Stock Opinions by Alex Ruus - Stockchase Experts
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Alex Ruus @

On Stockchase since : Nov 2006

Portfolio Manager at Arrow Capital Management

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Stock Opinions by Alex Ruus - Stockchase Experts

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

September 5, 2018

Volatility over trade and foreigh currencies: He likes the opportunities that volatility brings. Lack of it breeds complacency. Valuations in tech are getting pretty high and he suspects there will be a rotation out of tech. He's moving into energy where there are bargains. (He has a 12-24-month outlook.) This has been a momentum market, but focus on the future, not tomorrow morning. Oil is down today, but the oil chart over the past year is bullish overall. In two or three years there could be c.2007 discussions of there being not enough oil. In Canada, these stocks have come off a lot since the TransMountain court ruling, but the new Enbridge line 3 should be operating by end-2019. In addition, Keystone or TransMountain will go through (he's confident that TM will under Trudeau).

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Volatility over trade and foreigh currencies: He likes the opportunities that volatility brings. Lack of it breeds complacency. Valuations in tech are getting pretty high and he suspects there will be a rotation out of tech. He's moving into energy where there are bargains. (He has a 12-24-month outlook.) This has been a momentum market, but focus on the future, not tomorrow morning. Oil is down today, but the oil chart over the past year is bullish overall. In two or three years there could be c.2007 discussions of there being not enough oil. In Canada, these stocks have come off a lot since the TransMountain court ruling, but the new Enbridge line 3 should be operating by end-2019. In addition, Keystone or TransMountain will go through (he's confident that TM will under Trudeau).

Unknown
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Alex Ruus

Portfolio , Arrow Capital Manage...

Price Price
$0.020
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
West Fraser Timber(WFT-T) 

September 5, 2018

Forest stocks have come off due to U.S. trade issues under Trump, which has added US$7,000 to the cost of a US house. This is a good time to buy this.

west coast forestry
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Forest stocks have come off due to U.S. trade issues under Trump, which has added US$7,000 to the cost of a US house. This is a good time to buy this.

west coast forestry
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Alex Ruus

Portfolio , Arrow Capital Manage...

Price Price
$87.600
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
Baytex Energy Corp(BTE-T) 

September 5, 2018

He recently bought this. This was an undervalued company and heavily levered. They recently merged with Raging River, making it worth investing in now. It was beaten up along with other oil stocks, but he likes the story of this stock
now.

oil/gas
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He recently bought this. This was an undervalued company and heavily levered. They recently merged with Raging River, making it worth investing in now. It was beaten up along with other oil stocks, but he likes the story of this stock
now.

oil/gas
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Alex Ruus

Portfolio , Arrow Capital Manage...

Price Price
$3.620
Owned Owned
Yes

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DON'T BUY

Canada's go-to mining stock and a relatively stable one. It has survived a rough period of acqusition/heavy leverage/stock sell-off. Market sentiment towards mining overall remains weak (and he prefers the oil sector), so he holds little mining.

precious metals
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Canada's go-to mining stock and a relatively stable one. It has survived a rough period of acqusition/heavy leverage/stock sell-off. Market sentiment towards mining overall remains weak (and he prefers the oil sector), so he holds little mining.

precious metals
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Alex Ruus

Portfolio , Arrow Capital Manage...

Price Price
$29.300
Owned Owned
No

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BUY
Morgan Stanley(MS-N) 

September 5, 2018

The U.S. market is outperforming Canada, so he prefers financials there than here. MS had a recent pullback, but feels it will do well going forward. The U.S. financials will move in a pack. You should get a decent return in MS in the next 12 months.

investment companies/funds
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The U.S. market is outperforming Canada, so he prefers financials there than here. MS had a recent pullback, but feels it will do well going forward. The U.S. financials will move in a pack. You should get a decent return in MS in the next 12 months.

investment companies/funds
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Alex Ruus

Portfolio , Arrow Capital Manage...

Price Price
$48.720
Owned Owned
Unknown

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PAST TOP PICK
Microsoft(MSFT-Q) 

September 5, 2018

(Past Top Pick, November 16, 2017, Up 30%) It slowly grew as it increased its earnings. The market once considered this yesterday's tech company. This will likely outgrow Amazon Web Services. It's starting to get expensive, but this half-trillion company is actually accelerating growth.

computer software/processing
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(Past Top Pick, November 16, 2017, Up 30%) It slowly grew as it increased its earnings. The market once considered this yesterday's tech company. This will likely outgrow Amazon Web Services. It's starting to get expensive, but this half-trillion company is actually accelerating growth.

computer software/processing
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Alex Ruus

Portfolio , Arrow Capital Manage...

Price Price
$108.490
Owned Owned
Yes

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BUY
Verizon Communications(VZ-N) 

September 5, 2018

More of a wireless than a telco company. Growth has really slowed down in this sector, yet cell phones remain an essential business. He likes Verizon and it's a little pricey now, but good long-term. Pays a nice dividend.

telephone utilities
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More of a wireless than a telco company. Growth has really slowed down in this sector, yet cell phones remain an essential business. He likes Verizon and it's a little pricey now, but good long-term. Pays a nice dividend.

telephone utilities
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Alex Ruus

Portfolio , Arrow Capital Manage...

Price Price
$53.820
Owned Owned
Yes

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COMMENT
BCE Inc.(BCE-T) 

September 5, 2018

He used to own it and finds it interesting now. It's had a big pullback. It's a little levered, but it enjoys an oligopoly in Canada. Don't expect the rate of growth in the past, but it's worth looking at now.

telephone utilities
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He used to own it and finds it interesting now. It's had a big pullback. It's a little levered, but it enjoys an oligopoly in Canada. Don't expect the rate of growth in the past, but it's worth looking at now.

telephone utilities
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Alex Ruus

Portfolio , Arrow Capital Manage...

Price Price
$53.180
Owned Owned
No

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DON'T BUY

Avoid it. Franchisees fighting with the company is not a good sign. Horton's has been a great brand, but after the QSR takeover, QSR has cut corners too much and franchisees are now pushing back. Also, the U.S. expansion didn't work.

food services
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0 comments

Avoid it. Franchisees fighting with the company is not a good sign. Horton's has been a great brand, but after the QSR takeover, QSR has cut corners too much and franchisees are now pushing back. Also, the U.S. expansion didn't work.

food services
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Alex Ruus

Portfolio , Arrow Capital Manage...

Price Price
$73.630
Owned Owned
No

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HOLD
General Dynamics Corp.(GD-N) 

September 5, 2018

How to analyze this company? GD is a complex company, but look at the industry: What are threats from new competition? Disruption from the consumer side? How is it successful in their industry? Who are the sector leader(s)? What is the relative valuation? GD is a global leader in military aerospace. They own Gulf Stream (which competes with Bombardier). U.S. defense stocks have done very well and have run up, so he would hold most of them now. So, buy them on a pullback.

transportation equip & components
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How to analyze this company? GD is a complex company, but look at the industry: What are threats from new competition? Disruption from the consumer side? How is it successful in their industry? Who are the sector leader(s)? What is the relative valuation? GD is a global leader in military aerospace. They own Gulf Stream (which competes with Bombardier). U.S. defense stocks have done very well and have run up, so he would hold most of them now. So, buy them on a pullback.

transportation equip & components
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Alex Ruus

Portfolio , Arrow Capital Manage...

Price Price
$193.980
Owned Owned
Unknown

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WATCH
Teva Pharmaceutical(TEVA-N) 

September 5, 2018

A leader in generic pharmaceuticals. It's sold off the past few years and he hasn't look at it recently. Hold on. It's bottoming. Look at its fundamentals. This is the right sector, but do your homework on it.

biotechnology/pharmaceutical
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A leader in generic pharmaceuticals. It's sold off the past few years and he hasn't look at it recently. Hold on. It's bottoming. Look at its fundamentals. This is the right sector, but do your homework on it.

biotechnology/pharmaceutical
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Alex Ruus

Portfolio , Arrow Capital Manage...

Price Price
$22.640
Owned Owned
Unknown

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DON'T BUY
Laurentian Bank(LB-T) 

September 5, 2018

He prefers the U.S. banks because there's more growth in that economy. Also, U.S. bank stocks were beaten down. More upside there. They've also pulled back the past six months, so they're now attractive. Canadian banks are an
oligopoly, so are good long-term. LB is regional and hasn't looked at his closely. It's also lagged the big Canadian banks.

banks
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He prefers the U.S. banks because there's more growth in that economy. Also, U.S. bank stocks were beaten down. More upside there. They've also pulled back the past six months, so they're now attractive. Canadian banks are an
oligopoly, so are good long-term. LB is regional and hasn't looked at his closely. It's also lagged the big Canadian banks.

banks
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Alex Ruus

Portfolio , Arrow Capital Manage...

Price Price
$43.350
Owned Owned
No

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SPECULATIVE BUY
Trevali Mining Corp(TV-T) 

September 5, 2018

A cheap stock. This is a great leveraged play on the price of zinc. Buying this depends on where you think the price of zinc will go.

Mining
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A cheap stock. This is a great leveraged play on the price of zinc. Buying this depends on where you think the price of zinc will go.

Mining
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0 comments
Alex Ruus

Portfolio , Arrow Capital Manage...

Price Price
$0.740
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
Vermilion Energy Inc(VET-T) 

September 5, 2018

It's been beaten up with all oil stocks. It's irrational that investors are piling into tech and ignoring energy. This is an excellent company with global assets. Cheap here.

oil/gas
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It's been beaten up with all oil stocks. It's irrational that investors are piling into tech and ignoring energy. This is an excellent company with global assets. Cheap here.

oil/gas
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0 comments
Alex Ruus

Portfolio , Arrow Capital Manage...

Price Price
$40.500
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
Acasti Pharma(ACST-X) 

September 5, 2018

Pretty disappointing after last fall's announcement to have an Asian pharma company come in and get the rights to CaPre, their phase-3 development drug to treat cholesterol. It looked promising, but ACST hold off on the deal after a few new parties showed interest in CaPre. The market is disappointed the deal didn't happen and punished this stock. He believes this company could be worth $1 billion in two three years. The promise is still there, but you have to wait. Watch the phase 3 drug trials into next year.

Consumer Products
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Pretty disappointing after last fall's announcement to have an Asian pharma company come in and get the rights to CaPre, their phase-3 development drug to treat cholesterol. It looked promising, but ACST hold off on the deal after a few new parties showed interest in CaPre. The market is disappointed the deal didn't happen and punished this stock. He believes this company could be worth $1 billion in two three years. The promise is still there, but you have to wait. Watch the phase 3 drug trials into next year.

Consumer Products
0 0 0 0 0
0 comments
Alex Ruus

Portfolio , Arrow Capital Manage...

Price Price
$0.720
Owned Owned
Yes

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