
TSE:SHOP
Back end office for e-commerce platform. They partnered with Amazon (AMZN-O). They have done a great job growing their business model. But they have no earnings. No free cash flows. Trading at 10 to 11 times forward sales. Interesting but not even near a valuation level that they would feel comfortable. (Analysts’ price target is $190)
(A Past Top Pick on Aug. 30, 2017, Up 26%) He's lucky he made money on this, because of Citron's activism against Shopify. However, this got stopped out and he regrets he didn't hold onto it. The company continues to do well, but wait till tomorrow morning's earnings before buying. Shopify has moved $26 billion in merchandise up from $6 billion just a few years agao.
Andrew Left (Citron) shorted it at $130. When will their earnings come out? Maybe 2020. So, you'll have to stomach volatility and be patient. It doesn't help that the short-seller is attacking them again, though he likes Shopify's defence. Still holds this, though he has sold some. He could dollar-cost average down the road.
This stock is way too expensive. It is priced for perfection. Stocks like this can drop $40 in a heartbeat. This company doesn’t disclose its churn number. It also started a capital program in which they advance money to small clients. He wonders whether the loans are merely paying the fees to Shopify and what would be left if the loans weren’t there. In general, he doesn’t like the idea of being in the business of giving loans to your own customers. If you hold the stock and have made money at this level, you should sell because there is a lot of volatility to come.
He thinks $175 is the stop point. He does own it and thinks it could trade to new highs above $200. This is not a horrible entry point.