
TSE:SHOP
A very solid, up-and-coming Canadian tech company that is pretty established in their niche, and just emerging into profitability. However, the near-term opportunity is gone. It is probably into a 2-3 year period of backfilling of valuation now. They are going to have to produce some profits to backfill the $10 billion valuation they've received. He would look elsewhere. If you own, consider taking a few profits.
A Buy or a Sell? A great business. They have a great product trying to facilitate the online merchants transition for small/medium sized businesses. He wouldn’t buy at this point. Had a tremendous run over the last number of years. It’s one they are watching and perhaps on a pull back, they would get an opportunity to buy into it. Valuation seems full at this time. It’s hard to get excited when they don’t see meaningful upside.
Got beat up by the Short sellers, but their business is good. They've never missed a quarter and have almost $1 billion in cash. They are going to be profitable next year, and the earnings are going to grow out about 400%-500% on a per share basis. They are now the dominant player in facilitating online merchants. Has a tie with Amazon (AMZ-Q), which is always risky, because of Amazon's power. The Short thesis was that it was a multilevel marketing company, i.e. if I joined Shopify, and got you to join, I would get paid. That was simply wrong. A US hedge fund just picked up 8% of the company. (Analysts' price target is $151.00.)
He gets the sense that many investors are buying stocks like this with no view as to what the earnings, cash flow or growth is going to be. This is in the news every day, and is going up almost every day, and that is attracting investor flows, so you are not buying a company like this for any fundamental reason, except thinking that someone else is going to come along tomorrow and pay even more before it.
Has gone from one of the best performing stocks, to becoming much more of a trading stock. She would be shocked if Citron were to give up on their Short. Thinks that when the stock is really hammered you buy some. When there is a really good day and it is up $5-$6, then you let it go. Doesn't think it will make new highs over the next year. It's going to have a hard time.
Canada's largest e-commerce enablement company. The revenue model is by taking a percentage of sales their merchants generate from their site, and partly subscription based, for hosting their e-commerce enabled web site. The connectivity is very good in that they allow the merchants to sell on social media, the web, Amazon, bricks and mortar stores, etc. (Analysts' price target is $188.)