Stock Opinions by Don Lato - Stockchase Experts
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Don Lato

On Stockchase since : Nov 2007

President at Padlock Investment Management

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Don Lato Latest Top Picks...

Stock Opinions by Don Lato - Stockchase Experts

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DON'T BUY
Shopify Inc.(SHOP-T) 

March 13, 2019

A great business with lots of new customers. He's a Growth at a Reasonable Price investor (GARP), so he can't justify buying it now at this price. Sure, it may hit $300 later this year, but it doesn't fit his strategy.
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A great business with lots of new customers. He's a Growth at a Reasonable Price investor (GARP), so he can't justify buying it now at this price. Sure, it may hit $300 later this year, but it doesn't fit his strategy.
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Don Lato

President, Padlock Investment M...

Price Price
$273.380
Owned Owned
No

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BUY
Visa Inc.(V-N) 

March 13, 2019

Visa vs. Mastercard He's owned both for 10 years. Now, Visa is slightly cheaper, but neither are cheap. 24x earnings for both. But growth is also high in the high-teens. PEG ratio is 1.3 for both. You can't go wrong with either.
other services
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Visa vs. Mastercard He's owned both for 10 years. Now, Visa is slightly cheaper, but neither are cheap. 24x earnings for both. But growth is also high in the high-teens. PEG ratio is 1.3 for both. You can't go wrong with either.
other services
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Don Lato

President, Padlock Investment M...

Price Price
$152.470
Owned Owned
Yes

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COMMENT
Hewlett-Packard Co(HPQ-N) 

March 13, 2019

He doesn't follow this closely, but it's in a strong sector. HP probably suffered an earnings decline recently. He owns Apple and Google instead--he'd rather bet on tech here. Nothing wrong with HP though, but it's not as strong as these two.
electrical/electronic
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He doesn't follow this closely, but it's in a strong sector. HP probably suffered an earnings decline recently. He owns Apple and Google instead--he'd rather bet on tech here. Nothing wrong with HP though, but it's not as strong as these two.
electrical/electronic
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Don Lato

President, Padlock Investment M...

Price Price
$19.610
Owned Owned
No

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BUY
Mastercard Inc.(MA-N) 

March 13, 2019

Visa vs. Mastercard He's owned both for 10 years. Now, Visa is slightly cheaper, but neither are cheap. 24x earnings for both. But growth is also high in the high-teens. PEG ratio is 1.3 for both. You can't go wrong with either.
other services
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Visa vs. Mastercard He's owned both for 10 years. Now, Visa is slightly cheaper, but neither are cheap. 24x earnings for both. But growth is also high in the high-teens. PEG ratio is 1.3 for both. You can't go wrong with either.
other services
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Don Lato

President, Padlock Investment M...

Price Price
$228.500
Owned Owned
Yes

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WEAK BUY
Netflix Inc.(NFLX-Q) 

March 13, 2019

Growth prospects despite huge PE? Yes it does, but it is trading at 88x this year's earnings. This doesn't work for his portfolio and he subscribes to Netflix himself. A great business model with huge retention, but they're facing competition with Amazon Prime, Google/Youtube and soon Apple. At least you'll get revenue increases when they continue to raise rates. It's rebounded the most in the FAANGs since Xmas Eve.
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Growth prospects despite huge PE? Yes it does, but it is trading at 88x this year's earnings. This doesn't work for his portfolio and he subscribes to Netflix himself. A great business model with huge retention, but they're facing competition with Amazon Prime, Google/Youtube and soon Apple. At least you'll get revenue increases when they continue to raise rates. It's rebounded the most in the FAANGs since Xmas Eve.
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Don Lato

President, Padlock Investment M...

Price Price
$361.210
Owned Owned
Yes

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COMMENT
BCE Inc.(BCE-T) 

March 13, 2019

Sell now at $59 after buying at $50? Smart to buy during the Xmas pullback. The telcos are fairly valued now, so you can hold onto this and collect the good 5.3% yield. Internet demand won't diminish. Don't be anxious to sell it, but if you're a trader, sell.
telephone utilities
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Sell now at $59 after buying at $50? Smart to buy during the Xmas pullback. The telcos are fairly valued now, so you can hold onto this and collect the good 5.3% yield. Internet demand won't diminish. Don't be anxious to sell it, but if you're a trader, sell.
telephone utilities
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Don Lato

President, Padlock Investment M...

Price Price
$59.590
Owned Owned
Unknown

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TOP PICK
The company is well known in the southern US but unknown in the north and abroad. They started by inventing a super cooler and has diversified into outdoor drinkware and other outdoor products. It has a great online presence. It became public in the fall at $18 and has done very well. Mutiple isn't dirt cheap at 20x earnings. Has huge growth potential. (Analysts’ price target is $28.40)
Consumer Products
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The company is well known in the southern US but unknown in the north and abroad. They started by inventing a super cooler and has diversified into outdoor drinkware and other outdoor products. It has a great online presence. It became public in the fall at $18 and has done very well. Mutiple isn't dirt cheap at 20x earnings. Has huge growth potential. (Analysts’ price target is $28.40)
Consumer Products
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Don Lato

President, Padlock Investment M...

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
Yes

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TOP PICK
It's one of the few remaining income funds. They've paid $1.20 dividend since 2007, monthly. They had a tough 2018 with issues in a subdivision. They have a payout ratio of 62-90%. Pays a secure 12% dividend. Their strong management can turn things around. (Analysts’ price target is $12.38)
investment companies/funds
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It's one of the few remaining income funds. They've paid $1.20 dividend since 2007, monthly. They had a tough 2018 with issues in a subdivision. They have a payout ratio of 62-90%. Pays a secure 12% dividend. Their strong management can turn things around. (Analysts’ price target is $12.38)
investment companies/funds
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Don Lato

President, Padlock Investment M...

Price Price
$9.680
Owned Owned
Yes

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TOP PICK
It's suffered the double-whammy of eliminating drug pricing talk by politicians in the U.S. and fears of Amazon getting into the pharma space. WBA has increased its dividend 43 years in a row and expect one in June. Trades at lower than 10x earnings. He thinks pricing fears are overblown. Targets this in the mid-$70s within 12 months. (Analysts’ price target is $74.35)
specialty stores
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It's suffered the double-whammy of eliminating drug pricing talk by politicians in the U.S. and fears of Amazon getting into the pharma space. WBA has increased its dividend 43 years in a row and expect one in June. Trades at lower than 10x earnings. He thinks pricing fears are overblown. Targets this in the mid-$70s within 12 months. (Analysts’ price target is $74.35)
specialty stores
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Don Lato

President, Padlock Investment M...

Price Price
$61.900
Owned Owned
Yes

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

March 13, 2019

Ottawa has just grounded the Boeing 737. He doesn't own Boeing, but he doesn't know how big this issue will be, so stay away. Avoid it. The grounding has a significant impact. The FAA hasn't grounded the 737 and makes the US another outlier on the world stage. Air Canada is under pressure today. Westjet could take a hit due to this grounding. The trickling down will cost both airlines money. They may have to lease planes from other companies. A big problem. Boeing's competitors have their own issues as well...He's pretty comfortable about the current markets. December 2018 was an aberration, a terrible decline that perplexed many people including him. We've since had a very good earnings season since, with 69% of S&P companies beating the street....China and the US seem to be moving towards a deal. He doesn't see a return to December's pullback. Market valuation is fair at 16x for the S&P.
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Ottawa has just grounded the Boeing 737. He doesn't own Boeing, but he doesn't know how big this issue will be, so stay away. Avoid it. The grounding has a significant impact. The FAA hasn't grounded the 737 and makes the US another outlier on the world stage. Air Canada is under pressure today. Westjet could take a hit due to this grounding. The trickling down will cost both airlines money. They may have to lease planes from other companies. A big problem. Boeing's competitors have their own issues as well...He's pretty comfortable about the current markets. December 2018 was an aberration, a terrible decline that perplexed many people including him. We've since had a very good earnings season since, with 69% of S&P companies beating the street....China and the US seem to be moving towards a deal. He doesn't see a return to December's pullback. Market valuation is fair at 16x for the S&P.
Unknown
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Don Lato

President, Padlock Investment M...

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
Likes it and has owned it for 4 years, but it has gone sidways the past 18 months. They acquired Innovia in late-2016 but had trouble digesting it. CCL was also hit by high resin prices in 2018. They seem to have overcome these issues. The stock isn't cheap but is now fairly valued. It's a good entry point now. They just increased their dividend.
packaging/containers
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Likes it and has owned it for 4 years, but it has gone sidways the past 18 months. They acquired Innovia in late-2016 but had trouble digesting it. CCL was also hit by high resin prices in 2018. They seem to have overcome these issues. The stock isn't cheap but is now fairly valued. It's a good entry point now. They just increased their dividend.
packaging/containers
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Don Lato

President, Padlock Investment M...

Price Price
$54.020
Owned Owned
Yes

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BUY
The Canadian banks are good value. They've come off their highs in the recent reports, due to the harsh market action in Q4 2018. CIBC is the cheapest of the pack in terms of PE and highest yield, but it's also had its issues. It's priced accordingly. He likes the American exposure of TD, though. These are not expensive stocks. You can't go wrong with these banks.
banks
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The Canadian banks are good value. They've come off their highs in the recent reports, due to the harsh market action in Q4 2018. CIBC is the cheapest of the pack in terms of PE and highest yield, but it's also had its issues. It's priced accordingly. He likes the American exposure of TD, though. These are not expensive stocks. You can't go wrong with these banks.
banks
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Don Lato

President, Padlock Investment M...

Price Price
$111.950
Owned Owned
No

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BUY on WEAKNESS
American Tower(AMT-N) 

March 13, 2019

A great company and likely a good long-term hold, but it keeps setting new highs. It has great prospects for growth with the influx of 5G. It's structured like a REIT so they payout 90% of income. The yield has fallen to 1.9% because the stock has zoomed up. The 50-day moving average is $170 so look for that level.
Telecommunications
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A great company and likely a good long-term hold, but it keeps setting new highs. It has great prospects for growth with the influx of 5G. It's structured like a REIT so they payout 90% of income. The yield has fallen to 1.9% because the stock has zoomed up. The 50-day moving average is $170 so look for that level.
Telecommunications
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Don Lato

President, Padlock Investment M...

Price Price
$187.230
Owned Owned
Unknown

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SELL
They're trying to cut costs and sell holdings. If you hold this, then take a loss now. There's too much confusion, disappointment and debt. Unless they can turn around their businesses, then debt will continue to deepen. Avoid it. (He nearly bought it last summer.
computer software/processing
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They're trying to cut costs and sell holdings. If you hold this, then take a loss now. There's too much confusion, disappointment and debt. Unless they can turn around their businesses, then debt will continue to deepen. Avoid it. (He nearly bought it last summer.
computer software/processing
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Don Lato

President, Padlock Investment M...

Price Price
$6.870
Owned Owned
No

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BUY
He's liked this for a long time; it's his biggest Canadian holding. They struggled a little in latter-2018, failing to sell Colombian assets. They took that off the market in December 2018. They've been aggressively buying back their stock and will continue to this year until that Colombian bid runs out. Trading at 3x cash flow. They still have excellent exploration properties. Well-managed. A cheap stock.
oil/gas
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He's liked this for a long time; it's his biggest Canadian holding. They struggled a little in latter-2018, failing to sell Colombian assets. They took that off the market in December 2018. They've been aggressively buying back their stock and will continue to this year until that Colombian bid runs out. Trading at 3x cash flow. They still have excellent exploration properties. Well-managed. A cheap stock.
oil/gas
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Don Lato

President, Padlock Investment M...

Price Price
$21.310
Owned Owned
Yes

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