Ross Healy
Member since: Oct '00
Chairman at
Strategic Analysis Corp
Strategic Analysis Corp
2943 Opinions
Latest Top Picks
(A Top Pick May 03/19, Up 12%) It held in there nicely. It set back to its book value after a good run. He would still buy it.
(A Top Pick May 03/19, Up 71%) He had expected that given the market valuation that market volatility had to go up. It had been up 150% at one point.
(A Top Pick May 03/19, Up 0%) [Technical difficulties prevented the guest from speaking about this past pick]
Given where the market is, having a little powder dry would be a good thing. He does not know when it will be put to work. Wait until the market can hold at 2.5 times book value. The gold sector is one that is booming right now.
It is a silver AND a gold company. Earnings have tailed off because of silver. They have more than 100% more upside. They can increase production 100%. (Analysts’ price target is $4.90)
Signal
Opinion
Expert
Chart
N/A
N/A
April 23, 2020
Market. This is a tough market to call. He forecast that the S&P low would be 2175 last month. It was two times book value and it was where the market bottomed in 2002 and in fact the market bottomed there this time. Value is running into stimulus. Most market commentaries are in two camps. The fundamentalists are saying we've had it because there is not much left and the technicians are saying the sky's the limit and there are no ceilings. His productivity-of-debt graph shows that if you load more and more debt on top of an economy there is a point at which it becomes so heavy that it starts to push the economy's growth to zero and then if it falls through there it has a difficult time recovering. It is going to be increasingly difficult for the economy to recover strongly because of the pure weight of the debt sitting on it.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Market. This is a tough market to call. He forecast that the S&P low would be 2175 last month. It was two times book value and it was where the market bottomed in 2002 and in fact the market bottomed there this time. Value is running into stimulus. Most market commentaries are in two camps. The fundamentalists are saying we've had it because there is not much left and the technicians are saying the sky's the limit and there are no ceilings. His productivity-of-debt graph shows that if you load more and more debt on top of an economy there is a point at which it becomes so heavy that it starts to push the economy's growth to zero and then if it falls through there it has a difficult time recovering. It is going to be increasingly difficult for the economy to recover strongly because of the pure weight of the debt sitting on it.
WATCH
WATCH
April 23, 2020
For the past twelve years the return on equity for IBM as well as the price to book was going up. But for the last six years the ROE has been falling and the price to book as fallen steadily. It has been struggling. They have to focus on profitability. The stock got down to a level he expected and he had a sell recommendation for the last 5 years. He is going to be watching to see if the company can hang on here.
Show full opinionHide full opinionFor the past twelve years the return on equity for IBM as well as the price to book was going up. But for the last six years the ROE has been falling and the price to book as fallen steadily. It has been struggling. They have to focus on profitability. The stock got down to a level he expected and he had a sell recommendation for the last 5 years. He is going to be watching to see if the company can hang on here.
electrical/electronic
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
April 23, 2020
The shares broke down below some strong support and then bounced off one of his break points. It has only bounced back to its fair market value. The problem is that the fair market value and the earnings have been slipping for two years. It is not a COVID-19 issue. He does not think there is much in it for you.
Show full opinionHide full opinionThe shares broke down below some strong support and then bounced off one of his break points. It has only bounced back to its fair market value. The problem is that the fair market value and the earnings have been slipping for two years. It is not a COVID-19 issue. He does not think there is much in it for you.
mngmnt/diversified
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
April 23, 2020
The fair market value is $90 so the shares are about as close as you are going to get to that. There is overhead resistance at $96 which is 2.5 times book value which it cannot break through.
Show full opinionHide full opinionThe fair market value is $90 so the shares are about as close as you are going to get to that. There is overhead resistance at $96 which is 2.5 times book value which it cannot break through.
investment companies/funds
WATCH
WATCH
April 23, 2020
Uranium Sector. Has the bull started running? His proxy is CCO-T. If there is a bullish case for Uranium, the analysts have not heard it. U-T is up 66% so had had quite a move. He hopes the analysts will get the same message he is about the outlook for uranium.
WATCH
WATCH
April 23, 2020
Uranium Sector. Has the bull started running? His proxy is CCO-T. If there is a bullish case for Uranium, the analysts have not heard it. U-T is up 66% so had had quite a move. He hopes the analysts will get the same message he is about the outlook for uranium.
integrated mines
WATCH
WATCH
April 23, 2020
Uranium Sector. Has the bull started running? His proxy is CCO-T. If there is a bullish case for Uranium, the analysts have not heard it. U-T is up 66% so had had quite a move. He hopes the analysts will get the same message he is about the outlook for uranium.
precious metals
BUY
BUY
April 23, 2020
The revised earnings are a little down tick but not terrifying. The dividend appears to be safe and the PE ratio looks like a bargain. He really likes this stock. It has a lot of upside if there are no nasty surprises in their numbers.
Show full opinionHide full opinionThe revised earnings are a little down tick but not terrifying. The dividend appears to be safe and the PE ratio looks like a bargain. He really likes this stock. It has a lot of upside if there are no nasty surprises in their numbers.
insurance
HOLD
HOLD
April 23, 2020
The banks are a good choice. He is not concerned about their dividends. He does not see dividends being cut. As long as the market stays above 2.5 times book value we will be okay. It is about 2650 on the S&P.
Show full opinionHide full opinionThe banks are a good choice. He is not concerned about their dividends. He does not see dividends being cut. As long as the market stays above 2.5 times book value we will be okay. It is about 2650 on the S&P.
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
April 23, 2020
(A Top Pick May 03/19, Up 12%) It held in there nicely. It set back to its book value after a good run. He would still buy it.
Show full opinionHide full opinion(A Top Pick May 03/19, Up 12%) It held in there nicely. It set back to its book value after a good run. He would still buy it.
specialty stores
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
April 23, 2020
(A Top Pick May 03/19, Up 71%) He had expected that given the market valuation that market volatility had to go up. It had been up 150% at one point.
Show full opinionHide full opinion(A Top Pick May 03/19, Up 71%) He had expected that given the market valuation that market volatility had to go up. It had been up 150% at one point.
E.T.F.'s
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
April 23, 2020
(A Top Pick May 03/19, Up 0%) [Technical difficulties prevented the guest from speaking about this past pick]
Show full opinionHide full opinion(A Top Pick May 03/19, Up 0%) [Technical difficulties prevented the guest from speaking about this past pick]
N/A
WATCH
WATCH
April 23, 2020
It is almost at the '08/'09 level. It has collapsed below 2.5 times book. If you are patient, we are getting to an area of lows. The twelve month earnings forecast is minus 14 cents. He figures $22 for a bottom in the share price.
Show full opinionHide full opinionIt is almost at the '08/'09 level. It has collapsed below 2.5 times book. If you are patient, we are getting to an area of lows. The twelve month earnings forecast is minus 14 cents. He figures $22 for a bottom in the share price.
west coast forestry
WATCH
WATCH
April 23, 2020
He likes it a lot. It has a nice yield and its fair market value is 60% higher than the current stock price. The dividend is quite secure and they have a nice balance sheet. The business they are in may not be perfectly stable but it is pretty stable and he thinks the company will come through. $20 is the worse he can see for it.
Show full opinionHide full opinionHe likes it a lot. It has a nice yield and its fair market value is 60% higher than the current stock price. The dividend is quite secure and they have a nice balance sheet. The business they are in may not be perfectly stable but it is pretty stable and he thinks the company will come through. $20 is the worse he can see for it.
telephone utilities
BUY
BUY
April 23, 2020
The analysts are very slow to raising their earnings forecasts with the price of gold. The rebound in earnings in some of these companies will be really something. He likes the producers as opposed to the commodity. Producers give you leverage due to the fast rising earnings. He likes the Juniors as well as ABX-T.
The analysts are very slow to raising their earnings forecasts with the price of gold. The rebound in earnings in some of these companies will be really something. He likes the producers as opposed to the commodity. Producers give you leverage due to the fast rising earnings. He likes the Juniors as well as ABX-T.
Mining
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