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Shopify Inc.SHOP.TOCOMMENTSep 13, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
Has never owned. 200-day MA just started to roll over, and that's not positive. Price now below 200-day MA. It's always been pricey (9x forward price-to-sales). Tech and general market have been up, but this name's down 4.3% over 12 months. Catering to small-middle businesses makes it riskier vis-a-vis the economy.
If you're already in it, watch to see if it breaks recent lows of support. So many other names out there with much better valuations.
Still some runway. Tarred with the software brush. A proud Canadian all-star. Buy in 3 tranches: here, ~$105, and ~$100 (that would indicate it's getting to the bottom). If you own now, add on weakness as outlined.
Note: Not in his fund, but in some separately managed accounts.
Right here, right now is a good entry point for a long-term hold. Part of the AI witch-hunt trade. Competitive moat won't be eroded by agentic AI. People don't understand that writing code is not "one and done", not to mention cybersecurity concerns and complex payment systems.
Increasingly catering to larger customers. Continues to innovate and to add value to legacy markets.
This fits into the theme of cloud-based computing. The company provides the back end to small Internet retailers. They have something like 300,000 companies that use their infrastructure. The companies pay about $50 a month and can buy additional services to strap onto that. They also get a percentage of revenue of about 1.5%. This company is a long way ahead of its competitors. Something new is that they have also gotten into financing their customers, by taking a royalty on the revenue, so that could be a big new business for them also.