
TSE:SHOP
This summary was created by AI, based on 67 opinions in the last 12 months.
Shopify Inc. is perceived as a high-quality company in the e-commerce sector with strong growth potential, particularly in leveraging AI technologies. Experts highlight its recent performance, including substantial revenue growth and a competent positioning within the market. However, the company faces challenges related to its valuation, which is considered high by many analysts, with a forward PE ratio often cited around 60x and high volatility in its stock price. While there is optimism around future growth and expanding into international markets, concerns regarding AI threats and its servicing of small to medium businesses—often regarded as more volatile—cast a shadow on its overall investment appeal. Despite these challenges, many see Shopify's innovative capabilities as a key component of its long-term success, further complicated by the general market's sentiment towards tech stocks.
Trades at almost 140x earnings. On a multiple of revenue, it's trading at 10x. Hard to buy on any fundamental basis, a stock you buy on momentum. Fascinated by the business model. Cult following has driven the high valuation. Doesn't fit with his investment mandate. About 1/3 of the TSX returns YTD are SHOP alone. Volatile.
Another tech giant that is rejuvenating these days is Shopify. It’s a great Canadian success story, but a victim of Covid, when shares peaked at levels 250% higher than today’s $86 shares. SHOP has rallied 83% so far this year and popped 5% to begin this week. It’s been in the penalty box for so long that the street is letting it play again. One popular measure that the company is undergoing is phasing out its fulfillment services to raise profits. E-commerce isn’t dead, as some analysts proclaimed, but taking a breather after years of lockdowns. Gross merchandise volume climbed 15% over the past year, monthly recurring revenue increased 10%, and overall revenue rose 25% to $1.5 billion. Read 3 Big Tech Stocks Making a Comeback for our full analysis.
The second-best performer was Shopify (SHOP) whose stock was up 32.4% in November, but down 67.06% YTD. It too has jumped around this year, having been worst in April, best in July, and 2nd best in September.SHOP is a leading provider of essential internet infrastructure for commerce, offering tools to start, grow, market, and manage a retail business of any size. It is particularly attractive to small businesses and occupies a nascent software niche that is growing rapidly.
Black Friday sales were a record: 52 million customers (up 12%) bought more than $3.5 million per minute at 12:01 PM EST on November 25. Management expects revenue growth to continue with Merchant Solutions revenue growing at 2 times that of Subscription Solutions revenue. While the growth in Operating expenses is expected to decelerate in the 4Th quarter, an operating loss at a similar level to the 3rd quarter is predicted.
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Canada does not have nearly the same tech landscape that the US does, and SHOP has been one of Canada's largest tech successes. This provides support at a high level for the company to continue to succeed. Understanding its technology, it is more than just a flash in the pan and has a long tail to it. Ecommerce and Shopify's presence have a 'lindy effect' and this is essentially its staying power. Digital spending is here to stay, and brands need PoS, logistics, inventory management and other systems to manage online sails.
We like Shopify's strong presence across North America, its resiliency across business cycles, and vision from the management team. It is at a high valuation relative to most other companies, but we feel this is justified given its growing market share and technology supporting the company.
There are risks from certain competitors (AMZN, LSPD), but most of these risks fade away over time as investors and businesses realize the impressive technology stack that SHOP has in comparison. We believe it has created a competitive advantage for itself, and there are certain businesses that AMZN has avoided due to SHOP's significant presence in those businesses.
We continue to like the name as part of a Canadian tech success story.
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