
TSE:SHOP
Transforming over the last year. More focused on profitable growth. Yesterday, reported robust topline growth, pretty reasonable growth in profits, yet stock down 10%. Why? Because it was priced to perfection, and results were below expectations.
Very constructive on operations. Not quite there on earnings potential and cashflow, but growth is quite strong. Very rich valuation, just below 15x revenue. Better growth opportunities with less valuation risk.
It has had a great run-up with revenue growing 24% this year and 20% next year. The business has three parts: point of sale, enterprise and international. Enterprise is a harder sell and the international component has only 4% of global e-commerce volume. It is trading at 14X sales and 140X this year's expected earnings so you could consider lightening your position.
Has a sticky recurring revenue business in their e-commerce enablement business, plus they can upsell through ancillary services like shipping. A secular growth company with high valuations and volatility, but expects it to grow dynamically. Likes the asset-lite model of trimming the executive board. He keeps adding to this.
It trades at less than half its 2021 peak, but has been trending higher for the past 18 months, outpacing the S&P. Now, it's starting to struggle against the S&P and could be downside around $82. If you're unsure, sell half your holding.