Stock Opinions by Ross Healy - Stockchase Experts
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Ross Healy @

On Stockchase since : Oct 2000

Chairman at Strategic Analysis Corp

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Stock Opinions by Ross Healy - Stockchase Experts

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

February 11, 2019

The U.S. Fed almost did this halt in interest rate hikes out of the blue. It was sudden. Also, quantitative easing is back on the table, perhaps for a long time. What on Earth has crossed Powell's desk to reverse course? Also, China-US trade concerns remain. Nobody can trust Washington or Beijing. In Canada, SNC Lavalin's problems have been coming for a while. When problems erupt, get out of the way of the stock. Who knows what'll happen to SNC? Whatever it is it will create a lot of bad feeling.
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The U.S. Fed almost did this halt in interest rate hikes out of the blue. It was sudden. Also, quantitative easing is back on the table, perhaps for a long time. What on Earth has crossed Powell's desk to reverse course? Also, China-US trade concerns remain. Nobody can trust Washington or Beijing. In Canada, SNC Lavalin's problems have been coming for a while. When problems erupt, get out of the way of the stock. Who knows what'll happen to SNC? Whatever it is it will create a lot of bad feeling.
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Ross Healy

Chairman, Strategic Analysis C...

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
Unknown

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TOP PICK
It's traded in a range for the past 10 years and recently fell to $104 and has since risen. Buy the cheapest bank in the group because it will beat the other banks,. It had its nasty bit. He targets $127. (Analysts’ price target is $125.43)
banks
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It's traded in a range for the past 10 years and recently fell to $104 and has since risen. Buy the cheapest bank in the group because it will beat the other banks,. It had its nasty bit. He targets $127. (Analysts’ price target is $125.43)
banks
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Ross Healy

Chairman, Strategic Analysis C...

Price Price
$110.890
Owned Owned
Yes

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TOP PICK
Barrick Gold(ABX-T) 

February 11, 2019

They got rid of their copper and made a a big acqusition in gold to become a pure gold play. Trades cheaply at 1.5x book. If gold does well, ABX will do well. (Analysts’ price target is $19.35)
precious metals
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They got rid of their copper and made a a big acqusition in gold to become a pure gold play. Trades cheaply at 1.5x book. If gold does well, ABX will do well. (Analysts’ price target is $19.35)
precious metals
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Ross Healy

Chairman, Strategic Analysis C...

Price Price
$17.950
Owned Owned
Yes

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TOP PICK
CASH(CASH) 

February 11, 2019

As long as the market is this high and not correctly seriously soon, it's more of a trading than investing market, smash-and-grab. The only way to do that is to have cash handy to grab. There will be lots of trading opportunities, such as oil. Otherwise, buy a utility.
N/A
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As long as the market is this high and not correctly seriously soon, it's more of a trading than investing market, smash-and-grab. The only way to do that is to have cash handy to grab. There will be lots of trading opportunities, such as oil. Otherwise, buy a utility.
N/A
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Ross Healy

Chairman, Strategic Analysis C...

Price Price
$0.000
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Yes

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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 19/18, Up 17%) He's not sure why ENB split the ENF out and ENF traded at a discount to ENB which yielded more and was cheaper than ENB. That's why he chose ENF. ENG bought it in the end.
oil/gas
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(A Top Pick Apr 19/18, Up 17%) He's not sure why ENB split the ENF out and ENF traded at a discount to ENB which yielded more and was cheaper than ENB. That's why he chose ENF. ENG bought it in the end.
oil/gas
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Ross Healy

Chairman, Strategic Analysis C...

Price Price
$0.000
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Yes

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PAST TOP PICK
Bank of Nova Scotia(BNS-T) 

February 11, 2019

(A Top Pick Apr 19/18, Up 1%) Hands down, the banks have had a tough year, so BND holding its own and giving a decent yield are good.
banks
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(A Top Pick Apr 19/18, Up 1%) Hands down, the banks have had a tough year, so BND holding its own and giving a decent yield are good.
banks
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Ross Healy

Chairman, Strategic Analysis C...

Price Price
$74.350
Owned Owned
Unknown

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PAST TOP PICK
Alamos Gold Inc(AGI-T) 

February 11, 2019

(A Top Pick Apr 19/18, Down 17%) The stock has been much lower (December 2018) and has recovered well. But there's a broad bullishness in gold. If the US Fed continues to raise rates, then hold will get shinier. China and Russia have been watching it. If gold breaks out above $1,370 a lot of new investors will scramble to buy it.
precious metals
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(A Top Pick Apr 19/18, Down 17%) The stock has been much lower (December 2018) and has recovered well. But there's a broad bullishness in gold. If the US Fed continues to raise rates, then hold will get shinier. China and Russia have been watching it. If gold breaks out above $1,370 a lot of new investors will scramble to buy it.
precious metals
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Ross Healy

Chairman, Strategic Analysis C...

Price Price
$5.900
Owned Owned
Yes

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DON'T BUY
Baytex Energy Corp(BTE-T) 

February 11, 2019

In 2015, it traded at $40. At $2 today, he doesn't know what to say about BTE. Its balance sheet is okay, but its intrinsic value is plunging to the dumpster; its balance sheet has been in a four-year decline. He can't say to abandon ship though he can see the stock going lower. The oil patch in general: at least 20 Canadian oil stocks are in the same boat. Either there will be some bankruptcies or the stocks are so cheap we can get one heck of a rally, rising 100-200% quickly.
oil/gas
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In 2015, it traded at $40. At $2 today, he doesn't know what to say about BTE. Its balance sheet is okay, but its intrinsic value is plunging to the dumpster; its balance sheet has been in a four-year decline. He can't say to abandon ship though he can see the stock going lower. The oil patch in general: at least 20 Canadian oil stocks are in the same boat. Either there will be some bankruptcies or the stocks are so cheap we can get one heck of a rally, rising 100-200% quickly.
oil/gas
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Ross Healy

Chairman, Strategic Analysis C...

Price Price
$2.040
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Unknown

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COMMENT
If you believe the analysts, CPG will make 33 cents in the next year which is interesting upside. His fair market value for CPG is $9. Its balance sheet is falling. It had a nice earnings rally but is dropping again. How good are their earnings forecast? This could be part of a serious rally of 100-200%. Maybe, if something interesting happens in oil. These oil stocks are so cheap. He can't advise whether to bail on this stock, but also miracles happen.
oil/gas
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If you believe the analysts, CPG will make 33 cents in the next year which is interesting upside. His fair market value for CPG is $9. Its balance sheet is falling. It had a nice earnings rally but is dropping again. How good are their earnings forecast? This could be part of a serious rally of 100-200%. Maybe, if something interesting happens in oil. These oil stocks are so cheap. He can't advise whether to bail on this stock, but also miracles happen.
oil/gas
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Ross Healy

Chairman, Strategic Analysis C...

Price Price
$3.260
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Unknown

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DON'T BUY
Canadian National R.R.(CNR-T) 

February 11, 2019

The rail stocks since 2009 have been a group that's had a spectacular gain, all moving to price-to-book levels that have exceeded their histories. He doesn't see opportunities now to buy them cheap. CNR trades at current fair market value. Remember: it's late in the cycle and poised to decline from theese heights. You won't see these highs for decades.
Transportation
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The rail stocks since 2009 have been a group that's had a spectacular gain, all moving to price-to-book levels that have exceeded their histories. He doesn't see opportunities now to buy them cheap. CNR trades at current fair market value. Remember: it's late in the cycle and poised to decline from theese heights. You won't see these highs for decades.
Transportation
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Ross Healy

Chairman, Strategic Analysis C...

Price Price
$108.730
Owned Owned
Unknown

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DON'T BUY
Facebook(FB-Q) 

February 11, 2019

From its top in July, he was looking for a pullback which we've had. FB is still not cheap. His fair market value is $135. It has strong support at $115, which he wouldn't be surprised if it fell back there. All the FAANGs were grossly overvalued. Be careful with FAANGs. He expects another correction.
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From its top in July, he was looking for a pullback which we've had. FB is still not cheap. His fair market value is $135. It has strong support at $115, which he wouldn't be surprised if it fell back there. All the FAANGs were grossly overvalued. Be careful with FAANGs. He expects another correction.
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Ross Healy

Chairman, Strategic Analysis C...

Price Price
$165.790
Owned Owned
Unknown

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DON'T BUY
Cisco(CSCO-Q) 

February 11, 2019

Every time it reaches its fair market value, that's it. It doesn't rise further. It also keep hitting strong resistance. It hasn't risen above its FMV in 20 years. Look at the cheaper Intel.
electrical/electronic
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Every time it reaches its fair market value, that's it. It doesn't rise further. It also keep hitting strong resistance. It hasn't risen above its FMV in 20 years. Look at the cheaper Intel.
electrical/electronic
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Ross Healy

Chairman, Strategic Analysis C...

Price Price
$47.375
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SELL
Vermilion Energy Inc(VET-T) 

February 11, 2019

The price hasn't collapsed like its peers such as Baytex. But VET's fair market value at $24, so it's now pricey. VET is paying out way more than it's earning. No wonder the stock price is slipping. If this continues, VET's 8.8% dividend will be cut by a third just to equal earnings. The oil patch better turn around. Sell half of this.
oil/gas
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The price hasn't collapsed like its peers such as Baytex. But VET's fair market value at $24, so it's now pricey. VET is paying out way more than it's earning. No wonder the stock price is slipping. If this continues, VET's 8.8% dividend will be cut by a third just to equal earnings. The oil patch better turn around. Sell half of this.
oil/gas
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Ross Healy

Chairman, Strategic Analysis C...

Price Price
$31.420
Owned Owned
Unknown

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DON'T BUY
Richelieu Hardware(RCH-T) 

February 11, 2019

Average down? It had a great run since 2008, overtaking its fair market value, $24.50 now. Little upside here and not cheap.
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Average down? It had a great run since 2008, overtaking its fair market value, $24.50 now. Little upside here and not cheap.
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Ross Healy

Chairman, Strategic Analysis C...

Price Price
$23.020
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Unknown

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

February 11, 2019

Will the S&P reach 2,000 as you predicted before? 2,000 is twice its book and a beautiful support level. The market is pricey, the FAANG's are overvalued and oil has troubles, he expects it to his this level in the coming year.
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Will the S&P reach 2,000 as you predicted before? 2,000 is twice its book and a beautiful support level. The market is pricey, the FAANG's are overvalued and oil has troubles, he expects it to his this level in the coming year.
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Ross Healy

Chairman, Strategic Analysis C...

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
Unknown

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