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TSE:SHOP
This summary was created by AI, based on 64 opinions in the last 12 months.
Shopify Inc. (SHOP) has received a mixed response from analysts. While many experts praise its business model and growth prospects, especially regarding its adaptability and integration of AI, concerns persist regarding its high valuation and volatility. The stock has been noted for consistently trading at a premium, leading analysts to caution about its price-to-earnings ratios, which often exceed 60x. Moreover, the company's ties to small and medium-sized businesses make it particularly sensitive to economic fluctuations. Despite these warnings, some analysts remain optimistic about its long-term hold potential and view current price levels as attractive entry points for new investors.
Shopify vs. Salesforce He owns Shopify, though their PE ratio is really high. He uses Salesforce's product. Shopify has had a tremendous run, but he expects competition to hit them, offering a cheaper service. That said, Salesforce's moat is good--it isn't worth saving, say, $30 a month to learn a brand-new business software for your business. Salesforece has also been around longer and proven their staying power, whereas Shopify's stock price is based on future projections. Also, Shopify has a longer runway for growth than Salesforce.
This is a very much loved Canadian Tech stock. This is a rarity. The reason this has been so successful is that they have proven they are excellent in allowing companies to optimize. They have grown their revenues 70% year over year. The question is if the recent rebound is sustainable. They have to surpass analysts expectations. That community is looking for top line growth. This company has always tracked a 4-6% surprise above expected revenues.
The problem is that it is still very, very expensive on a price to book or a price/earnings ratio. It is still very much emerging. Long term it is a superb company but you are paying for the long term in the short term so should expect a lot of volatility. He cannot advise what to do. It has probably been impacted by recent drops by FB-Q and TWTR-Q.
He is a big believer in this company as it enables small internet based retailers to grow their business. They have 650,000 customers and have sales revenue growth of 70%. They are now targeting European markets and expanding their business to shipping, lending and other services. Yield 0%. (Analysts’ price target is $196.38)
He wishes he could see the long term. It is difficult in technology land. 10 years ago, the company didn’t exist. They demonstrated great success growing and helping small business online. But they still are not making money in the accounting sense. Maybe if they continue to grow their 200 times P/E is justified. It is a momentum stock.
(Past Top Pick on August 30, 2017, Up 55%) It hasn't been an easy ride, especially if you use stop losses. He's been in and out of it the past year, but remains a big fan. Clients include Facebook and maybe Alibaba. The CEO owns 8% of the company. Their big issue is a short seller questioning the health of their accounts, but the core of their business remains strong. The only headwind is Adobe buying Magento as a direct competitor.
(A Top Pick Aug 30/17, Up 39%) The gift keeps on giving. It is volatile but a great growth story. A comprehensive ecommerce enabling business. Merchants can sell on all social platforms. They keep improving their ecosystem. They have a significant competitive advantage over competitors. The knock is that it is expensive. It has been successful and people like to throw stones. Short sellers try to put a dent in it. It is likely to be a much bigger company in the future.
It is tough to recommend this company when they don’t have earnings or cash flow now. He is looking hard at it, but still feels it is overvalued. He would watch if for a couple more quarters to see how it converts their strategy into cash.