
TSE:SHOP
(A Past Top Pick on Aug. 30, 2017, Up 26%) He's lucky he made money on this, because of Citron's activism against Shopify. However, this got stopped out and he regrets he didn't hold onto it. The company continues to do well, but wait till tomorrow morning's earnings before buying. Shopify has moved $26 billion in merchandise up from $6 billion just a few years agao.
Andrew Left (Citron) shorted it at $130. When will their earnings come out? Maybe 2020. So, you'll have to stomach volatility and be patient. It doesn't help that the short-seller is attacking them again, though he likes Shopify's defence. Still holds this, though he has sold some. He could dollar-cost average down the road.
This stock is way too expensive. It is priced for perfection. Stocks like this can drop $40 in a heartbeat. This company doesn’t disclose its churn number. It also started a capital program in which they advance money to small clients. He wonders whether the loans are merely paying the fees to Shopify and what would be left if the loans weren’t there. In general, he doesn’t like the idea of being in the business of giving loans to your own customers. If you hold the stock and have made money at this level, you should sell because there is a lot of volatility to come.
The stock has done very well, but it's extremely rich--a risky valuation. There are cheaper, less risky tech stocks out there. Possibly, Amazon or somebody can just copy what they're doing. Also, he's worried that a lot of money is being invested here merely because it's the lone Canadian tech stock (not counting Blackberry).
He's taken aback by its high multiple and with how fast it's grown. He's skeptical when companies grow this quickly. He applauds there being a Canadian tech company, because there are so few, but there's no room for error. One earnings miss will hurt them badly.