are compelling. Use the charts to buy them. ARX is a bit more attractive right now.

BUY

They want to get their stock price up. The group has been really cheap, following the direction of the commodity rather than the fundamentals. 3.6x, in line with peers, but 1/3 of where it was at the top in 2013-14. Excellent balance sheet. 17% cashflow per share growth. $106 price target. Special dividend and a lot more to come.

TOP PICK

Price of natural gas is providing excellent source of cash flow. Could rise higher given conflict in Ukraine. Believes company is extremely well managed. Run the business like owners with skin in the game. Special dividends and regular dividend sums up to ~5%. Very positive outlook for the company.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Apr 08/22, Up 8%) Best nat gas name in Canada. Production will grow about 10% this year. Net cash on balance sheet. Huge amount of cashflow at these prices. Special dividends, buybacks. Core holding. Run very well. Good medium- to long-term investment.

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PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Mar 15/22, Up 42.6%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with TOU triggered its stop at $69.50. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment gain of 58%, when combined with previous buy recommendations.

SELL

Selling shares as believes it is a good time to take money off the energy table. Worried that we are at the top of the energy bull market. Natural gas prices are not sustainable. No shortage of natural gas(short term squeeze).

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PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Mar 15/22, Up 61%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with TOU is progressing well. To remain disciplined, we recommend trailing up the stop (from $61.50) to $69.50.

DON'T BUY

Believes it is a good time to sell energy and de-risk portfolio (if already own it). Not sure there is any upside left for the company. Stock price must come back to Earth.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Mar 15/22, Up 47.8%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with TOU is progressing well. We now recommend trailing up the stop (from $47.50) to $61.50.

COMMENT

Question was on derivative loss. He doesn't follow the company closely so doesn't know the situation. Could be related to hedging which can account for book losses for many companies. Tourmaline is one of the best manged oil and gas companies in Canada and management is considered conservative.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Mar 24/20, Up 799%) Team has done a fabulous job. Now the largest Canadian nat gas producer. Buy on weakness and hold for 4-5 years. Could potentially be $120-150 if it became a friendly acquisition target. He sold on recession concerns.

BUY

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. One of the best Canadian energy companies to purchase today. Has the most amount of confidence right now Debt is very low and management has been excellent. Growth is high. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

TOP PICK

Believes energy industry very strong at the moment. Company is well positioned with natural gas and oil weighting. Aggressive drilling program this year will see further growth in production. Sell majority of product to USA, which has strong natural gas prices. Expecting cash flow to increase. Very little debt will result in capital being returned to share holders.

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Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU.TO)