Ross Healy
Member since: Oct '00
Chairman at
Strategic Analysis Corp
Strategic Analysis Corp
3007 Opinions
Latest Top Picks
(A Top Pick Jan 07/20, Down 17%) COVID-19 crushed this. It was trading at book value a year ago. He still likes it even though it has been painful. He is sticking with it.
(A Top Pick Jan 07/20, Up 27%) He would buy it again. It is quite cheap relative to its own long term range. He thinks it will go right back up to its former high.
(A Top Pick Jan 07/20, Down 6%) COVID-19 had as much to do with the decline as anything, he suspects. The earnings projections from a year ago have hardly budged, so the intrinsic value has held up nicely. If interest rates moved higher in the next year, the banks and other financials will get help in their profitability.
See his Past Top Picks. The stock is cheap and is close to breaking out technically. (Analysts’ price target is $24.37)
He likes the silver stocks. This stock has recently made a nice little technical break-out. If you look at the two spikes in the past decade in silver, it would suggest that this one probably has 35-45% just to get back to its highs. He suspects silver will break out to new highs and this would take it even higher. (Analysts’ price target is $11.32)
Signal
Opinion
Expert
Chart
N/A
N/A
January 11, 2021
Market. Market. The S&P has made a technical break out that could lift it another 25%, regardless of supporting values. We need to wait a couple of days for confirmation. When you combine all the stimulus that has already been put in, and Biden coming into office, where is all the money going to go. He does detect a sense of un-reality. He lived through the 1972 bubble and the .com bubble. The market will keep going up until it stops. The bond market is breaking out over 1% and although not sounding serious, imagine if it moved to 2%? It would have a profound impact on the markets. He feels value stocks could have a way to run.
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Market. Market. The S&P has made a technical break out that could lift it another 25%, regardless of supporting values. We need to wait a couple of days for confirmation. When you combine all the stimulus that has already been put in, and Biden coming into office, where is all the money going to go. He does detect a sense of un-reality. He lived through the 1972 bubble and the .com bubble. The market will keep going up until it stops. The bond market is breaking out over 1% and although not sounding serious, imagine if it moved to 2%? It would have a profound impact on the markets. He feels value stocks could have a way to run.
SELL
SELL
January 11, 2021
He recently put it on a sell list at an extreme peak of a 10 year channel. It has been rolling over and he would wait for a MUCH better time to buy this stock. There is a slim possibility of it rallying back up to the channel and breaking out but this is a slim possibility. The FANG stocks have not been breaking out to new highs recently as the market has been. He sees a shift in the leadership.
Show full opinionHide full opinionHe recently put it on a sell list at an extreme peak of a 10 year channel. It has been rolling over and he would wait for a MUCH better time to buy this stock. There is a slim possibility of it rallying back up to the channel and breaking out but this is a slim possibility. The FANG stocks have not been breaking out to new highs recently as the market has been. He sees a shift in the leadership.
Business Services
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
January 11, 2021
It has an interesting problem. It has the solution to COVID-19 and they have orders for billions of doses but the stock has not done anything. The earnings forecast for the company are going sideways. Analysts probably think the demand for COVID vaccines will decline sharply when COVID is over and then there will be all these plants that are idle. So looking longer term, they see the earnings as flat.
Show full opinionHide full opinionIt has an interesting problem. It has the solution to COVID-19 and they have orders for billions of doses but the stock has not done anything. The earnings forecast for the company are going sideways. Analysts probably think the demand for COVID vaccines will decline sharply when COVID is over and then there will be all these plants that are idle. So looking longer term, they see the earnings as flat.
biotechnology/pharmaceutical
WATCH
WATCH
January 11, 2021
The valuation now is at its ten year high. You would need earnings to become stronger. It has had its move for now.
Show full opinionHide full opinionThe valuation now is at its ten year high. You would need earnings to become stronger. It has had its move for now.
management/diversified
BUY
BUY
January 11, 2021
Gold Stocks. They are cheap in general, especially the more junior ones. 10 years ago you saw strength and a move, then another move in the gold stocks in the middle of the decade, but in both cases they had big setbacks. This time around the stocks are acting very, very cautious. He feels this is a value group that has yet to participate in the market and that they will.
Show full opinionHide full opinionGold Stocks. They are cheap in general, especially the more junior ones. 10 years ago you saw strength and a move, then another move in the gold stocks in the middle of the decade, but in both cases they had big setbacks. This time around the stocks are acting very, very cautious. He feels this is a value group that has yet to participate in the market and that they will.
HOLD
HOLD
January 11, 2021
DSG-T vs. OTEX-T which to sell to raise cash? DSG-T, if you own it, you would have done very well, but the fair market value is 78% lower than where it is at now. There is a lot of momentum behind it but not a lot of value. OTEX-T is trading right at its fair market value and has not been above that in ten years. He would sell either one if you want a source of cash.
DSG-T vs. OTEX-T which to sell to raise cash? DSG-T, if you own it, you would have done very well, but the fair market value is 78% lower than where it is at now. There is a lot of momentum behind it but not a lot of value. OTEX-T is trading right at its fair market value and has not been above that in ten years. He would sell either one if you want a source of cash.
computer software/processing
HOLD
HOLD
January 11, 2021
DSG-T vs. OTEX-T which to sell to raise cash? DSG-T, if you own it, you would have done very well, but the fair market value is 78% lower than where it is at now. There is a lot of momentum behind it but not a lot of value. OTEX-T is trading right at its fair market value and has not been above that in ten years. He would sell either one if you want a source of cash.
DSG-T vs. OTEX-T which to sell to raise cash? DSG-T, if you own it, you would have done very well, but the fair market value is 78% lower than where it is at now. There is a lot of momentum behind it but not a lot of value. OTEX-T is trading right at its fair market value and has not been above that in ten years. He would sell either one if you want a source of cash.
computer software/processing
BUY
BUY
January 11, 2021
He feels its fair market value is more than 100% above its current price. This is a reasonable target given what has happened in the sector over the last 10 years. See his comments on gold stocks today.
Show full opinionHide full opinionHe feels its fair market value is more than 100% above its current price. This is a reasonable target given what has happened in the sector over the last 10 years. See his comments on gold stocks today.
precious metals
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
January 11, 2021
It has had a beautiful run. The issue is that it has run up to a level of two times book value. It has been higher and has fair market value to pull it higher. He sees $102 will be a fair resistance point. It is now not cheap.
Show full opinionHide full opinionIt has had a beautiful run. The issue is that it has run up to a level of two times book value. It has been higher and has fair market value to pull it higher. He sees $102 will be a fair resistance point. It is now not cheap.
Automotive
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
January 11, 2021
(A Top Pick Jan 07/20, Down 17%) COVID-19 crushed this. It was trading at book value a year ago. He still likes it even though it has been painful. He is sticking with it.
Show full opinionHide full opinion(A Top Pick Jan 07/20, Down 17%) COVID-19 crushed this. It was trading at book value a year ago. He still likes it even though it has been painful. He is sticking with it.
integrated oils
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
January 11, 2021
(A Top Pick Jan 07/20, Up 27%) He would buy it again. It is quite cheap relative to its own long term range. He thinks it will go right back up to its former high.
Show full opinionHide full opinion(A Top Pick Jan 07/20, Up 27%) He would buy it again. It is quite cheap relative to its own long term range. He thinks it will go right back up to its former high.
precious metals
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
January 11, 2021
(A Top Pick Jan 07/20, Down 6%) COVID-19 had as much to do with the decline as anything, he suspects. The earnings projections from a year ago have hardly budged, so the intrinsic value has held up nicely. If interest rates moved higher in the next year, the banks and other financials will get help in their profitability.
Show full opinionHide full opinion(A Top Pick Jan 07/20, Down 6%) COVID-19 had as much to do with the decline as anything, he suspects. The earnings projections from a year ago have hardly budged, so the intrinsic value has held up nicely. If interest rates moved higher in the next year, the banks and other financials will get help in their profitability.
insurance
SELL
SELL
January 11, 2021
On a ten year basis, the stock is very, very cheap and about at its fair market value. The problem is that it might get delisted. Some investors will sell and it would be under pressure. He actually sees a sell signal on the stock. Very often these things work out on a reasonable basis.
Show full opinionHide full opinionOn a ten year basis, the stock is very, very cheap and about at its fair market value. The problem is that it might get delisted. Some investors will sell and it would be under pressure. He actually sees a sell signal on the stock. Very often these things work out on a reasonable basis.
SELL STRENGTH
SELL STRENGTH
January 11, 2021
It has retraced back up to its ten year high. The market has a memory. If the markets keep going, however, it might go up another 20-25%.
Show full opinionHide full opinionIt has retraced back up to its ten year high. The market has a memory. If the markets keep going, however, it might go up another 20-25%.
Transportation
STRONG BUY
STRONG BUY
January 11, 2021
He really has to like it. It got pummelled in the COVID melt-down and since then it has been working in a rough sideways direction, but it is way below its normal valuations standards while the earnings forecasts have bounced back powerfully. It will also help if interest rates go up. He thinks this stock is cheap.
Show full opinionHide full opinionHe really has to like it. It got pummelled in the COVID melt-down and since then it has been working in a rough sideways direction, but it is way below its normal valuations standards while the earnings forecasts have bounced back powerfully. It will also help if interest rates go up. He thinks this stock is cheap.
insurance
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