
TSE:SHOP
This company makes a lot of sense in what they do, helping small companies go online for 1-stop shopping. It is clearly not making any money right now, and have just started turning cash positive. You have to look down the road and assume they will have continued growth. They are also getting into things like shipping and payments. Has been pondering this one, but hasn’t come to any conclusion.
This is not in his wheelhouse, because normally he is looking at companies that are in a cash flow, and where you can calculate the ROC to see what is going from that perspective. However, he is recommending this because he thinks it is going to grow into that. This is a little bit out of his normal space, but seeing what he sees and the excitement around the company, he thinks it can grow into its valuation.
Deemed to be the Amazon (AMZ-Q) North, whereby they get really sticky and tight with their members, small businesses that are start-ups. They provide financing to them which is going to be very helpful moving forward. Because of the data they are culling from sales, they know exactly what is going on with each business, so they can create a platform that the online retailer is looking for.
An explosive growth type of name. It has clearly done very, very well. From a technical level, it is really overbought at this point. It’s a name to keep an eye on, because he thinks it will be one of those great growth companies. Estimates it will grow at least 25%, but we’ll have to see when they actually make money and start to earn proper profits year-over-year.
This is the kind of “knowledge” business that isn’t going to be bothered by 20% cross-border taxes. It could grow in the US. It provides a service for small businesses, so that they can have the same fire power as some of the big guys. Thinks it has great, long term growth prospects. This is one you can buy and put away, and 5-10 years from now you will have made a lot of money.
In recent results, sales grew like crazy, but unfortunately expenses also grew. Analysts have shaved estimates for earnings. Expected to lose $.28 in 2017, and to improve to positive $.19 in 2018. Against an $80 stock price, the 13X Price to sales multiple is somewhat breathtaking. It is a bit of a challenge figuring out what a reasonable price is.
This will soon be a great company, but he finds the valuation they receive interesting. Unfortunately, they don’t make money yet. They’ve been losing money every day so far. Have a lot of cash on the balance sheet and are rapidly increasing sales, and a year from now they should be profitable. Feels the valuation is out of control. If we get any kind of pullback, look for a sharp correction because there is no earnings support. Even looking out over 5 years, he can’t justify the valuation.
Canada’s most dynamic growth story. It is Canada’s leading e-commerce enablement company. They are involved in things like payment solutions for online merchants, order management systems, inventory and promotion management systems, as well as more recently into shipping. Just reported great numbers. Management has predicted they will break even by the 4th quarter of this year and should post revenue between $580 million and $600 million. (Analysts’ price target is $75.71.)
A name that a lot of people have been looking at or investing in. He likes this. The last big run was pretty much due to their relationship with Amazon (AMZN-Q). Wouldn’t be surprised if it was taken out at some point by Amazon. The stock is not cheap, but you have to look at the growth rate against the valuation. If the PEG is not much over 1.5-2, you should be okay.
A great Canadian success story. Had an amazing year last year, so it is very hard to keep up with those types of comps. They enable small and medium-sized businesses. Because that is the largest actual part of the market, this company will continue to grow with those customers. On the larger size companies, they have done some deals to help break into that market. It is going to be very hard to repeat the performance of last year, so people should moderate their expectations somewhat.