Chief Executive Officer, President and Chief Inves at Acker Finley Inc.
Member since: Oct '00 ยท 4481 Opinions
The size of the U.S. deficit is scary. But he expects yield-curve control to be imposed on Western countries. So if rates rise above 50 basis points in, say Japan, that government will buy all the bonds to get the yield down by 50 points. The market is waiting for the switch from QT to QE. The US Fed will have to be the last resort-buyer of debt.
OPEC+ is down 4 million barrels/day in supply which is putting a floor on the price. But he sees a recession coming. Add to that China's output falling. So, oil prices should be lower for these reasons. He already made his money in oil, but will wait and see before returning. Macro events mean everywhere, not individual stock plays. Doesn't know where oil is going, whether higher or lower.
He still urges getting out of Canadian dollars and into the US dollar. Go through your broker. He expects the USD to rise. He sees deflation which he worries about. The US treasury trade has been painful. Buy USD to protect your capital during this difficult time.