Nutrien Ltd. (NTR.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

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Nutrien Ltd. (NTR.TO)

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93.63

-2.26 (2.36%)

as of Jun 5, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.

778 watching

Investor Insights

Jun 6, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 24 opinions in the last 12 months.

Nutrien Ltd. (NTR-T) has garnered attention from various analysts, and while opinions vary, there is a general consensus on its potential for long-term growth. Despite facing temporary pressures from geopolitical factors and commodity price fluctuations, many experts highlight its dominance in the North American fertilizer market and robust dividend sustainability supported by its retail business. The overall sentiment suggests that current dips present favorable buying opportunities, with some analysts anticipating uptrends in fertilizer prices and positive EPS growth. A few express concerns regarding near-term supply constraints, yet the long-term outlook remains optimistic, bolstered by the need for fertilizers in global agriculture. As commodity prices show signs of stabilizing, Nutrien's operational strategies and market position appear to contribute positively to its growth trajectory.

Consensus

Buy

Valuation

Fair Value

Similar

ADM

BUY ON WEAKNESS

He's watching it, deciding when to step in. He likes agriculture stocks. Fertilizer demand has been weak due to poor weather in the US. NTR has increased share buybacks to support the stock. Pays a dividend below 3%. It has an undecided valuation; who can guess the weather in 2020? Their retail side is merely okay. If this declines 10-20%, he might buy.

HOLD

The company has had a tough year -- China, weather, commodity weakness. If you have a two year time horizon, you will do fine. To get it back into a growth trajectory again it will take that long.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jan 15/19, Up 0.3%) It has been a terrible year for farmers. It is a testament to their business model how stable the stock is. This is one of the only Canadian players that is on a global stage.

SELL ON STRENGTH

He has a short on this one as a portfolio hedge. It is still relatively expensive and has poor price momentum. Hard to know where fertilizer is going and it is reflected in the stock price.

TOP PICK

The stock that investors love to hate. He's been in and out of this. Likes its global outlook and fundamentals. (Analysts’ price target is $81.33)

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jan 03/19, Up 9%) They've had some soft quarters as the potash market adjusts with global growth slowing. The first potash deal with India this year was just signed for $10/ton under market, though the market expected $20 under. The stock has been choppy. Buy below $65, and you can sell around $72-73 as a trade. He's sticking with it. But NTR has lagged the TSX in 2019.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Oct 10/18, Down 5%) It's been a volatile year due to weather and trade war tensions, with US soy bean farmers exporting less to China. But NTR is cutting back on some of their potash mines to get demand-supply back in place. That said, NTR generates a lot of free cash flow and is increasing their 3.7% dividend, so you're paid to wait. They're also building out their retail network, which is less cyclical. Still likes it.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Sep 25/18, Down 10%) It is a great company but we had a terrible spring in North America so inventories build up. Long term he thinks it is great.

WATCH

Seasonality? Seasonality is now. It has support at $65, so bouncing off support would be good. Wait until that bounce happens.

DON'T BUY

It is a commodity company. There is no scarcity in potash. Commodity companies don't control their own risk. He has less than 5% of his holdings in Commodities.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Oct 30/18, Up 5%) It is disappointing they announced cutbacks in potash production to deal with inventories. When it gets going, it will hit $80, but it may take a little while. People have to eat -- fertilizers will never go out of fashion.

TOP PICK

Pays a good 3.5% yield. 60% of profits come from agricultural production and 40% from retail distribution to farmers. After their merger, they've been streamlining operations. Trades at 10x cash flow. Expect good earnings growth and multiple expansion over time. Their retail business gives them stability and makes the yield safe. (Analysts’ price target is $83.06)

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Sep 11/18, Down 5%) Need a longer term perspective. Temporarily idling potash mines. Still quite positive on the outlook. Generating a lot of free cash flow, synergies from the merger. Doesn't need strong commodity price to grow cash flow and earnings. Increasing dividend and buying back stock. Looking to increase share in the US.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Aug 27/18, Down 5%) US dollar and trade issues have been headwinds for all commodities. Generates cash flow, more stable.

WATCH

They are a victim of circumstances. They serve a farming community. Plantings were very late this year. Crops in Ontario don't look very good. Disposable income is what Nutrien banks on. NTR-T serves its market extremely well. There is no rush to buy it, however. You have to wait until next spring.

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Nutrien Ltd. (NTR.TO)